discussion Do you think China will invade Taiwan in 2025

[Dam]

They have been military training awhile now and the new leader of Taiwan seems relentless.

[byzantium]

I have it penciled in on my calendar for 2027. 

[Vixen Eyes]

Better ******* not. We don't need a ww3 right now and we're halfway there already 

[Domination]

Not 2025 year but maybe 2026/2027

[uusagii]

I imagine they will by the end of this decade

[Virgos Groove]

No. Maybe in 2035.

[EtherealCat]

china is patient they arent going to rush into anything

[Harrier]

I've read analysts don't think they will have the proper capabilities to do so until 26/27. But I'm very worried about it. Ukraine will look like nothing in comparison to the horrific violence ans global economic downturn that would result. I try to stay hopeful based on the fact that China does not have a history of rash aggressive military actions like Russia (or the US)

[MP3]

Not while Trump is there

[VOSS]

No not so soon

[LittleStarmen]

51 minutes ago, MP3 said:

Not while Trump is there

Tbh that. Kamala in power would actually allowed more war. The democratic party is very into soft and proxy wars

[Gov Hooka]

China is not a warmongering superpower like the US or Western Europe. They don't really *need* Taiwan 

[Feanor]

Not next year, no.

[Beyonnaise]

Though I know they're not directly comparable, I think we'll have a clearer idea at the end of 2025 based on the state of Ukraine under a full year of Trump. China is biding their time and hoping Trump fumbles his foreign policy approach, though it's my understanding that their economy isn't where they thought it would be this decade, so they're being more calculated about when to strike compared to someone like Putin who was acting in a much more rash and desperate fashion.

[Relampago.]

More like 2026-2027 while the US is doing scheduled maintenance on some of its aircraft carriers, which is when the Navy will be the most "vulnerable" and allow China to make moves much easier. 

 

It's sorta inevitable, but if China doesn't invade by end of 2028, I don't think they will until the US fully starts to collapse in global power.

[Letemtalk]

No, China tends to think about the long term plan, while American business is focused on quarterly and yearly targets and US politics is based around a 2-4 year cycle of Presidential elections and mid terms.

 

What will be really interesting to see, is how many new US backed wars we get under Trump. In 2023 the Democrats supported the assault on Gaza and the ongoing genocide, and in 2024 more wars in Lebanon and Syria and airstrikes on Yemen and Iran.

[Sergi91]

They are waiting for Trump to take over. 

[Marianah Adkins]

This is hearsay but based from what I've heard among Philippine military peeps and sources, 2027 is the targeted timeline