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Posted
9 minutes ago, LostInStereo100 said:

Damn how many streams will Taylor have for the whole tracking week? :eek: Just casually getting 10 Million YT on a Monday US. That not including Spotify or AM? Will this be close to 100 Million US streams? :dies: 

 

I THINK 80 is completely realistic

She is at around 30M on Youtube with 3 days left

She is at 11.8M on Spotify with 2 days left

She is back at #1 on Apple Music

 

Apple Music will be the wildcard. Do we know what the #1 is usually pulling over there?

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Posted

Despacito is up to ~ 200 M Spotify streams. Counting other ODS websites, as well as streams from Vevo and YT, how many domestic streams has Despacito received since its release? I'm trying to determine whether or not it might win the first streaming-heavy Diamond award for a single. With 3 M in sales, Despacito needs 1.05 B streams. With 3.5 M in sales, Despacito needs 975 M streams. 3 M looks like it's in the bag, and 3.5 M isn't necessarily out of reach. Closer wasn't selling this much past the 2 M point. I don't remember JT's sales after 30 weeks, but with ~367k his first week, he didn't need to keep selling 80/week for so long to get his totals up.

Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, alestevens said:

She is at around 30M on Youtube with 3 days left

She is at 11.8M on Spotify with 2 days left

She is back at #1 on Apple Music

 

Apple Music will be the wildcard. Do we know what the #1 is usually pulling over there?

Her lyrics video pulled 7m in the US first day. Frankly I'm surprised she only got 10m for both lyric and official MV on monday given how massive the official video was.

 

hopefully we get 45m  on youtube, 15m on spotify, is it too much to ask for 10m from others? I really want her to top Despatico peak streaming numbers at 69.6m

 

at peak: (June 16-22), Despacito pulled 28.3m from Youtube, 15,8 from Spotify, 25.5 from others (???)

So they are about equal on spotify, hpoefully the youtube number advantage will push her over Despacito

Edited by freddisier
Posted

75M is on lock for Taylor. 80M very possible

Posted
12 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said:

75M is on lock for Taylor. 80M very possible

do you think she can get more than 1k points?

Posted
1 hour ago, freddisier said:

do you think she can get more than 1k points?

She will

Posted
5 hours ago, brianc33616 said:

Despacito is up to ~ 200 M Spotify streams. Counting other ODS websites, as well as streams from Vevo and YT, how many domestic streams has Despacito received since its release? I'm trying to determine whether or not it might win the first streaming-heavy Diamond award for a single. With 3 M in sales, Despacito needs 1.05 B streams. With 3.5 M in sales, Despacito needs 975 M streams. 3 M looks like it's in the bag, and 3.5 M isn't necessarily out of reach. Closer wasn't selling this much past the 2 M point. I don't remember JT's sales after 30 weeks, but with ~367k his first week, he didn't need to keep selling 80/week for so long to get his totals up.

The Hills will be the first streaming heavy song to go diamond

Posted

What was the last song to get over 1k points?

Posted
1 hour ago, Smilers said:

The Hills will be the first streaming heavy song to go diamond

How many streams has The Hills amassed? And, does The Weekend's label keep up well with his certifications?

Posted
14 hours ago, blackbeatxx said:

What was the last song to get over 1k points?

JT's Feeling? He sold ~ 367k his first week, but his streams were rather weak. Edit -- I went back and corrected week with weak.

Posted
1 minute ago, brianc33616 said:

How many streams has The Hills amassed? And, does The Weekend's label keep up well with his certifications?

The Hills was certified 9x platinum just last month, on July 14th. It's not in the Spotify top 200 at the moment, but it's probably pretty close, seeing as it snuck in for a day (August 13th) recently at #198. Looking at YouTube, it got 1,079,804 streams during the last full tracking week (8/18 - 8/24), which equates to 7.2k units. 

Posted
5 minutes ago, alexanderao said:

The Hills was certified 9x platinum just last month, on July 14th. It's not in the Spotify top 200 at the moment, but it's probably pretty close, seeing as it snuck in for a day (August 13th) recently at #198. Looking at YouTube, it got 1,079,804 streams during the last full tracking week (8/18 - 8/24), which equates to 7.2k units. 

Well, Despacito could become the first song since CITW 97 to attain a Diamond certification while still charting on the Hot 100. Technically, John's song was 11XP, and the Diamond certification wasn't introduced until about two years after his song charted. UF was eligible, but not yet certified. UF is now probably 1.2X Diamond. Will Robson/label certify it once more to tie the 1.2X Diamond record?

Posted
11 minutes ago, alexanderao said:

The Hills was certified 9x platinum just last month, on July 14th. It's not in the Spotify top 200 at the moment, but it's probably pretty close, seeing as it snuck in for a day (August 13th) recently at #198. Looking at YouTube, it got 1,079,804 streams during the last full tracking week (8/18 - 8/24), which equates to 7.2k units. 

How many streams does Despicito have? It's around 200 M on US Spotify. 

Posted
57 minutes ago, brianc33616 said:

JT's Feeling? He sold ~ 367k his first week, but his streams were rather week.

He wasnt close.

 

Pretty sure that Hello was the only song over 1k since I do predictions

Posted

Update!

Look... at 1.94 mill US, 5.9 mill WW

 

Logic up to #2 in US :clap3:

 

Posted
5 hours ago, simmnfierzig said:

75M is on lock for Taylor. 80M very possible

This would be the biggest numbers since HS, right? 

Posted
5 hours ago, simmnfierzig said:

75M is on lock for Taylor. 80M very possible

We're getting closer and closer to the 103M Harlem Shake record. I'd say by Summer 2018 it won't have the record anymore for most streams in a week.

Posted
3 minutes ago, UnusualBoy said:

This would be the biggest numbers since HS, right? 

HS is the only song to have been over 70M, yes. 

Posted
2 minutes ago, bjnono001 said:

We're getting closer and closer to the 103M Harlem Shake record. I'd say by Summer 2018 it won't have the record anymore for most streams in a week.

I think it will be harder, I mean the closest ones have been Adele's Hello with 60m and then Taylor with 75-80m, the only ones I see breaking that mark are either Justin (If he debuts his new single along with the video) and the same goes for Drake + Taylor and Adele, the other ones don't really stand a chance, at least not with the current numbers they're pulling.

Posted (edited)
14 minutes ago, UnusualBoy said:

I think it will be harder, I mean the closest ones have been Adele's Hello with 60m and then Taylor with 75-80m, the only ones I see breaking that mark are either Justin (If he debuts his new single along with the video) and the same goes for Drake + Taylor and Adele, the other ones don't really stand a chance, at least not with the current numbers they're pulling.

Humble did 67M one week and Despacito peaked at 69M.

Edited by bjnono001
Posted

I think it's insane how much Streaming has grown in just the past year, let alone since 2014. Work's peak streaming week was 46.5M, and 40M was the marker as a huge streaming week. One Dance led for 10 weeks on the Hot 100 but its peak week at streaming didn't even touch 40M. The last week to use the 40M streaming litmus test was Closer, which spent 12 weeks at #1, with 1 week above 40M and 1 week at 39.5M.

 

Since then streaming had a new litmus at 50M: Black Beatles peaked at 56M, Bad and Boujee made a single week at 50M, and Shape of You made 51M for a week. Then Kendrick broke the 60M barrier for the first time since Adele, and of course Despacito got 8 weeks above the 60M mark. Taylor is gonna break 70M, maybe even 80.

 

So yeah, it seems very possible for a song to break 100M in the not so distant future, since Closer was considered huge with just a single 40M week less than a year ago.

Posted
17 minutes ago, UnusualBoy said:

I think it will be harder, I mean the closest ones have been Adele's Hello with 60m and then Taylor with 75-80m, the only ones I see breaking that mark are either Justin (If he debuts his new single along with the video) and the same goes for Drake + Taylor and Adele, the other ones don't really stand a chance, at least not with the current numbers they're pulling.

it will be easier not harder - streaming services are growing, next adele or next era taylor swift may break it. or justin bieber if he will not release another edm reharsh

Posted
58 minutes ago, bjnono001 said:

I think it's insane how much Streaming has grown in just the past year, let alone since 2014. Work's peak streaming week was 46.5M, and 40M was the marker as a huge streaming week. One Dance led for 10 weeks on the Hot 100 but its peak week at streaming didn't even touch 40M. The last week to use the 40M streaming litmus test was Closer, which spent 12 weeks at #1, with 1 week above 40M and 1 week at 39.5M.

 

Since then streaming had a new litmus at 50M: Black Beatles peaked at 56M, Bad and Boujee made a single week at 50M, and Shape of You made 51M for a week. Then Kendrick broke the 60M barrier for the first time since Adele, and of course Despacito got 8 weeks above the 60M mark. Taylor is gonna break 70M, maybe even 80.

 

So yeah, it seems very possible for a song to break 100M in the not so distant future, since Closer was considered huge with just a single 40M week less than a year ago.

Streaming has really maintained an insane pace of growth for the last few years.

 

(data from Nielsen reports)

On-demand audio streaming:

 

2014 +60.5%

2015 +83.1%

2016 +76.4%

2017 mid-year +62.4%

 

For comparison, here are digital sales:

 

2014 -12.5%

2015 -12.5%

2016 -25%

2017 mid-year -24%

Posted

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