Tovitov Posted October 10 Posted October 10 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Adrian14 said: a disaster That's Trump's internal polling his campaign just released. I'd argue it's not all that good for him at all. In theory, internal polling usually favors the candidate that finances them. That's not always the case but it's surprising how close even his own pollster is showing the swing states. Edited October 10 by Tovitov 1
Sannie Posted October 10 Posted October 10 6 minutes ago, Adrian14 said: a disaster F stands for "fantastic poll". 10
Tovitov Posted October 10 Posted October 10 (edited) Guys, that's literally Trump's own pollster. I honestly don't think these numbers are bad for Harris at all given that it's his own campaigns internal polling. Edited October 10 by Tovitov 4 1
Blade Posted October 10 Posted October 10 2 minutes ago, Tovitov said: That's Trump's internal polling his campaign just released. I'd argue it's not all that good for him at all. In theory, internal polling usually favors the candidate that finances them. That's not always the case but it's surprising how close even his own pollster is showing the swing states. Reminder that even some *good* pollsters were releasing Trump +1 polls in PA (despite it ending up Biden +1) right before the election. 2 2
Blade Posted October 10 Posted October 10 Nate's first tweet implying that those polls show Harris leading the blue wall states and NC narrowly 2 1
anti-bitch Posted October 10 Posted October 10 42 minutes ago, Raspberries said: Honestly, let these people live in shambles and die then. I don't feel bad for them But it could be argued that the Biden admin and White House have failed in combatting misinformation in recent years, and Trump keeps saying whatever because he knows he can get away with it. 1
Tovitov Posted October 10 Posted October 10 3 minutes ago, Blade said: Nate's first tweet implying that those polls show Harris leading the blue wall states and NC narrowly I'm honestly surprised Trump's campaign released these. Maybe they were leaked. Someone suggested it's to help boost turnout, but Trump supporters think they're winning regardless. This just makes me think Harris really is ahead in the Midwest right now. 2 1
GhostBox Posted October 10 Posted October 10 6 minutes ago, Blade said: Nate's first tweet implying that those polls show Harris leading the blue wall states and NC narrowly Exactly. Those are horrible numbers for Trump given that these are his own internal poll numbers which have a built in bias to show him in the lead 💀 call me crazy but this just made me a little more hopeful 💃🏽 3
Armani? Posted October 10 Posted October 10 2 hours ago, Sannie said: Well, when you have a narrative to push bc the powers at be want Trump to win, you gotta pull your data from the only sources that back up said narrative. I dont think they want Trump to win necessarily, but they want the race to be "interesting" with dramatized election outcomes Anyways, Trump got 19% of Black men in 2020 in Edison and 12% in Pew Research. Catalist likely 15% since they have overall Black vote at 90% Biden. Overall that's around 15% average with those 3 exit polls. The polls so far average around 17% Trump predebate for Black Men overall including NAACP(19%*). BVP - 18%, Howard - 16% & Ipsos/Post - 16%. A 2% difference for all these sensationalized headlines. And Kamala did get a small bump after the debate, so...just looks like noise to me. Maybe he does gain one or two percent, or not. 3 1
Sannie Posted October 10 Posted October 10 22 minutes ago, anti-***** said: But it could be argued that the Biden admin and White House have failed in combatting misinformation in recent years, and Trump keeps saying whatever because he knows he can get away with it. There are some narratives we can say the Dems have failed to properly push back on (immigration), but there's no way in hell we can place blame on Dems for not combating information like "Dems have a hurricane machine". You cannot combat misinformation with these people. They are not willing to believe anything other than Trump. The onus to get them to realize the truth is on Trump. 3
GhostBox Posted October 10 Posted October 10 I like the idea of sending bill to small rural places. 👏🏼 1 1
Armani? Posted October 10 Posted October 10 5 minutes ago, GhostBox said: if done correctly town halls can be great 👏🏼 I like this 2
cloudbusting Posted October 10 Posted October 10 2 hours ago, dabunique said: Here in Miami i get what they're going for, but this is why graphic design isn't for everyone - this is kind of a mess the fonts make it look like "vote for Trump" and "don't respect Haiti" 5
RihRihGirrrl Posted October 10 Posted October 10 3 minutes ago, dabunique said: Throw him in the dumpster fire please
dabunique Posted October 10 Posted October 10 Just now, RihRihGirrrl said: Throw him in the dumpster fire please with Trump please
Armani? Posted October 10 Posted October 10 I don't think anyone was predicting 4pt lead avgs in the states but we'll see what happens next month 5
dabunique Posted October 10 Posted October 10 i'm demented but i think Trump will use these busted polls to try to prove da election was stolen come November not my Aunt sayin she will move to Greece if Trump doesn't win lol and then she was like u will visit me cuz da men r fine there lol 1 2
shelven Posted October 10 Posted October 10 3 hours ago, Blade said: @shelven NYT showing deep red FL again To be fair, I assume this is the same poll as the presidential one and they just split the results into two articles to get more clicks? So if their Trump +13 had an outlier sample, it'd make sense for Scott to also benefit from that. Guess we won't know until election day whether they're actually on to something or if this is their Wisconsin Biden +17 1
shelven Posted October 10 Posted October 10 2 minutes ago, VOSS said: idk how y'all are still looking at the polls daily Yeah even I'm starting to check out a bit and I'm probably one of the Top 3 nerdiest poll watchers in here This race has been incredibly stable for weeks despite a lot of people on Twitter attempting to convince everyone otherwise
Vroom Vroom Posted October 10 Posted October 10 5 minutes ago, VOSS said: idk how y'all are still looking at the polls daily I'm so glad I don't mess with political Twitter. I get most of my election discourse from here. My mental health would not be well if I opened Twitter and saw a million doomsday posts 3
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