Vermillion Posted July 27, 2022 Posted July 27, 2022 I think Roe falling and inflation essentially cancel each other out with inflation slightly winning in terms of the polling. That's why there's this unusual separation in Biden's approvals not pulling down candidates as much as he should be according to usual political conventions. The wild-card continues to be the roughly 60 million in this country that don't vote in off-year elections by principle. Political scientists want so much of the usual rules to apply but we've had so many back-to-back asterisk elections everyone just needs to throw the baby out with the bathwater and ignore them.
Kassi Posted July 27, 2022 Posted July 27, 2022 18 minutes ago, Espresso said: I think Roe falling and inflation essentially cancel each other out with inflation slightly winning in terms of the polling. That's why there's this unusual separation in Biden's approvals not pulling down candidates as much as he should be according to usual political conventions. The wild-card continues to be the roughly 60 million in this country that don't vote in off-year elections by principle. Political scientists want so much of the usual rules to apply but we've had so many back-to-back asterisk elections everyone just needs to throw the baby out with the bathwater and ignore them. Even tho it’s bad for my PredictIt bets (I pretty much have all Republicans winning ), the possibilities are exciting for the future of democracy. Hope Jan 6th Cmte can deal a death blow in Sept along with gas prices falling.
TheLastChord Posted July 27, 2022 Posted July 27, 2022 There's literally zero chance Republcians don't take back the senate and the house, and I'm predicting that they take at least 250 seats in the house. Senate is harder to predict but a Republican majority is a sure bet. A bad economy and midterms is always hell for the White House.
ClashAndBurn Posted July 27, 2022 Posted July 27, 2022 2 hours ago, Espresso said: I think Roe falling and inflation essentially cancel each other out with inflation slightly winning in terms of the polling. That's why there's this unusual separation in Biden's approvals not pulling down candidates as much as he should be according to usual political conventions. The wild-card continues to be the roughly 60 million in this country that don't vote in off-year elections by principle. Political scientists want so much of the usual rules to apply but we've had so many back-to-back asterisk elections everyone just needs to throw the baby out with the bathwater and ignore them. What will truly make the midterms this year is whether or not The Fed’s intentional triggering of a recession in order to hurt workers will have an effect on inflation. Probably won’t, seeing as the inflationary pressures are due to supply chain issues and the war in Ukraine. Neither of which does the Biden Administration have any actual desire to fix because they like cheap goods from China and they want to keep Russia bogged down in a quagmire as long as it takes to affect regime change.
Vermillion Posted July 27, 2022 Posted July 27, 2022 Quote “Well, first of all, Senator Warnock has nothing else to talk about. He don’t want talk about the high gas prices, he don’t want to talk about high groceries. I’ve told him many times I’m ready debate him any time, any day. “All he doin’ is talking. I just want to make it for the fans, not about a political party or some media, and all they are doing is talking. I want to make it a fair and equal debate for the people. “I’m willing to cross the aisle and talk to him about who’s going to host this debate, not do it on his terms, but do it on the terms that the people can see the contrast between he and I, where I don’t want men in womens’ sports. “I’m not gonna have that. I don’t wanna see high gas prices. I wanna see the crime stop. Those are things he voted for which he don’t want to admit, so he needs to answer to that because the Georgia people are talking. “They want him to answer questions, not just hearing him to continue to talk to the media.”
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