Armani? Posted September 10 Posted September 10 Kamala isn't going to lose the Popular vote unless she pulls a Biden tonight lol 2
karron0624 Posted September 10 Posted September 10 13 minutes ago, Bamboo said: When Kamala loses the popular vote but wins the electoral college then what Here is the thing. Republicans can lose the popular vote and win the EC and we will always be fine. If Dems won the EC and lost the popular, the supreme court would find some way to overturn. If they dont, then good luck all of us because we would immediately go into a civil war as republicans would not be able to take it. 1
Vroom Vroom Posted September 10 Posted September 10 17 minutes ago, Bamboo said: When Kamala loses the popular vote but wins the electoral college then what Trump's popular vote ceiling is 46-47%. For Kamala to lose the popular vote, 3rd party candidates would need to get 3%-4% of the popular vote. Which does not seem possible. Kamala's winning the popular vote, but could easily lose in the EC
Blade Posted September 10 Posted September 10 7 minutes ago, slik said: California is not going right lol It almost certainly will. I see about a 2-3 pt rightward shift towards R's especially with the continued erosion of D support among Latino's. Biden won it by almost 30 pts I can see Kamala getting a win with about 27-28 pts.
shelven Posted September 10 Posted September 10 1 hour ago, Relampago. said: Not to say I'm not worried at all, but I don't think there's any reason to be super worried or excited. This debate will be Trump doing Trump things and Kamala holding her own. She'll never be as bad as Biden was, it's just not gonna happen. She has nowhere to go but up compared to that. The most likely outcome is that she does alright, caters to the right as she does, we get mad about it, Trump says 600,000 Haitians are raiding the Miami City Hall as we speak, no one ends up caring and the needle doesn't move and we're in the same tight race we've been in since August started. Just enjoy the show because this is more than likely going to end up as inconsequential. If anything, Kamala might get a cute boost if she can present herself to the American people in a way that actually defines who she is. That's all. Hit the nail on the head. People who are overly stressed about this debate haven't fully internalized that by far the likeliest outcome of this debate is that Harris supporters think she won, Trump supporters think he won, and most undecideds remain undecided Harris would need to have a full-on mental breakdown from the pressure or Trump would have to say the N-word live on stage to meaningfully change that outcome 2
shelven Posted September 10 Posted September 10 In more lighthearted news, Nate Silver is currently losing it on Twitter because of everyone calling out his Thiel connection He's even fighting Bette Midler Time to log off sweetie. 9
FameFatale Posted September 10 Posted September 10 Of course congress started today off with a bang of using their Judiciary Hearings for pure politics to smear and not actually wanting solutions to the problems. They started the day off with "The Biden-Harris Border Crisis: Victim Perspective" with victim families who have been killed by immigrants and exploiting these poor families plus an added bonus of a California Sherriff that doesn't like Kamala Harris. Now they're having "Biden-Harris Border Crisis: Noncitizen Voting," like that's a huge issue impacting us all. And the big kicker tomorrow they're having "The Consequence of Soft on Crime Policies" hearing with none other than people from... you guessed it... San Francisco, California and Minnesota. To tell how big and bad Harris and Walz ruined their states. Ah, don't you just love Republican lead congress being back in session to do NOTHING! 1
Relampago. Posted September 10 Posted September 10 (edited) 5 minutes ago, shelven said: In more lighthearted news, Nate Silver is currently losing it on Twitter because of everyone calling out his Thiel connection He's even fighting Bette Midler Time to log off sweetie. NOT him retweeting this as a defense, he has LOST it Like yeah, we all probably should boycott X too considering what it's become! EDIT: Wait not me not realizing that's Ro Khanna Two democrats who love to pander to the Republicans when it's convenient standing side by side, it all makes sense. Edited September 10 by Relampago.
FameFatale Posted September 10 Posted September 10 https://x.com/jakesherman/status/1833572440061976635?s=46&t=e_CDPZv2n05sHGI5kgLbxQ
tiejc Posted September 10 Posted September 10 I'm gonna skip the debate because I can't handle the anxiety
cloudbusting Posted September 10 Posted September 10 22 minutes ago, FameFatale said: https://x.com/jakesherman/status/1833572440061976635?s=46&t=e_CDPZv2n05sHGI5kgLbxQ nnn just as I expected. I'll be keeping an eye on this and can at least try to offer some insight from within the NPS if it picks up steam. At least this time my housing isn't park provided - the way they couldn't even tell me straight up if I'd still be able to stay ahead of time stressed me OUT and that's why I drove my ass from eastern PA all the way back to Oklahoma when it looked like it was happening last year
GhostBox Posted September 10 Posted September 10 1 hour ago, Relampago. said: NOT him retweeting this as a defense, he has LOST it Like yeah, we all probably should boycott X too considering what it's become! EDIT: Wait not me not realizing that's Ro Khanna Two democrats who love to pander to the Republicans when it's convenient standing side by side, it all makes sense. I just don't know how he can (with a straight face) say Harris has less of a chance of winning in his model than Biden did 💀 1
montacelo Posted September 10 Posted September 10 31 minutes ago, tiejc said: I'm gonna skip the debate because I can't handle the anxiety Me too, I will just check on this thread to see the consensus tomorrow or the day after
Armani? Posted September 10 Posted September 10 Kamala is using Nate Silver headlines in her Facebook ads
FameFatale Posted September 10 Posted September 10 During the last debate people were so distraught over Biden's appearance and performance that they forgot Trump literally only rambled the entire time. He made zero points. Every question that was asked he shifted to "migrant crime" and the border. By the last half of the debate, he started blabbering about golf scores. He doesn't do well without notes or a teleprompter. I have a feeling he's going to hit those same notes + adding some of the things Kamala did as DA/San Francisco and her position changes from 2019 to now. I also wouldn't be surprised if he mention Willie Brown because of his misogyny. 7
Bears01 Posted September 10 Posted September 10 It's stuff like this that makes me so angry in the state I live in. They don't allow ballot measures and just nilly willy pass whatever they want (like banning abortions). The American people, while largely dumb in many ways, still will make the right choice when it comes to this issue 7 1
Pikachoo Posted September 10 Posted September 10 they couldnt have used a better picture than that for Kamala? seriously...
GhostBox Posted September 10 Posted September 10 20 minutes ago, ClashAndBurn said: Hmmm I don't think "Kamala will have a bill clinton like presidency" is gonna hurt her with voters 💀 2
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