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2024 US Election Megathread ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›๏ธ


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The attempted framing and goalpost moving all over social media on Kamala's outreach for black men has been fascinating. ย In fairness she's flipped so drastically on so many issues but so has Trump.

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35 minutes ago, Vermillion said:

Well we're at mid-October.

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My prediction remains Kamala losing the Electoral College within the polling margin of error and it will come down to the Blue Wall failing but I can't decide which state.ย 

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The Senate was lost over a year ago including Tester and Brown.

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I wouldn't be surprised if the House is lost as well but my wobbly prediction remains that Dobbs referendums will save it for Dems, barely.

See, I think the opposite. I think she wins the EC within the polling MoE, holds the Blue Wall and picks up at least 1 of GA or NC (not sure which, leaning towards NC given the climate and the western part of the state being a disaster area)

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I think the Senate is lost, but Brown holds on. Moreno is not popular with independents here and Sherrod is

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I also agree that the Dems barely win the House

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All of that leads us to a President Harris with a Rick Scott-led Senate and a Democratic House - 4 years of not much happening, but at least Trump himself will be gone for good politically and we don't have to worry about these lunatics controlling every facet of the government again until 2028

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37 minutes ago, Vermillion said:

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He's the smarmiest, most... megachurch pastor of the Fox "journalists", the only other interviewer option I'd have more opposition to would be ******* Tucker Carlsonย :gaycat6:

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5 minutes ago, wastedpotential said:

He's the smarmiest, most... megachurch pastor of the Fox "journalists", the only other interviewer option I'd have more opposition to would be ******* Tucker Carlsonย :gaycat6:

Still don't think it's a good idea for her to do the FOX interview but it's too late now.....:gaycat6:

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I think they're trying to show that she can go into the lion's den and come out unscathed while Trump sticks to his friendly media outlets and dodges the likes of 60 minutes and a 2nd debate because he's weak and unfit

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2 minutes ago, RihRihGirrrl said:

Still don't think it's a good idea for her to do the FOX interview but it's too late now.....:gaycat6:

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I think they're trying to show that she can go into the lion's den and come out unscathed while Trump sticks to his friendly media outlets and dodges the likes of 60 minutes and a 2nd debate because he's weak and unfit

Oh I absolutely agree that's their strategy, I just wish it wouldn't require me to look at someone I find so viscerally repugnant for an hourย :suburban:

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1 hour ago, Vermillion said:

Exactly the opposite of where I am in rural(ish) VA. I've seen more than I ever have. Big custom ones too. It sort of screams insecurity and **** you.

I've also had the opposite experience in my area. My precinct has historically been blue but I've never seen so many Trump signs before in my life. There is ONE Harris-Walz sign. ONE.

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49 minutes ago, Vermillion said:

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Allred ate him up so bad last night whew. I just wish he was a little more charismatic, he came off as wooden a lot of the time.

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Imagine Cruz loses in November, only for the TX GOP to turn around and make him Governor in '26. We can never escape.ย :gaycat6:

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Trump's women focused townhall in GA is in a couple hours :rip: I have a feeling it will be a mess.ย 

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Really good national polls this morning after a couple of weeks of middling ones :jonny:

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9 minutes ago, Armani? said:

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Wow....do absentee ballots get added to the total count last on election day?

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2 minutes ago, RihRihGirrrl said:

Wow....do absentee ballots get added to the total count last on election day?

no they usually da first to be posted well at least here in Blurida lol

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3 minutes ago, dabunique said:

no they usually da first to be posted well at least here in Blurida lol

Ok, would be nice to start with a lead in MI to calm my nervesย 

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So I guess for X Monitors on here that are consistent visitors looking for the #FireWall portion of the #Blue Wall, they need to go to Joshua Smithley for PA and umich for Michigan, which leaves Wisconsin which I don't know who to track yet.

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All I know is Nate Silver and Dave Wassermann are being hounded almost daily at this point and they're both livid :rip:ย I love it :rip:ย 

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