discussion Box Office Discussion | Sonic 3 speeds past Mufusa; could Mufusa have legs to run?

[Donquizote]

 

 

They keep lowering prediction for Mufasa

 

Not going down from 70M yesterday to 63M today

 

Sonic prediction keeps increasing. Not bad for movie that's currently being played in less than 3700 theaters

[Lightbringer007]

Nosferatu slow burner hit yep!

[Gorjesspazze9]

Congrats to Wicked for Surpassing 600M today! 

[Nefertiti0]

 

[Lovett]

 

[poki]

https://variety.com/2024/film/box-office/holidays-box-office-mufasa-sonic-3-100-million-1236261080/

 

$112m USD domestic now!

 

Box Office Mojo is a bit out of date but international has grossed $1.8 USD so far.

 

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/releasegroup/gr596464133/

 

Better stats than Sonic 2 so far,  Hope we pass $500m world wide so we can say each movie did $100m more than the previous one. 

 

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1363641089/?ref_=bo_rl_tab#tabs

[poki]

Also I would like to point out Sonic 3 Blu-Ray / Steelbook is up for pre-order since Christmas, #1 / #8 on Amazon Blu-Ray categories and the movie still does better than Sonic 2's domestic daily. 

 

[Lovett]

 Wonder if it'll stop being "Beyoncé's Mufasa" now.

[Eternium]

Damn, they HAVE to delay the VOD release. While it won't hurt too much, Wicked is literally doing unheard of business. My group for my Monday viewing went from 9 to 17 people because everyone I told wants to go see it again and now there are 20+ other people in the theater, too, despite it being a really weird time. I've never seen a holdover like this before  

[Nefertiti0]

 

 

 

Edited December 29, 2024 by Nefertiti0

[Eternium]

7 hours ago, Lovett said:

 Wonder if it'll stop being "Beyoncé's Mufasa" now.

The film is headed over $500M globally. #BeyonceIsOverParty

[Shelter]

 

Atrl said it was flopping 

 

[Space Cowboy]

We love a #1 movie in america AND #1 movie in the world two weeks in a row 

[Gorjesspazze9]

So Wicked looking to end around $700M-750M. Amazing run. 

[BNF91]

Sources suggest Mufasa has retaken #1 on Sunday domestically with actuals. 

 

With the weekend so close, it could potentially also mean #1 this weekend. 

 

Either way, it is seeing great holiday holds/boosts both domestic and internationally and should be headed for $630-700M+ WW. A proper Lion King 2 seems imminent. 

 

Sonic also doing well, with international debuts up from Sonic 2. That -37% 2nd wknd domestic hold does suggest some fan front loading from the debut. But plenty of gas still in the tank and $200-250M domestic is certain. WW probably $500-550M. 

 

No words for Wicked, absolutely stellar domestic performance. Still a chance to pass Dune 2 globally, as well as $500M domestic.

 

Moana 2 recovering a bit this holiday after some abysmal post-debut legs. $500M+ domestic should have been locked from such a gigantic Thanksgiving debut. Now $440-450M seems like the ceiling. But it should still crawl past $1B WW in a few weeks. 

 

Nosferatu smashing it with a $40M 5-day and already becoming Robert Eggers' biggest domestic grosser in just 5 days. Well deserved for the new auteur. 

 

Gladiator 2 reaping the benefits of being the sole adult actioner this holiday, but with that astronomical $250M budget it has a long way to go before breaking even. This will be a flop and quite frankly I expected far more than $450-475M WW from this sequel (if only it had been actually good). 

Edited December 30, 2024 by BNF91

[Gorjesspazze9]

Marvel has had a movie in the top 5 grossing every single year they released since endgame. @Broken

[Nefertiti0]

 

[Broken]

On 12/30/2024 at 9:33 AM, Gorjesspazze9 said:

Marvel has had a movie in the top 5 grossing every single year they released since endgame. @Broken

Star Wars is gone. DCEU is gone. Wizarding World is gone. Joker is gone. Lord of the Rings is gone. Sony's Spider-Man-less universe is gone. Disney live-action remakes are gone. But I'm still standing — Marvel.

 

[Da Vinci]

So, 2025's trinity: Avatar 3 > Jurassic idk the number > Wicked 2?

 

Although I'm pretty sure something else could be in the place of W2

[Gorjesspazze9]

Another Billi… Disney really wasn't joking when they said they coming back hard in 2024. 

need the Disney Adults to buy tickets for F4

[poki]

6 hours ago, Da Vinci said:

So, 2025's trinity: Avatar 3 > Jurassic idk the number > Wicked 2?

 

Although I'm pretty sure something else could be in the place of W2

Superman 

[poki]

This site forecasts $18m-$22m for Sonic and $16m-$20m for Mufasa this weekend. 

 

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-preview-sonic-3-and-mufasa-face-off-in-third-frames/

[BNF91]

While it will be another tossup, I'd wager that Mufasa takes #1 this coming weekend after posting some strong weekdays since Monday. 

 

New Year's Day

Mufasa- $10.37M

Sonic- $8.95M

 

It will be close though, once again! 

 

Mufasa should be around $440-460M+ WW by Sunday and Sonic $300-325M.

 

Can't remember last time two films ran so close to one another in the dailies for this long though. Exciting. 

[fridayteenage]

On 1/1/2025 at 1:30 PM, Gorjesspazze9 said:

Another Billi… Disney really wasn't joking when they said they coming back hard in 2024. 

need the Disney Adults to buy tickets for F4

the first WOC centered movie ever to hit $900 million, whew!

[Lovett]