FameFatale Posted July 29 Posted July 29 11 minutes ago, Happylittlepunk said: The whole republicans are weirdos trend is delicious. Yes keep going everyone! It really is. I see Republicans and Trump's team are now trying to run with playing Democrats as weird and it just isn't sticking. Trump's top campaign advisor Steven Cheung posted a picture of Montel Williams on a couch saying "weird" on Twitter... lol like what? It goes NOWHERE!
Blade Posted July 29 Posted July 29 This combined with abortion and Kari Lake's crazy ass on the ballot makes me cautiously hopeful for AZ 10 1
Vermillion Posted July 29 Posted July 29 31 minutes ago, TrymeB said: Who are you predicting they'll replace him with? A woman or a Latino or maybe a Latina? The sons insisted on Vance over Bergum who Don wanted. He wants to be the center of attention and not be perceived as holding onto another power source contributing to his downfall. They've leaned too hard into appeasing the base to go for a woman but not necessarily avoid a candidate of color. Bergum he won't bother with now because he'll be seen as tainted with that reporting and he'll want the shock factor. He won't go for Haley - my prediction's Rubio.
GhostBox Posted July 29 Posted July 29 14 minutes ago, Blade said: This combined with abortion and Kari Lake's crazy ass on the ballot makes me cautiously hopeful for AZ I really do believe Kamala will squeeze out a small AZ victory like Biden did. 2
NausAllien Posted July 29 Posted July 29 7 minutes ago, Vermillion said: my prediction's Rubio. He can't pick Rubio. According to the 12th Amendment, electors aren't allowed to cast votes for both the president and vice president from the same state. Rubio and Trump are both legally from Florida. This could create a tricky situation that could end up with Trump as president and Walz/Shapiro/Kelly/whoever as his videpresident.
Sannie Posted July 29 Posted July 29 Marc Elias says there is no legal way for them to drop Vance at this point so it may not even be possible lol. even if this is true, what a weird thing to do. Why would anyone canvas war-torn Gaza to ask about American politics?
Blade Posted July 29 Posted July 29 https://www.natesilver.net/p/silver-bulletin-2024-biden-trump Archived Nate Silver Biden-Trump model It was pay walled previously but is now public. Tomorrow, the Harris-Trump model will be paywalled minus the poll averages. 1
Vermillion Posted July 29 Posted July 29 1 minute ago, Sannie said: Why would anyone canvas war-torn Gaza to ask about American politics? Because it's our bombs single-handedly propping up Netanyahu's aerial bombardments at the moment and not his reserves? An "informal canvassing" is wildly subjective and weak to fall from arguments of selective bias though. I've baked in at this point that there's no amount of the Israeli's accepted collateral that'll be a red line for Kamala as long as Biden's in power at the resolute desk. The political problem at the heart of this is Kamala can't cross him while running and divide the party. Its the ultimate catch 22. 1
Vermillion Posted July 29 Posted July 29 4 minutes ago, Sannie said: Thank god. Now we wait to see if either accept Fox. Unless I missed something.
Sannie Posted July 29 Posted July 29 5 minutes ago, Vermillion said: Because it's our bombs single-handedly propping up Netanyahu's aerial bombardments at the moment and not his reserves? An "informal canvassing" is wildly subjective and weak to fall from arguments of selective bias though. I've baked in at this point that there's no amount of the Israeli's accepted collateral that'll be a red line for Kamala as long as Biden's in power at the resolute desk. The political problem at the heart of this is Kamala can't cross him while running and divide the party. Its the ultimate catch 22. I just found out it was, like, 4 people asked. Still seems insulting. 4 minutes ago, Vermillion said: Now we wait to see if either accept Fox. Unless I missed something. Kamala won't back out.
Vermillion Posted July 29 Posted July 29 I'm seeing this make the rounds again. If Bernie's "Trump voters aren't inherently racist" retrending tweet was Exhibit A of the primary-that-won't-ever-die, and the K-Hive's rage at the now-impotent Bernie from the Biden endorsement wanting influence on the FTC was Exhibit B I guess this is Exhibit C. I'm exhausted with both Bernie and Hillary at this point. I don't want to hear about either or from either.
Vermillion Posted July 29 Posted July 29 1 minute ago, Sannie said: I just found out it was, like, 4 people asked. Still seems insulting. Insulting just from a journalistic perspective, but certainly one would hope would be the impetus for something official if that was physically possible. 1 minute ago, Sannie said: Kamala won't back out. Has she accepted the Fox News offer in the first place?
Sanctuary Posted July 29 Posted July 29 They will keep Vance on, if anything to make him a fall guy and not have to acknowledge Trump and MAGA's unpopularity when they lose 1
NausAllien Posted July 29 Posted July 29 This is something KEY that people need to keep in mind for the remaining 99 days until the Election: The Electoral College bias WILL NOT change with Kamala in the race. Kamala has to be at least 2-3% ahead in the national polls to offset the EC bias. 1
Vermillion Posted July 29 Posted July 29 22 minutes ago, NausAllien said: He can't pick Rubio. According to the 12th Amendment, electors aren't allowed to cast votes for both the president and vice president from the same state. Rubio and Trump are both legally from Florida. This could create a tricky situation that could end up with Trump as president and Walz/Shapiro/Kelly/whoever as his videpresident. Aware of all of the above but I think he's crazy and angry enough to at least want to try it, legal filings and all. 3 minutes ago, NausAllien said: This is something KEY that people need to keep in mind for the remaining 99 days until the Election: The Electoral College bias WILL NOT change with Kamala in the race. Kamala has to be at least 2-3% ahead in the national polls to offset the EC bias. I go by 2-3% ahead in the swing state polls first and foremost on EC bias
WildAmerican Posted July 29 Posted July 29 1 minute ago, Vermillion said: never beating the weird allegations 2 4
TrymeB Posted July 29 Posted July 29 1 hour ago, Vroom Vroom said: I wonder if he would be desperate enough to ask Haley His bloated ego won't ever let him go to Haley.
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