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2024 US Election Megathread ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›๏ธ


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Posted
On 9/6/2024 at 12:45 AM, FameFatale said:

She is so :rip:ย 

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Can't wait for her to name it Becoming or Becoming Melaniaย :heart:

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Posted

Hope Kamala is ready to clean this up at the debate. They really should just limit Biden to retirement and nursing homes atp if they must use him at allย :rip:

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Posted
5 hours ago, Vermillion said:

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I dont have much hope for these kinds of guys voting for Kamala, but 18-29 males are the most disengaged voter group & very unreliable... so let's hope that works in Kamala's favor

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Posted
2 hours ago, Harriser said:

I dont have much hope for these kinds of guys voting for Kamala, but 18-29 males are the most disengaged voter group & very unreliable... so let's hope that works in Kamala's favor

Kamala is going to win majority of young men. She'll likely lose young White men by some points, but young Latino & Black men will cancel it out.ย 

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I did my own my hypothetical sample & I don't see how see how Trump makes enough inroads. They will still be the most left wing men of all their own groups voting wise with the exception of young Black men since old Black men are just more partisan.

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12M Young Men

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If the POC turnout is similar to 2020, Young White men flipping to Trump will be cancelled out.

It would be a majority of around 54% Young Men voting Kamala(6.5M), 43% Trump (5.2M)

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Young White Men - 61% of ย young men
52%Trump/45% Kamala

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Young Black Men - 11% of young men
85%Kamala/12% Trump
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Young Hispanic Men - 20% of young men
60%Kamala/37% Trump

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Other POC Vote Male - 8% of total young men vote
65% Kamala/33

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Posted
6 hours ago, Vermillion said:

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If the election turns out to be about abortion ( which it seems like ) Kamala will win.ย 

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Posted
2 hours ago, Armani? said:

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Scott is within striking distanceย :jonny:ย Really hope DMP closes the gap (ofc for control of the Senate and to finally get Scott out of politics, but also as a signal to FL's GOP establishment that people want change)ย 

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Rasmussen +2 :rip:ย 

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Posted
40 minutes ago, FameFatale said:

Rasmussen +2 :rip:ย 

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This isn't the messy Rasmussen. The guy who founded that Rasmussen eventually left it to go run RMG Research, so all of their polls are labeled as RMG/Rasmussen even though there's no active relation to the Rasmussen Reports entity anymore. The guy who now runs RMG still seems a bit right-leaning, but not nearly as extreme or biased as whoever is running Rasmussen Reports nowadays.ย 

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Posted (edited)

Let's Phuckin Goย 

Edited by dabunique
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Posted
9 minutes ago, dabunique said:

Let's Phuckin Goย 

Wayment.ย :jonny:

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Voldemort bein +1 against DMP and now Trump being only +3 when he was +8 or higher a few months ago has me feeling blueย 

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Ughย 

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Posted
1 minute ago, FameFatale said:

Ughย 

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The way this pig keeps avoiding justice and judges keep delaying it :toofunny2:

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Pennsylvania...

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Posted
22 minutes ago, FameFatale said:

Ughย 

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Damn this would have been a nice plus before the election. Maybe it's better in a way, so people can't claim the election is being rigged by the judge's sentencing or something.ย 

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With the Mike Pence testimony possibly being unsealed in the election subversion case any day now we'll be hearing about Trump's legal woes enough leading up to the election.

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Posted
15 minutes ago, Relampago. said:

Damn this would have been a nice plus before the election. Maybe it's better in a way, so people can't claim the election is being rigged by the judge's sentencing or something.ย 

Yea I think it's for the best, even tho it stings a bit. Plus, it's not like he was going to go to prison anyway.ย 

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Posted (edited)

Not the gop leaning judges trying to hurry and take Kennedy off the ballots to help Trump even though he didn't meet the deadline to get his name off the ballots ๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ˜‚

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desperationย 

Edited by GhostBox
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Posted
34 minutes ago, GhostBox said:

Not the gop leaning judges trying to hurry and take Kennedy off the ballots to help Trump even though he didn't meet the deadline to get his name off the ballots ๐Ÿ’€๐Ÿ˜‚

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desperationย 

It's probably a done deal for NC given the court composition, but Michigan Supreme Court will probably side with democrats on keeping RFK jr on. If it goes to SCOTUS, it's anyones guess. In theory, they wont get involved because of the Purcell Principle, but SCOTUS doesnt give a crap anymore soย :gaycat6:

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