discussion Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?

[duybeeGAshantiGA]

And what is your reasoning?

 

 

Edited July 28 by duybeeGAshantiGA

[Virgos Groove]

As long as she doesn't **** up the VP choice, I think Kamala can win it. She has the base energized and a good communication strategy.

[Breathe On Moi]

Edited July 28 by Breathe On Moi

[shookspeare]

A week ago I thought we were doomed but I really do think Kamala will win. crazy how quickly things can change

[KatyPrismSpirit]

I honestly don't believe Trump will win.

[ICLDXU4HS]

Why isn't there a neither option for the third question?

[Cruel Summer]

I feel like Kamala has ignited Democrats' excitement in a way it hasn't been since at least Bernie's 2016 candidacy (which obviously wasn't even universal among all Democratic voters) just by not being Biden or Trump, and I feel encouraged now that she can take the win. I don't think anyone should get complacent with it - we really don't want another 2016. But she's running the right campaign so far and not shying away from clearly challenging Trump and Vance.

[Radical Pessimism]

Is the next debate still happening? If yes, it'll boost her chances to win!

[shyboi]

Trump

Trump

Harris

[Almighty Gaga]

Trump will win. 

I'm not American so I don't support either.

[nadiamendell]

The momentum is in Kamala's favor as long as she doesn't have any big screw ups. She still has to choose a VP and then the DNC (and possibly debates?). The economy is also on track to continue improving until the election, so I don't think she's anywhere near her ceiling with polling. 

[Raspberries]

14 minutes ago, shyboi said:

Trump

Trump

Harris

There is virtually no reality where Trump wins the popular vote against Kamala Harris

[xfreshkidxx]

Kamala for all 3

[Rotunda]

If Harris is able to keep up most of the current momentum I think she wins. A positive favorability rating for a national candidate is pretty unheard of these days. 

 

 

[Devin]

kamala prob if she gets josh shapiro as vp. 

[Trent W]

Kamala has a bigger shot IMO

[JC.]

10 minutes ago, Rotunda said:

If Harris is able to keep up most of the current momentum I think she wins. A positive favorability rating for a national candidate is pretty unheard of these days. 

 

 

I hope they don't get too comfortable with polling though and actually push people to vote! 
 

Trying to avoid this: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast-analysis

[Bloodflowers.]

Brat is winning 

[MP3]

There is a good chance Trump will win, he's in advance in all key states with comfortable margins

 

Kamala will win the popular vote tho

[Johnny Jacobs]

Trump will 99% win. She barely has time to make a difference and it sucks. Biden should have stepped down months ago

 

[shyboi]

25 minutes ago, Raspberries said:

There is virtually no reality where Trump wins the popular vote against Kamala Harris

 

Trump

Harris

Harris 

[Rotunda]

14 minutes ago, JC. said:

I hope they don't get too comfortable with polling though and actually push people to vote! 
 

Trying to avoid this: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast-analysis

My hope is that the compressed timeline pushes Dems to do everything they can, since they know they're starting off with the disadvantage of time.

[illia]

The debate with Trump will be Kamala's make or break moment

[Taste of Honey]

Kamala Harris. I am rebuking any thought of any other possibility from my mind. 

[CottageHore]

I think Kamala will win but trust and believe what happened in January 6th will happen but worse. These Trumpsters' delusion and psychosis compounds by the day and Trump will not hold back if he has to tolerate losing a second time, especially to a woman of color. He's a narcissist afterall