Blade Posted October 1 Posted October 1 1 minute ago, Lightbringer007 said: Should be noted that PA is a bus tour in Central PA not just 1 stop. 2
Blade Posted October 1 Posted October 1 I can't imagine the Clinton campaign looking at nonurban WA swinging 5 pts right to near double digits R margin and thinking white voters in swing states wouldn't abandon her 1
midnightdawn Posted October 1 Posted October 1 (edited) In our latest Times Opinion focus group, we gathered 15 voters who have some particular insight: They all voted for Mr. Biden in 2020, and most of them have somewhat favorable views of Ms. Harris, yet they are soft in their support of her or have yet to fully commit. The participants felt torn about whether America's best days were ahead or in the past and had seen some modest improvements in the economy — especially the job and housing markets — but felt worried personally about inflation and the future. Perhaps most intriguing of all: None of them wanted Mr. Biden to still be in the race, but their enthusiasm for Ms. Harris was low, too — the sort of middling feelings that come from not knowing someone well or long enough. The participants reviled Mr. Trump; this group wasn't undecided in the sense that most would swing to him. (A few praised him on the economy.) Rather, the group's low enthusiasm for her is a warning sign that with just five weeks to go before Election Day, she has not persuaded the winning Biden coalition in the swing states to a degree that she can bank on. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/30/opinion/harris-trump-swing-voters-focus-group.html Some of their responses are... something else "It's my and many people's opinion, and it's a lot of people's opinion, that men base things off logic and females base things more off emotion. And I'm wondering what would happen if someone got her mad enough. Are we going to go to war because of her emotion or from her logic? Edited October 1 by midnightdawn 1
dman4life Posted October 1 Posted October 1 45 minutes ago, FameFatale said: Scott Jennings AND Byron Donalds on the SAME panel?? JESUS! I'm glad I missed it tonight, I doubt if I woulda watched it anyways I can barely stomach them separately!
dman4life Posted October 1 Posted October 1 Not too much on Abby but I love how Keith called it out to her face for letting Byron Donalds on the air just to lie. I know these pundits and surrogates are loyal to their paychecks but we need to see more of this and I hope we do! 2 1
midnightdawn Posted October 1 Posted October 1 4 minutes ago, dman4life said: Not too much on Abby but I love how Keith called it out to her face for letting Byron Donalds on the air just to lie. I know these pundits and surrogates are loyal to their paychecks but we need to see more of this and I hope we do! Frank Luntz dragged the show last week when he was on for just being about division and pitting people against each other and said he probably won't be asked back on for saying it.
Blade Posted October 1 Posted October 1 6 minutes ago, Lightbringer007 said: in other news! When does early voting in Georgia start? Get his ass to a booth 10
GhostBox Posted October 1 Posted October 1 3 minutes ago, Blade said: When does early voting in Georgia start? Get his ass to a booth I think they still have 14 days till they can vote early 💀
Relampago. Posted October 1 Posted October 1 1 hour ago, shelven said: My dad just sent me a Newsweek article titled "Most likely Kamala Harris scenario is 7 swing state sweep - Nate SIlver model" even though the entire point of SIlver's analysis is that the Harris full sweep scenario is just barely ahead of the Trump full sweep scenario and that the entire race will come down to which direction the polling error goes. Crazy how mainstream news has truly learned NOTHING from the way they covered poll analysis in 2016 The polls have been so strange this election, so I've been looking at other models that don't rely on polling as much, since honestly it seems like pollsters are struggling to form a narrative other than "it's close!", which it is and we know that. That's why I've enjoyed looking at 24cast. They don't rely as much on polling and funny enough, their top 2 scenarios are the same as Silver's, just that their chances of Harris sweeping are ~28% and Trump's are ~7%: https://24cast.org/?raceType=Presidential&state=National 2 1
shelven Posted October 1 Posted October 1 5 minutes ago, Relampago. said: The polls have been so strange this election, so I've been looking at other models that don't rely on polling as much, since honestly it seems like pollsters are struggling to form a narrative other than "it's close!", which it is and we know that. That's why I've enjoyed looking at 24cast. They don't rely as much on polling and funny enough, their top 2 scenarios are the same as Silver's, just that their chances of Harris sweeping are ~28% and Trump's are ~7%: https://24cast.org/?raceType=Presidential&state=National I appreciate organizations putting themselves out there and trying something different from the conventional approach, but some of these state predictions are... odd. R+6 in South Carolina? (They have Texas as redder ) R+11 in Louisiana? They're either about to look like geniuses or there's something quirky going on in their methodology. 1
Wonderland Posted October 1 Posted October 1 4 hours ago, FameFatale said: Oh I just KNOW Miss @Save-Me-Oprah is gonna come for Abby's neck after this disaster 3
Wonderland Posted October 1 Posted October 1 3 hours ago, Lightbringer007 said: in other news! All of y'all who said I cursed him better be sending me an apology 5
ClashAndBurn Posted October 1 Posted October 1 10 hours ago, Relampago. said: Me when I justify spending my savings on League of Legends skins instead of budgeting for groceries because it's not coming directly out of my checking account or retirement plan Like yes, budgets are allotted for different things, but by continuing to justify the overspending on military/military aid because of Israel's conquest just leads us down the same path of getting the budgets approved for wars we don't need to participate in. I remember people here boasting about how the Houthis were gonna get their **** kicked in by America's military superiority and, well… that was a total flop (like nearly everything Biden-Harris have done) 1 1
Wonderland Posted October 1 Posted October 1 (edited) 16 minutes ago, Virgos Groove said: The most pro-labour president in history shining through despite his cognitive impairment I won't say pro-union as he sure hasn't helped Middle East unity lmao Edited October 1 by Wonderland 1
cloudbusting Posted October 1 Posted October 1 8 hours ago, Relampago. said: The thought of Kamala lurking this thread with the Israeli propaganda bots is kinda a wild thought but the coincidences are stacking up picking Walz, declining to use Woman's World, now this 2
cloudbusting Posted October 1 Posted October 1 1 hour ago, Virgos Groove said: they need to just sit him down with some cocomelon and an ice cream cone and keep him out of view until the end of his term 1 1 4
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