official chart Billboard Charts (August 6-12, 2017)

[*No Angel*]

Cardi is really coming for top 10 next week 

[FanOfPop]

Interesting that "Slow Hands" and "Strip That Down" are switching and outpeaking themselves.

 

By the way, I'm really hoping that "Believer" will be #4 next week before "Attention" and "Bodak Yellow" will take over Top 5. I think it has really good chance since it did still not peak on radio.

[ARISTOCLOW!]

3 hours ago, ARTPØP said:

Early Predictions.

 

1. Despacito (=) **14th week**

2. Wild Thoughts (=)  

3. Unforgettable (=) 

4. Believer (+1) 

5. That's What I Like (-1) 

6. Attention (+1) 

7. There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back (+1) 

8. I'm The One (-2) 

9. Bodak Yellow (+5) 

10. Body Like a Back Road (=) 

 

11. Shape of You (-2) 

12. Redbone (=) 

13. Strip That Down (+3) 

14. Congratulations (-3) 

15. Slow Hands (=)  

16. Bank Account (+2) 

17. HUMBLE. (-4) 

18. Feels (+3) 

19. Something Just Like This (-2) 

20. Rake It Up (+6) 

The charts getting excited again!!!!   Bodak Yellow/21Savage/ Feels/Praying/ Feel It Still/ Rake It Up/ Strip That Down coming!!!!!

[simmnfierzig]

Early predictions

 

1 Despacito       540  (=) -7%

2 Wild Thoughts       407 (=)  +0%

3 Unforgettable       318  (=)

4 Believer       299  (+1)

5 Attention       293  (+2)

6 There's Nothing Holdin Me Back       287  (+2)

7 That's What I Like       277  (-3)

8 I'm The One       264  (-2)

9 Bodak Yellow       258  (+5)

10 Body Like A Back Road       255  (=)

11 Shape Of You       244  (-2)

12 Strip That Down       212  (+4)

13 Slow Hands       209  (+2)

14 Bank Account       207  (+4)

15 Congratulations       207  (-4)

16 Humble       201  (-3)

17 Something Just Like This       195  (=)

18 Redbone       193  (-6)

19 XO Tour Lif3       184  (+1)

20 Feels       183  (+1)

 

24 Mi Gente 154 (+4)

26 Rake It Up 149 (=)

30 Sorry Not Sorry 133 (=)

32 Feel It Still 127 (+2)

35 Love Galore 105 (2)

44 Versace On The Floor 87 (+2)

46 No Promises 87 (+5)

Edited August 8, 2017 by simmnfierzig

[FanOfPop]

2 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said:

Early predictions

 

1 Despacito       540  (=) -7%

2 Wild Thoughts       407 (=)  +0%

3 Unforgettable       318  (=)

4 Believer       299  (+1)

5 Attention       293  (+2)

6 There's Nothing Holdin Me Back       287  (+2)

7 That's What I Like       277  (-3)

8 I'm The One       264  (-2)

9 Bodak Yellow       258  (+5)

10 Body Like A Back Road       255  (=)

11 Shape Of You       244  (-2)

12 Strip That Down       212  (+4)

13 Slow Hands       209  (+2)

14 Bank Account       207  (+4)

15 Congratulations       207  (-4)

16 Humble       201  (-3)

17 Something Just Like This       195  (=)

18 Redbone       193  (-6)

19 XO Tour Lif3       184  (+1)

20 Feels       183  (+1)

 

24 Mi Gente 154 (+4)

26 Rake It Up 149 (=)

30 Sorry Not Sorry 133 (=)

32 Feel It Still 127 (+2)

35 Love Galore 105 (2)

44 Versace On The Floor 87 (+2)

Do you think "No Promises" could enter Top 50?

[One Nation]

14 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said:

Early predictions

 

1 Despacito       540  (=) -7%

2 Wild Thoughts       407 (=)  +0%

3 Unforgettable       318  (=)

4 Believer       299  (+1)

5 Attention       293  (+2)

6 There's Nothing Holdin Me Back       287  (+2)

7 That's What I Like       277  (-3)

8 I'm The One       264  (-2)

9 Bodak Yellow       258  (+5)

10 Body Like A Back Road       255  (=)

11 Shape Of You       244  (-2)

12 Strip That Down       212  (+4)

13 Slow Hands       209  (+2)

14 Bank Account       207  (+4)

15 Congratulations       207  (-4)

16 Humble       201  (-3)

17 Something Just Like This       195  (=)

18 Redbone       193  (-6)

19 XO Tour Lif3       184  (+1)

20 Feels       183  (+1)

 

24 Mi Gente 154 (+4)

26 Rake It Up 149 (=)

30 Sorry Not Sorry 133 (=)

32 Feel It Still 127 (+2)

35 Love Galore 105 (2)

44 Versace On The Floor 87 (+2)

46 No Promises 87 (+5)

So if Despacito were to lose 40 points each week, it would be at 420 points going into it's 17th week...but of course that isn't realistic.

 

Week 14: 540 (-40)

Week 15: 495 (-45)

Week 16: 460 (-35) GMA performance

Week 17: 415 (-45)

 

This is assuming there is no discount and radio doesn't drop it like a hot potato soon.

 

 

 

Edited August 8, 2017 by One Nation

[One Nation]

@simmnfierzig Did the slight increase from the 3 billion views news impact your numbers?

[simmnfierzig]

17 minutes ago, One Nation said:

So if Despacito were to lose 40 points each week, it would be at 420 points going into it's 17th week...but of course that isn't realistic.

 

Week 14: 540 (-40)

Week 15: 495 (-45)

Week 16: 460 (-35) GMA performance

Week 17: 415 (-45)

 

This is assuming there is no discount and radio doesn't drop it like a hot potato soon.

 

 

 

16 weeks seem very likely... 17 might get tricky

 

14 minutes ago, One Nation said:

@simmnfierzig Did the slight increase from the 3 billion views news impact your numbers?

I adjusted the numbers down a bit since that boost shouldnt hold up.

But also no US Youtube numbers sonfar for the week... So I had to make more inaccurate estimates from global numbers for everything anyway

Edited August 8, 2017 by simmnfierzig

[One Nation]

2 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said:

16 weeks seem very likely... 17 might get tricky

 

I adjusted the numbers down a bit since that boost shouldnt hold up.

But also no US Youtube numbers sonfar for the week... So I had to make more inaccurate estimates from global numbers for everything anyway

The numbers you estimated because of no YT data; were they trended upward or downward for Despacito and WT?

[simmnfierzig]

2 minutes ago, One Nation said:

The numbers you estimated because of no YT data; were they trended upward or downward for Despacito and WT?

 

 

Edit: ugh. No. Down for both. I'm tired. Pretty equally down

Edited August 8, 2017 by simmnfierzig

[One Nation]

Just now, simmnfierzig said:

Stable for Despacito and down a bit for WT

Thanks!

[QueenofCopyPaste]

Bodak Yellow only 149 points behind Wild Thoughts

 

 

[sakisfan16]

@simmnfierzig do you see ''praying'' having new peak next week or at least to be close to it's peak?

Edited August 8, 2017 by sakisfan16

[alexanderao]

Bank Account  Lowkey wish it was Numb that blew up like this, but I love BA as well.

[QueenofCopyPaste]

After Top 10..it looks like Bodak is coming for the Top 5 region pretty soon

 

 

 

[B-Rabbit]

3 hours ago, Willy. said:

I think it'll happen in a couple of weeks. Last time two female rappers were in the T10 was in 2014, I believe.

 

But two Trini's there >>>

How will it happen in a couple of weeks 

[umich]

1 hour ago, simmnfierzig said:

12 Strip That Down       212  (+4)

13 Slow Hands       209  (+2)

 

[thirdward]

Billboard Hot 100: #66(+8) Crew, @GoldLink Feat. @brentfaiyaz & @ShyGlizzy [6 weeks]. *new peak*

 song of the summer 

[Green]

Cardi B should perform at the VMA's.

 

She would reach the #1 by then because Despacito would be weaker after the 16th week at #1 unless Fonsi performs at the VMA's too

[Willy.]

42 minutes ago, B-Rabbit said:

How will it happen in a couple of weeks 

Rake It Up's MV drops on Friday. I don't know if it'll go Top 10 (depends on how many views the vid gets, but watch it peak a thing #11), but Top 15 def, IMO. It's #26 atm. 

 

@simmnfierzig how many US streams does the video need for RIU to go Top 10, please?

[slw84]

1 hour ago, J-boy said:

Bodak Yellow only 149 points behind Wild Thoughts

 

 

When you put it that way and looking at how much it has to grow wow this might actually hit #1 afterall.

At least book the outside stage on VMAs but are there other potential promo outlets in september/october (Bet hip hop awards possibly) that can assist it.

 

10 minutes ago, Green said:

Cardi B should perform at the VMA's.

 

She would reach the #1 by then because Despacito would be weaker after the 16th week at #1 unless Fonsi performs at the VMA's too

I honestly would wonder why he WOULDN"T perform at the VMAs.

Like, he's young and in his prime and this is a defining record and the song of the summer.

I feel like he's going to perform for sure...

[Sinister]

28 minutes ago, thirdward said:

Billboard Hot 100: #66(+8) Crew, @GoldLink Feat. @brentfaiyaz & @ShyGlizzy [6 weeks]. *new peak*

 song of the summer 

False...its Song of the Year, not just the summer

[QueenofCopyPaste]

DESPACITO's TIMELINE to tying MARIAH's RECORD

 

1st week at #1 - 518 

2nd week at #1 - 610 (+92)

3rd week at #1 - 660 (+50)

4th week at #1 - 703 (+43)

5th week at #1 - 737 (+35)

6th week at #1 - 768 (+31) (peaked in overall points)

7th week at #1 - 748 (-20) (point decline starts) JUNE 21: Summer begins officially

8th week at #1 - 722 (-26)
9th week at #1  - 720 points (-2) Wild Thoughts: 397 points Gap difference: 323 points

10th week at #1   703 (-17) Wild Thoughts: (397 points) (= points)  Gap difference: 306 points 
11th week at #1 - 678 (-25)  Wild Thoughts: (394 points) (-3 points)  Gap difference: 284 points 

12th week at #1 - 624 (-54)  Wild Thoughts: (398 points) (+4 points)  Gap difference: 226 points 

13th week at #1 - 580 (-44)  Wild Thoughts: (405 points) (+7 points)  Gap difference: 175 points 

 

 

August 14 - 14th (data from August 4 to 10)  BASED ON EARLY PREDICTIONS : 540 (-40 points) *NEAREST COMPETITION: DJ Khaled/Rihanna/Bryson Tiller - Wild Thoughts (407 points) (+2 points)  GAP DIFFERENCE: 133 (-42) points  ***Despacito hits 3 billion views

 

 

August 21 - 15th (data from August 11 to 17) **Kesha album release** / ***P!nk releases lead single "What About Us" on August 11 ***Luis Fonsi performs on Good Morning America on August 16  ***Possible Taylor Swift release/Sam Smith release
***ties record***August 28 - 16th (data from August 18 to 24) ***Possible Taylor Swift/Sam Smith release***Rachel Platten releases lead single, Broken Glass/Katy Perry Swish Swish video premiere on August 21

***breaks record****September 2 - 17th (data from August 25 to 31) ***Possible Taylor Swift/Sam Smith release********Fifth Harmony album release on August 25***VMAS on August 27

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September 22 - Summer ends officially

 

 

 

***Numerical data courtesy of simmfierzig's weekly prediction points

[TSLGNMA]

11 hours ago, brainmaniac said:

88. NEW - Honest - The Chainsmokers

 

Kings are coming 

 

They should have released it sooner to maintain their consecutive weeks in the Top 10 streak though

 

 

Just heard this on the radio 3 times in 1 hour.  It's coming. 

[QueenofCopyPaste]

Bank Account:

July 17 - 100 points (debut)

July 24 - 112 (+12)

July 31 - 137 (+25)

Aug 7 - 183 (+46)

Aug 14 - 207 (+24) ** early prediction at #14

 

 

Bodak Yellow:

July 17 - 47 points

July 24 - 80 (+33)

July 31 - 118 (+38)

Aug 7 - 204 (+86)

Aug 14 - 258 (+54) *** early prediction at #9