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Billboard: LWYMMD 500k; 200k sold; likely to debut early


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Ugh. I hate how radio is a different tracking week. Ruins #1 debuts. 

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OMG, someone is lying, and I believe it's Billboard.

Edited by Ger-55
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5 hours ago, Mattyboy said:

Ugh. I hate how radio is a different tracking week. Ruins #1 debuts. 

Not really, it's very hard to debut based on Airplay alone, it's gonna be like the first time on the streaming era.

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slayyy. and kworb's projection is now up at 308k

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1 hour ago, Ger-55 said:

Not really, it's very hard to debut based on Airplay alone, it's gonna be like the first time on the streaming era.

I don’t understand how she will. If JT, Ed, or any of the other #1 debuts didn’t.

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3 minutes ago, alltoowell13 said:

She broke the radio record. 

No she didn’t, JT did last year but she’s barely at 30 AI

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5 minutes ago, alltoowell13 said:

Based on spins she did. Pop radio 2858, overall over 4k.

 

 

What’s her current AI?

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26 minutes ago, Mattyboy said:

No she didn’t, JT did last year but she’s barely at 30 AI

Both she and JT had a 33M first day. Taylor slightly higher

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yeah no way this is selling 300k in a week if it sold near 200k in a day. not with the music video, vma's coming. 

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21 hours ago, Mattyboy said:

Ugh. I hate how radio is a different tracking week. Ruins #1 debuts. 

It shouldn't be part of the HOT 100 at all. Even the tracking week is different. The chart would be wildly different if we went by streams and sales. The labels want a surefire way to be able to change or alter the outcome of songs directly. Radio rewards pay for play. 

Edited by Adonis
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23 hours ago, Saintlor said:

Poor Kworb

 

This is more reliable, right? Since Kworb had CTTR at 45k

but kworb is doing just math, for now, the song may sell 300k, but HDD and Billboard are thinking about the power of MTV Awards. after that kworb may change his prediction. it depends how mtv effect will be

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They changed their Prediction to 400,000-500,000

 

"According to industry projections, "Look," the first single from Swift's album Reputation, due Nov. 10, could sell between 400,000 and 500,000 downloads in its first week."

 

http://www.billboard.com/amp/articles/columns/chart-beat/7942336/taylor-swift-look-what-you-made-me-do-headed-no-1-hot-100

 

 

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11 minutes ago, Chainsmoker said:

They changed their Prediction to 400,000-500,000

 

"According to industry projections, "Look," the first single from Swift's album Reputation, due Nov. 10, could sell between 400,000 and 500,000 downloads in its first week."

 

http://www.billboard.com/amp/articles/columns/chart-beat/7942336/taylor-swift-look-what-you-made-me-do-headed-no-1-hot-100

 

 

Exactly what i expected. Probably more in 400k side.

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She sold just over 189k Friday, but only ~ 57k on Saturday + Sunday, for ~ 246k. She'll have a bump for Monday (70k maybe), but I see another significant drop for Tue-Thu (30k/15k/10-15k). I'm not "Shading" Taylor. But I think I'm sticking with my 370k. Kworb is just above me at 375k, and that's AFTER he factored in the VMA effect.

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