DR0GO Posted September 9 Posted September 9 55 minutes ago, Sannie said: My only worry is that Trump becomes so nonsensical that it makes it hard for Kamala to even respond. He absolutely has no idea how to articulate his "plans" for any of these things. If Kamala has to run offense the entire time because he lies about Biden's record, how will she be able to accurately articulate her message? Although there is no evidence of "reverse coattails" being a thing, with the Presidential margin being so small, it's hard to believe Kamala loses NC if the governor race is really this insane. Trump HAS to win NC, correct? So if she wins NC, it's over?
Sannie Posted September 9 Posted September 9 9 minutes ago, Armani? said: The crosstabs in that poll has Kamala improving with Black 84%(+7) & Hispanic voters 57%(+5) compared to their last poll, 18 - 29 is also at 63%(+6) for Kamala now at least. It's a Kamalanomenon.
GhostBox Posted September 9 Posted September 9 Just now, Blade said: Which is why these polls that don't have him on them anymore are pointless. he did not drop out. He just took his name off some states. he should still be on the polls.
Blade Posted September 9 Posted September 9 2 minutes ago, DR0GO said: Trump HAS to win NC, correct? So if she wins NC, it's over? Trump's paths without NC: PA, GA, NV, AZ PA, GA, MI, AZ PA, GA, MI, NV PA, MI, WI, NV, AZ 1
DR0GO Posted September 9 Posted September 9 1 minute ago, Blade said: Trump's paths without NC: PA, GA, NV, AZ PA, GA, MI, AZ PA, GA, MI, NV PA, MI, WI, NV, AZ Oh so basically he's f*cked if she wins NC.
Blade Posted September 9 Posted September 9 A very odd Harris winning map: Harris: WI, GA, NC Trump: PA, MI, NV, AZ
Sannie Posted September 9 Posted September 9 (edited) 9 minutes ago, DR0GO said: Trump HAS to win NC, correct? So if she wins NC, it's over? If Trump loses PA, there is no path to victory unless he picks up WI or MI (which is not going to happen if he loses PA). He could win NC, GA, AZ, and NV and still lose. But Harris also needs PA. If she loses PA, she has to pick up either GA or NC AND NV or AZ. Going by how these states vote, Harris' path is technically more secure, but not by much. Edit: I READ NC AS PA LOL. Edited September 9 by Sannie 2
Blade Posted September 9 Posted September 9 Just now, DR0GO said: Oh so basically he's f*cked if she wins NC. Most modelers have her at 90% chance of winning the presidency if she wins NC. 2
Sannie Posted September 9 Posted September 9 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Blade said: A very odd Harris winning map: Harris: WI, GA, NC Trump: PA, MI, NV, AZ It would be so satisfying for her to win based on GA and NC lmao. Edited September 9 by Sannie
GhostBox Posted September 9 Posted September 9 2 minutes ago, Sannie said: It would be so satisfying for her to win based on GA and NC lmao. It really would. It's kinda like how Ohio was like the must win state for a while but Joe look at it 💀 the Dems showed you can win without it. Maybe it will be the same with PA. 🤷 1
DR0GO Posted September 9 Posted September 9 Mhm and she's hosting not one but TWO rallies in NC this week, on the same day. Quote Vice President Kamala Harris is scheduled to hold back-to-back events in North Carolina this week. She'll be in Charlotte on Thursday, Sept. 12. Why it matters: North Carolina is a battleground state and the election is less than two months away. State of play: Harris will also head to Greensboro on Thursday. The Charlotte event is set for 4:30pm. Additional details for either event have not been released. Catch up quick: This will be Harris' second North Carolina stop since becoming the Democratic nominee for president, our news partners at WBTV report. -- Axios 2
Sannie Posted September 9 Posted September 9 Just now, GhostBox said: It really would. It's kinda like how Ohio was like the must win state for a while but Joe look at it 💀 the Dems showed you can win without it. Maybe it will be the same with PA. 🤷 The last time PA, MI, and WI didn't vote in tandem was in 1988 and that was seemingly an outlier as four years prior they voted together. I just don't see this trend breaking. Thankfully we'll know the winners of MI and WI before PA (maybe days before) so we'll know what to expect.
Blade Posted September 9 Posted September 9 1 minute ago, Sannie said: The last time PA, MI, and WI didn't vote in tandem was in 1988 and that was seemingly an outlier as four years prior they voted together. I just don't see this trend breaking. Thankfully we'll know the winners of MI and WI before PA (maybe days before) so we'll know what to expect. Reminder that the result wasn't that far off from MI voting blue but WI and PA voting red. It was even closer when considering a situation where MI and PA voted blue but WI was red. While they do have similar voting patterns and shifts i wouldn't be shocked if one of them drops off...hopefully not though.
DR0GO Posted September 9 Posted September 9 New rules from GOP-majority election board may cause chaos in Georgia The reshaping of the board in a swing state shows how some Republicans who cast doubt on the 2020 election are driving rules and overseeing some elections
Sannie Posted September 9 Posted September 9 2 minutes ago, DR0GO said: Whack him, Kamala. An interesting ad considering polling has shown the public reacts better to "positive" ads that talk about who Kamala is vs these negative ones. I get the purpose, but everyone knows these things about Trump already. 2 minutes ago, Blade said: Reminder that the result wasn't that far off from MI voting blue but WI and PA voting red. It was even closer when considering a situation where MI and PA voted blue but WI was red. While they do have similar voting patterns and shifts i wouldn't be shocked if one of them drops off...hopefully not though. 1
Lil Mistee Posted September 9 Posted September 9 like it's so over like omgggg omgggg she's gonna ******* ramble tomorrow omfg she's gonna cackle at Donald talking about something random omg like **** me like she's done 1
on the line Posted September 9 Posted September 9 1 hour ago, FameFatale said: Like wtf is this? American ATRLers are too busy calling Taylor Swift a racist, republican because she went to dinner with her partner's work colleague rather than focusing on the real racists and issues. This is big yikes. #America2024 3 1
byzantium Posted September 9 Posted September 9 22 minutes ago, Sannie said: The last time PA, MI, and WI didn't vote in tandem was in 1988 and that was seemingly an outlier as four years prior they voted together. I just don't see this trend breaking. Thankfully we'll know the winners of MI and WI before PA (maybe days before) so we'll know what to expect. Don't imply that they may all go red again!
Sannie Posted September 9 Posted September 9 6 minutes ago, on the line said: American ATRLers are too busy calling Taylor Swift a racist, republican because she went to dinner with her partner's work colleague rather than focusing on the real racists and issues. This is big yikes. #America2024 What a weird deflection. People can do both. 4 minutes ago, byzantium said: Don't imply that they may all go red again! They def. could, I'm just sayin'! Harris has a better chance when it comes to MI and WI.
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