Early Predictions: Vampire #1 , 300 pts , 40m streams. Dethrones Last Night

[corotinho]

52 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Updated lip prediction: 

At least Creepin, Anti-Hero, and DFY are now falling. Also, Snooze has a chance at the Top 10.

3 points 

 

Considering it's Olivia debut, there's a much higher chance that it's points are not as correct than Morgan's.

[corotinho]

9 minutes ago, vale9001 said:

or just the number one song of the moment is too strong.

 

Lover, first taylor album with Republic, missed a number one and two times because Lil Nas X was like the fastest selling song of the decade. This doesn't mean they deleted her 

Well, that's not the same situation. Taylor was a ******* stabilish artist when she moved to Republic, while Olivia is at the start of her second album. There's no reputation to be lost by Taylor because she missed the #1 fighting against one of the biggests smashes of the century. Plus Last Night is not as big as Old Town Road 

Edited July 6, 2023 by corotinho

[krustysalt]

10 minutes ago, corotinho said:

Well, that's not the same situation. Taylor was a ******* stabilish artist when she moved to Republic, while Olivia is at the start of her second album. There's no reputation to be lost by Taylor because she missed the #1 fighting against one of the biggests smashes of the century. Plus Last Night is not as big as Old Town Road 

Keep trying 

[corotinho]

4 minutes ago, krustysalt said:

Keep trying 

[June]

26 minutes ago, corotinho said:

A mess, it will ruin her reputation on Interscope. They were expecting her to get that #1 effortesly 

That's just nonsense lol is there any other Interscope artist to debut at 1 in recent times? She might be the only one

[#Beautiful]

she is THAT girl

[corotinho]

2 minutes ago, June said:

That's just nonsense lol is there any other Interscope artist to debut at 1 in recent times? She might be the only one

Billie Eilish had a big first era then Happier Than Ever (single) didn't smash hard. The rest of the era was a mess 

Edited July 6, 2023 by corotinho

[June]

4 minutes ago, corotinho said:

Billie Eilish had a big first era then Happier Than Ever (single) didn't smash hard. The rest of the era was a mess 

So? HTE peaked at #11. Vampire will be 1 or 2 

[corotinho]

1 minute ago, June said:

So? HTE peaked at #11. Vampire will be 1 or 2 

It's not about the peak, it's about expectations 

[gatito]

5 hours ago, skyandground said:

HTE failed to surpass WWAFA's first week either. Let's wait and see...

it also had a bunch of flops and buzz singles over a long period of time which slowly killed its hype 

[BuzzCharts]

7 minutes ago, corotinho said:

It's not about the peak, it's about expectations 

Olivia is going to now have 3 #1s and every one of her singles has debuted in the top 10.  Don’t think Interscope is gonna be upset 

[June]

9 minutes ago, corotinho said:

It's not about the peak, it's about expectations 

Expectations from Intersope right? She is probably gonna be their best selling artist this year 

 

2022 UMG top sellers

Taylor Swift

BTS

Olivia Rodrigo

Morgan Wallen

The Beatles

 

She was the only Interscope artist on the UMG list last year lol

 

[corotinho]

27 minutes ago, June said:

Expectations from Intersope right? She is probably gonna be their best selling artist this year 

 

2022 UMG top sellers

Taylor Swift

BTS

Olivia Rodrigo

Morgan Wallen

The Beatles

 

She was the only Interscope artist on the UMG list last year lol

 

Yes, from Interscope. Anyway, we are in 2023. She can still make the UMG top artists, but if it's based on SOUR recurrent streams, then the new era will still be a decline and frustrate Interscope expectations.

[June]

11 minutes ago, corotinho said:

Yes, from Interscope. Anyway, we are in 2023. She can still make the UMG top artists, but if it's based on SOUR recurrent streams, then the new era will still be a decline and frustrate Interscope expectations.

Sour has great recurrent streams, you clearly don't know what you're talking about or probably just trolling

[corotinho]

2 minutes ago, June said:

Sour has great recurrent streams, you clearly don't know what you're talking about or probably just trolling

did you read what i said? 

Edited July 6, 2023 by corotinho

[June]

8 minutes ago, corotinho said:

did you read what i said? 

Yeah and you are not making any sense

[DonnaSpring]

11 hours ago, KatyPrismSpirit said:

What are you talking about? This song is literally the number one song in the world lol. It’s an undeniable smash hit. Oops didn’t even go top 5 and this is predicted to debut at #1. Also why tf should she have dropped it a year ago? She was still working on this album and touring for SOUR. It wouldn’t have made any sense at all. Mind you, olivia actuakly writes her music. Britney just recited anything that these swedish pop producers wrote down which made it possible for her to release her sophomore lead so fast.

flowers is the number 1 single in the world, I havent even heard this song played once (In the UK)

[TrieLz]

12 hours ago, KatyPrismSpirit said:

What are you talking about? This song is literally the number one song in the world lol. It’s an undeniable smash hit. Oops didn’t even go top 5 and this is predicted to debut at #1. Also why tf should she have dropped it a year ago? She was still working on this album and touring for SOUR. It wouldn’t have made any sense at all. Mind you, olivia actuakly writes her music. Britney just recited anything that these swedish pop producers wrote down which made it possible for her to release her sophomore lead so fast.

Oops peaked at #9 because they didn’t release a physical CDs. It chart only from radio 

if they release a physical CD’s when Oops reach it peak at Radio it will shoot to #1 on bbhot 100 (or at least top 3) just like some of Xtina’s or Mariah’s #1 

 

but if they release a physical single then the parent album will not break the 1M marks 

[dirrtydiana]

4 minutes ago, TrieLz said:

Oops peaked at #9 because they didn’t release a physical CDs. It chart only from radio 

if they release a physical CD’s when Oops reach it peak at Radio it will shoot to #1 on bbhot 100 (or at least top 3) just like some of Xtina’s or Mariah’s #1 

 

but if they release a physical single then the parent album will not break the 1M marks 

Or if videos were counted towards the hot 100 like they do now. That video caused a huge splash and was played everywhere. Oops could’ve chatted at #60 and still become the smash classic it is today. Charts don’t mean anything.

 

 

 

13 hours ago, FolkLover1989 said:

 

 

 

Wait it never went #1 here? What’s blocking it and does it still have a chance of debuting #1 on the hot100?

[Cruel Summer]

It seems like she may be a little safer now with the discount and a positional increase on Apple Music, but this really isn't shocking. Vampire isn't the earth-shatteringly impressive song that I think some people want it to be, and more than that some of the lyricism is a little awkward.

 

But most of all, we have to be honest about how big Morgan has become in the US lately. The slur controversy was a catalyst, but his popularity now is more stable and supported - like, the American public just seems to actually like him, and radio supports him entirely now. For better or worse, it is what it is, and Last Night is one of the biggest country hits in US history. It's massive. That's no fault of Olivia's - she would have been up against this incredible streaming and radio force regardless of what she did, and whether she did every single thing perfectly or not.

 

I think she'll be able to squeak past for a week, but if she doesn't, I don't really think it's indicative of a problem for her and I think her era will still go quite well.

[Bey'Knight]

You’ve gotta be bleeping kidding me?!?!?! 

[Bey'Knight]

On 7/5/2023 at 9:08 PM, Triton said:

It’s 4th of July week, the hillbillies were out in full blast as Morgan Wallen provided the soundtrack while drinking bud light, cooking burgers and shooting off fireworks. #Murica 

 

Imagine if he did some patriotic anthem, dear lord we are not safe. 

 America, America strikes again … always letting us down goddamit  

[Kayseri Mantisi]

Thoughts ?  

 

 

[WitnessOblivia]

We hate to see it

[Tropez]

Conservatives are winning. We have to stop this.