RihRihGirrrl Posted October 16 Posted October 16 1 minute ago, Vermillion said: I mean it's only right since one of the candidates running is a felon himself smh
Vermillion Posted October 16 Posted October 16 I don't buy any of this theater. Paul Dans realizes he was thrown under the bus from the America 1st Populist crowd who needed a scapegoat so now he needs to set up his bonafides with the neocons on K Street. Do not buy any of this 1 1
FameFatale Posted October 16 Posted October 16 Oh I forgot yesterday my child's class has been studying the branches of Government and the upcoming election and they had a mock election and he said, "Everybody voted for Trump in my class, but I voted for the lady you always watch and I like her." 4 3 7
Vermillion Posted October 16 Posted October 16 3 minutes ago, spree said: how close is his race? Closer than it should be for Texas but well outside the margin of error in polling averages so he will lose to Ted, imho.
dabunique Posted October 16 Posted October 16 4 minutes ago, spree said: how close is his race? its tied as we speak or +1 Allred
VOSS Posted October 16 Posted October 16 2 hours ago, Vermillion said: Well we're at mid-October. My prediction remains Kamala losing the Electoral College within the polling margin of error and it will come down to the Blue Wall failing but I can't decide which state. The Senate was lost over a year ago including Tester and Brown. I wouldn't be surprised if the House is lost as well but my wobbly prediction remains that Dobbs referendums will save it for Dems, barely. What was your prediction in 2020 at this point
spree Posted October 16 Posted October 16 1 hour ago, Raspberries said: See, I think the opposite. I think she wins the EC within the polling MoE, holds the Blue Wall and picks up at least 1 of GA or NC (not sure which, leaning towards NC given the climate and the western part of the state being a disaster area) I think the Senate is lost, but Brown holds on. Moreno is not popular with independents here and Sherrod is I also agree that the Dems barely win the House All of that leads us to a President Harris with a Rick Scott-led Senate and a Democratic House - 4 years of not much happening, but at least Trump himself will be gone for good politically and we don't have to worry about these lunatics controlling every facet of the government again until 2028 yep, all this insane, record-breaking early voter turnout has me very optimistic that Kamala has got this. Even my bf who is a registered Republican here in Florida has switched. 3
Armani? Posted October 16 Posted October 16 Is it only in this poll? Because there's always been a gap, just not this big 2
Vermillion Posted October 16 Posted October 16 3 minutes ago, VOSS said: What was your prediction in 2020 at this point My 2022 was way off ( @Blade) as I underestimated the level of sustained Dobbs backlash, which I'd argue is still potent but has lost a lot of steam, and the notion it will all transfer to Dem tickets as opposed to widespread ticket splitting is beyond me. Also predicted a Trump win in 2020 but within the margin of error but someone can correct me if I'm wrong. I attributed it mostly to state lockdown backlash. 1
Lil Mistee Posted October 16 Posted October 16 1 minute ago, Armani? said: Is it only in this poll? Because there's always been a gap, just not this big Not sure but as you said there's been a gap it's just this is a even wider gap (which is good, more women are voting for her)
Armani? Posted October 16 Posted October 16 18 minutes ago, spree said: how close is his race? 4pts on avg 1
eyeroll Posted October 16 Posted October 16 12 minutes ago, Vermillion said: Whenever I get nervous about this election, or really anything anymore, I just think about that ponytail Michelle debuted at the DNC and it makes me feel powerful again I'm currently meditating on it to calm my anxiety about the FOX interview. Unrelated but still germane to the thread — I'm starting to get really annoyed by the amount of people mispronouncing Kamala's name. I'm hearing it so often that it's infiltrated my brain and I've mispronounced it on accident twice recently while trying to have a serious conversation, then people look at me like I'm an absolute idiot. It's like having a song you hate get stuck in your head. The worst. 3
spree Posted October 16 Posted October 16 5 minutes ago, Vermillion said: My 2022 was way off ( @Blade) as I underestimated the level of sustained Dobbs backlash, which I'd argue is still potent but has lost a lot of steam, and the notion it will all transfer to Dem tickets as opposed to widespread ticket splitting is beyond me. Also predicted a Trump win in 2020 but within the margin of error but someone can correct me if I'm wrong. I attributed it mostly to state lockdown backlash. well what do you make of the insane early voter turnout?
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