Hot 100 predictions (11/30): Die with a Smile #1 (2pts lead over #2)

[Miley Cyrus]

6 minutes ago, jdanton2 said:

itunes with both Bar Song and Lose Control performed.

 

1 +84 Brooks & Dunn - Believe (with Jelly Roll) 2 -1 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy) 3 +5 Teddy Swims - Lose Control 4 +19 Ella Langley & Riley Green - you look like you love me 5 +4 Thomas Rhett - Somethin' 'Bout A Woman (feat. Teddy Swims) 6 +42 Cody Johnson & Carrie Underwood - I'm Gonna Love You 7 NEW Chris Stapleton - White Horse 8 +31 Luke Combs - Ain't No Love In Oklahoma 9 NEW Juice WRLD & Nicki Minaj - AGATS2 (Insecure) [Extended] 10 +48 Jelly Roll - Liar 11 -4 Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile

Get them sales Shaboozey

 

 

There are no words for Lose Control 

Edited Thursday at 10:03 AM by Miley Cyrus

[Troxa]

Glorilla with two songs on the top 20. She is low key slaying this year. 

[CocoPouf]

Come on Gaga get that #1!!!!!

[Lord Gaga]

This would be a nice way for ga to end the year.

[Human Fly]

14 hours ago, 1989 said:

Shaboozey will be #1 again. The CMAs are tonight and not only is he up for two big awards, but he's also a front runner for them.

And he lost all of them 

 

[babyforlife]

losing #1 by 1% is diabolical

[Polgg48]

Glad we move on from 2017-20 hags and they are welcomed by normies to embrace new talents in town 

[theweekend]

whatchu deserved to a top 10 hit. it's crazy it's still getting to top 20 when it's been #1-#3 on Apple Music since the release week.

[truthteller]

every time they pop it out, you know they A-T-E

[pride4jc1222]

5 hours ago, Miley Cyrus said:

Woah didn't realize Wildflower and Bed Chem were smashing  

Wildflower is going to be big during the first half of 2025.

 

But yes, A Bar Song's run at #1 is coming to end, whether it be this week or next week. The lack of a boost from the CMAs should make this even more obvious. ABS is just oversaturated. Even Lose Control got a bigger boost than ABS.

[Green]

The CMA boost on itunes (top 10):

 

1    +90    Brooks & Dunn - Believe (with Jelly Roll)
2    -1    Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy)
3    +5    Teddy Swims - Lose Control
4    +7    Thomas Rhett - Somethin' 'Bout A Woman (feat. Teddy Swims)
5    +18  Ella Langley & Riley Green - you look like you love me
6    +44 Cody Johnson & Carrie Underwood - I'm Gonna Love You
7    +166 Chris Stapleton - White Horse
8    +55  Jelly Roll - Liar
9    +31  Luke Combs - Ain't No Love In Oklahoma

 

All of them performed at the CMAs

[slw84]

6 hours ago, punisher said:

and glorilla's album is in the top 10 after 6 weeks, we need to have the MRG conversation

 

Love this for Glo and the red girl.

organic hits be hittin.

 

 

 

[slw84]

51 minutes ago, theweekend said:

whatchu deserved to a top 10 hit. it's crazy it's still getting to top 20 when it's been #1-#3 on Apple Music since the release week.

They'll likely reach top 10 in January when 50-11 Xmas songs are purged from the hot 100.

they need to discount or release variants the week of December 27.

[Click Clack]

glo has been having an amazing year, no smoke & mirrors needed 

 

[pride4jc1222]

Rumors of That's So True's demise have been greatly exaggerated: 

I have a feeling Espresso is going to drop to 6 on the Hot 100 this week, behind both Lose Control and That's So True.

[Miley Cyrus]

1 hour ago, Green said:

The CMA boost on itunes (top 10):

 

1    +90    Brooks & Dunn - Believe (with Jelly Roll)
2    -1    Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy)
3    +5    Teddy Swims - Lose Control
4    +7    Thomas Rhett - Somethin' 'Bout A Woman (feat. Teddy Swims)
5    +18  Ella Langley & Riley Green - you look like you love me
6    +44 Cody Johnson & Carrie Underwood - I'm Gonna Love You
7    +166 Chris Stapleton - White Horse
8    +55  Jelly Roll - Liar
9    +31  Luke Combs - Ain't No Love In Oklahoma

 

All of them performed at the CMAs

No gaga or Bruno in sight 

 

 

Despite them releasing multiple new versions yday

 

[pride4jc1222]

2 minutes ago, Miley Cyrus said:

No gaga or Bruno in sight 

 

 

Despite them releasing multiple new versions yday

 

Then again, every song on there got a boost… except for A Bar Song. (Even old ass Lose Control got a boost, lol.) This race for #1 is going to be very close.

[JevyDuty]

3 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Then again, every song on there got a boost… except for A Bar Song. (Even old ass Lose Control got a boost, lol.) This race for #1 is going to be very close.

How are you saying he didn't get a boost lol? He got a big one since he's still 2

[pride4jc1222]

11 minutes ago, JevyDuty said:

How are you saying he didn't get a boost lol? He got a big one since he's still 2

Look at Apple Music (keep in mind DWaS wasn't even performed at the CMAs last night):

 

#9 (+1) Die with a Smile

#15 (-2) A Bar Song (Tipsy)

 

If ABS got a big boost, wouldn't it have stayed at #1 (and extended its lead) on iTunes, and not decreasing on Apple Music?

 

I know some people love A Bar Song and want it to stay #1 forever, but let's not ignore the obvious reality:

 

ABS is just oversaturated. But that's what happens when it's been out for 30 weeks, with 18 of them at #1 in the US and 25 of them at #1 in Canada. It eventually happens to every big song. ABS is no exception.

[naval23]

4 hours ago, babyforlife said:

losing #1 by 1% is diabolical

It happened with Bad Romance in Xmas 2009 when it was 3k sales away from #1 

 

Hopefully history don't repeat itself

[Miley Cyrus]

8 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Look at Apple Music (keep in mind DWaS wasn't even performed at the CMAs last night):

 

 

#9 (+1) Die with a Smile

#15 (-2) A Bar Song (Tipsy)

 

If ABS got a big boost, wouldn't it have stayed at #1 (and extended its lead) on iTunes, and not decreasing on Apple Music?

 

I know some people love A Bar Song and want it to stay #1 forever, but let's not ignore the obvious reality:

 

ABS is just oversaturated. But that's what happens when it's been out for 30 weeks, with 18 of them at #1 in the US and 25 of them at #1 in Canada. It eventually happens to every big song. ABS is no exception.

Just because it dropped 1 position doesn't mean it didn't get a boost. That jelly roll song eclipsed it because it had a greater gain but all CMA songs got a sales boost as you can see from the iTunes top 10

 

Also DWAS was always ahead of ABS on Apple Music this week so that's been factored into the prediction.

Edited Thursday at 02:32 PM by Miley Cyrus

[TipToe]

Lemme stream ABS all day to help block DWAS, sorry bruno

 

[truthteller]

in the name of Espresso and Birds of a Feather, let me revenge stream DWAS one more day

[JevyDuty]

34 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Look at Apple Music (keep in mind DWaS wasn't even performed at the CMAs last night):

 

 

#9 (+1) Die with a Smile

#15 (-2) A Bar Song (Tipsy)

 

If ABS got a big boost, wouldn't it have stayed at #1 (and extended its lead) on iTunes, and not decreasing on Apple Music?

 

I know some people love A Bar Song and want it to stay #1 forever, but let's not ignore the obvious reality:

 

ABS is just oversaturated. But that's what happens when it's been out for 30 weeks, with 18 of them at #1 in the US and 25 of them at #1 in Canada. It eventually happens to every big song. ABS is no exception.

This has literally no sense

[JoeAg]

OMG YES PLEASEEEE LEMME GIVE IT SOME MORE STREAMS TODAY