Blade Posted September 6 Posted September 6 Is it just me.... or is this not a good argument to defend the weighing of those rando R polls 7
shelven Posted September 6 Posted September 6 9 minutes ago, Blade said: Is it just me.... or is this not a good argument to defend the weighing of those rando R polls "No you don't understand, my model is flawless BECAUSE I'm relying on code I wrote a full decade ago in a completely different electoral environment when aggressive partisan pollsters who exist solely to shape electoral narratives were a significantly smaller problem in the industry!" Oh he's LOST it 1 1 5
midnightdawn Posted September 6 Posted September 6 Nate's so annoying, why do y'all live and die by what he says 1
Blade Posted September 6 Posted September 6 10 minutes ago, midnightdawn said: Nate's so annoying, why do y'all live and die by what he says 12 minutes ago, shelven said: "No you don't understand, my model is flawless BECAUSE I'm relying on code I wrote a full decade ago in a completely different electoral environment when aggressive partisan pollsters who exist solely to shape electoral narratives were a significantly smaller problem in the industry!" Oh he's LOST it I still think he's one of the better modelers but god how do her numbers and high quality pollsters point to going from 57% to less than 39% chance in less than a month? Your model is broken!!! Not entirely but at least when it comes to the way he handled her numbers post convention and the resistance to weighing what other very knowledgeable people call "junk polls" appropriately. 1
Redstreak Posted September 6 Posted September 6 45 minutes ago, Lil Mistee said: shes at her peak I fear Im not necessarily hopeful but the debate is pretty much her last chance at having a lot of eyes on her for another boost. I can't believe the election is just two months away
19SLAYty9 Posted September 7 Posted September 7 If George W Bush endorses Kamala, what effect would it have?
dabunique Posted September 7 Posted September 7 5 minutes ago, FameFatale said: dats his calling card ... he has done this in da last two election cycles intimidation at its finest
shelven Posted September 7 Posted September 7 17 minutes ago, 19SLAYty9 said: If George W Bush endorses Kamala, what effect would it have? Some notable (but not massive) movement in her favour, I think. Anyone who's firmly in the MAGA camp already thinks Bush is an outdated establishment elite, so they won't care what he thinks. But it's easy to imagine some Republican-leaning swing voters who haven't quite bought the "Trump is an active threat to American democracy" line but who are finally convinced by the dramatic story of a president from one party endorsing the other party's candidate. An endorsement from Bush would make some Republicans feel like they now have "permission" to vote Dem for this cycle while maintaining their Republican identity. 3
Relampago. Posted September 7 Posted September 7 1 hour ago, Blade said: Is it just me.... or is this not a good argument to defend the weighing of those rando R polls He is.. something He should instead just remind people that his model is just that— a model. It likely won't even be fully accurate until just days before the election. Defending decade old code from during the Obama admin is… 1
Relampago. Posted September 7 Posted September 7 24 minutes ago, 19SLAYty9 said: If George W Bush endorses Kamala, what effect would it have? I think we'd see small bumps for her, especially in states like AZ where Republicans are more traditional than MAGA, but nothing major. It wouldn't hurt if anything. 1
Relampago. Posted September 7 Posted September 7 The way I wish my fellow project managers would make a meeting agenda with purpose and intent. If I don't have time for useless kickoffs/statuses where no one read the suggested documents and meetings that could be emails, I highly doubt the VP of the United States would If anything, I'm wondering why other elected officials aren't expecting their staffers to be prepared. 1 3
GhostBox Posted September 7 Posted September 7 9 minutes ago, Blade said: Wow that's great for the Dems 👏🏼
GhostBox Posted September 7 Posted September 7 1 hour ago, Blade said: Lose by less is a great strategy Losing by less in republican counties is key to winning these states just as much as increasing your votes in the dem leaning counties is. So this is good to see 👏🏼
GhostBox Posted September 7 Posted September 7 The project 2025 stuff must really be hurting the campaign for them to be sending out these flyers to people 💀 1
FameFatale Posted September 7 Posted September 7 2 hours ago, GhostBox said: The project 2025 stuff must really be hurting the campaign for them to be sending out these flyers to people 💀 If anything this would make an out of the loop person who receive one of these to Google project 2025 2 1
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