discussion Box Office Discussion | Moana 2, Wicked and Gladiator II - who's winning?

[Liafen]

12 minutes ago, BNF91 said:

Presales are sluggish and did not pick up despite the release being this weekend. Industry forecasts call for a $25-35M weekend. WoM is going to be the make or break for this film. 

 

Let's see how the weekend shakes out. 

Are presales a big thing to films that are not fanbase-driven? 

[BNF91]

15 minutes ago, Liafen said:

Are presales a big thing to films that are not fanbase-driven? 

Depends, The Fall Guy had a really long presales window (started selling back in March!) and they have fully positioned this as the blockbuster opener of the summer movie season. I can imagine the studio had visions of a $45-50M+ opener when they first released the trailer for this way back. 

 

Long presales windows are usually for IP, fanbase-driven stuff. So The Fall Guy is kind of being treated a more than just an action rom-com, especially with it taking the first weekend of May slot. 

 

As I type this, apparently there was a nice recovery today for presales, so let's see how the weekend goes. 

[zoldyck]

This year have been serving bomb after bomb.

 

Unless I am wrong, I believe Bob Marley biopic, dune 2 and Godzilla are the only noticeable movies to make profit.

[Katamari]

Garfield smasha!!

[BNF91]

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes looks to be heading for a solid debut. An early $20M Saturday estimate brings the 2-day running total to $42M. Wknd expected to be around $55-57M. Matching War's OW would be impressive considering the franchise has been on ice for 7 years. 

 

Fall Guy heading for a $14-15M 2nd wknd. Fine hold but opening was low so will still be a flop. 

 

Challengers holding well in wknd 3, $5.5M (-35%). Should get past $50M domestic. 

[Arcadius]

I'm shocked at the Apes B cinema score. Is it really that divisive?

[Memoirs387]

4 hours ago, Arcadius said:

I'm shocked at the Apes B cinema score. Is it really that divisive?

I saw it and loved it so when I looked up the cinema score, I was literally shocked. I can't even imagine why it would be divisive 

[Gorjesspazze9]

I'm surprised that Fall Guy movie flopped  those trailers were amazing. 
 

I don't think I'll go to the theaters again until July. 

[fridayteenage]

18 hours ago, Gorjesspazze9 said:

I'm surprised that Fall Guy movie flopped  those trailers were amazing. 
 

I don't think I'll go to the theaters again until July. 

happens with most big budget films without a built-in fanbase these days

[Gorjesspazze9]

Deadpool & Wolverine is coming  

That Marvel Reign ain't over yet!!

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Surpassed GOTG3, Dune 2, & Across the Spiderverse 24 hour first day pre-Sales in just 3 Hours

https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/s/gt7sUZWQ7E

Edited May 20 by Gorjesspazze9

[Gorjesspazze9]

 

[Broken]

YIKES!

Save us King Jackman and King Phoenix.

 

The girls were 200% sure Dune 2 was going to gross $1B+ .

 

 

[Gorjesspazze9]

Box office analysts say Deadpool and wolverine's pre-sales after just one day guarantee it will open at least at the Multiverse of Madness & Wakanda forever openings. 200M+ Opening is inevitable 

 

[EnigmaticAndroid]

The way Back to Black is completely DOA 

[Gorjesspazze9]

Yeah, Deadpool is def gonna break that all time Rated R opening record

 

Edited May 22 by Gorjesspazze9

[Broken]

What? 

 

[BNF91]

On 5/20/2024 at 8:55 PM, Broken said:

YIKES!

Save us King Jackman and King Phoenix.

 

The girls were 200% sure Dune 2 was going to gross $1B+ .

 

 

Anyone thinking Dune 2 would gross $1B didn't know what they were talking about. There is no logic based in that prediction. 

[BNF91]

Furiosa and Garfield square off this Memorial Day Weekend- both aiming for a 4-day holiday debut of $45-55M. 

 

If and Apes should have good holds to help bring up the box office, but it will still trail last year when The Little Mermaid stormed onto the scene with a $118M 4-day. 

[Musicmajor]

Me and my friends are going to see Furiosa tomorrow! I hope it does solid numbers at the box office.

[fridayteenage]

On 5/22/2024 at 8:32 PM, BNF91 said:

Furiosa and Garfield square off this Memorial Day Weekend- both aiming for a 4-day holiday debut of $45-55M. 

 

[Horizon Flame]

Box Office Meltdown: 'Furiosa' or 'Garfield' to Win Memorial Day With Worst No. 1 Opening in Three Decades

The bad news doesn't end there: overall revenue for the four-day holiday could hit a 25-year low.

 

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/furiosa-box-office-garfield-worst-memorial-day-1235909084/

 

 

[Broken]

Bomb after bomb after bomb. Jesus .

 

Save us Deadpool.

[illia]

Furiosa flopping is shocking

[fridayteenage]

5 hours ago, illia said:

Furiosa flopping is shocking

i mean, it's like the prequel drop from mockingjay two to ballad of songbirds and snakes

 

except with the starting amount being the latter's box office. 

[Gossip_Boy]

Those Furiosa numbers are disastrous (both domestic and international). Yikes.