discussion Box Office Discussion | Moana 2, Wicked and Gladiator II - who's winning?

[Migs30283]

20 hours ago, BNF91 said:

Shrek will decimate Toy Story in its 3rd weekend. They need to move that up a week or two. 

 

Shrek could very well be a $200M+ debut.

Shrek 5 is opening on a Wednesday though.

[Migs30283]

I think Inside Out 3 will happen either this June 17, 2033 or June 16, 2034 on Father's Day weekend.

 

Thursday previews: 18-23+ million

OW: 200+ million

[BNF91]

22 hours ago, Migs30283 said:

Shrek 5 is opening on a Wednesday though.

Oh I didn't know that. Well $200M 3-day prob won't happen but even worse for Toy Story as it will already start getting destroyed in just it's 2nd Wednesday 

[Broken]

Twisters is flopping overseas .

 

The good news:

 

[Broken]

Omg.

 

 

[BNF91]

Huge for Twisters, the Midwest walkups are very strong. It will also get hit hard next wknd with Deadpool, so even with a hefty drop next weekend it should be able to play well through the rest of summer. 

 

It needs all the help it can get domestically because OS is not looking too good. 

[Gossip_Boy]

Glen Powell is on a roll. Watching him go from Scream Queens to one of the most promising up and coming movie stars has been fun. Huntington is going to be another big hit for him I presume.

[Life Savers]

Twisters was fun. And it's nice counter-programming to Deadpool.

[Feanor]

damn

[Gui Blackout]

Happy that Twisters is smashing. Even tho it's a sequel/reboot, it's good to have a non-superhero blockbuster with new leading stars.

[BNF91]

Just $27M OS for Twisters.. and $20M of that came from 4 markets (UK/Aus/France/Mexico) big yikes 

 

Domestic had a fantastic debut though, is gonna have to carry hard for this to break even. 

[Feanor]

1 hour ago, BNF91 said:

Just $27M OS for Twisters.. and $20M of that came from 4 markets (UK/Aus/France/Mexico) big yikes 

 

Domestic had a fantastic debut though, is gonna have to carry hard for this to break even. 

I wonder why it kinda bombed overseas. My guess would be the very Midwest/Americana vibe the entire movie has (although Top Gun: Maverick smashed so idrk ). Plus I can only speak for myself here, but at least as someone living in Europe, most people have no experiences with tornadoes whatsoever, so that was probably not as appealing as a disaster concept as it is in the US either.

[BNF91]

2 hours ago, Feanor said:

I wonder why it kinda bombed overseas. My guess would be the very Midwest/Americana vibe the entire movie has (although Top Gun: Maverick smashed so idrk ). Plus I can only speak for myself here, but at least as someone living in Europe, most people have no experiences with tornadoes whatsoever, so that was probably not as appealing as a disaster concept as it is in the US either.

Yeah I'd say that about sums it up. 

 

The Midwest is what spurred this from $50M predictions to $80M actual. 

 

Deadpool and Wolverine is coming with the widest IMAX release ever, so pretty much taking all them from Twisters after just 1 week. 

 

On the bright side, it helps to be smashing domestically because Universal gets a bigger share of box office gross compared to overseas. Should help towards breaking even, which is likely the best this can do at this point. 

 

Maybe $240M domestic and $120M OS? $360M finish give or take. 

[MusicLoverDude]

On 7/21/2024 at 10:42 AM, Feanor said:

I wonder why it kinda bombed overseas. My guess would be the very Midwest/Americana vibe the entire movie has (although Top Gun: Maverick smashed so idrk ). Plus I can only speak for myself here, but at least as someone living in Europe, most people have no experiences with tornadoes whatsoever, so that was probably not as appealing as a disaster concept as it is in the US either.

Tornadoes in Europe are definitely not common but they do happen on occasion. But yeah, an American is more likely to understand the depths of the film better since we get tornadoes every year. 

 

The film is amazing though and it deserves all the success regardless. 

[Gorjesspazze9]

Saw Twisters the other day. It reminded me of the 90's blockbuster. It's a good time at the theaters. Can't wait for Deadpool this weekend. It's definitely the Movie of the Summer/Year

[MusicLoverDude]

On 7/21/2024 at 1:37 PM, BNF91 said:

 

 

The Midwest is what spurred this from $50M predictions to $80M actual. 

Not surprised at all given how relatable Kate's overall storyline is to anyone that has lived in tornado alley. 

[Gorjesspazze9]

It's now at $37M Previews, Securing it for breaking the all time R rated Opening. Also it's now over performance has it passing even Multiverse of Madness first day Thursday $36M in 2022. MOM opened at $185M & $254M Globally. Analysts say this is now on track to open $190M-$210M  Marvel is back to breaking Records. 

Edited July 26 by Gorjesspazze9

[Broken]

Omg.

 

[Broken]

Twisters collapsed. Nooooo.

Terrible release date. I hate you Universal.

[Broken]

Multiverse of Madness: $452.4M (9th-largest opening ever).

 

Omg 

 

 

[Gorjesspazze9]

Over $600M for Deadpool, it'll hit 1 Billie next weekend 

[Gorjesspazze9]

Passing 700M by the end of today Get Revenge for The Marvels

[Gorjesspazze9]

It's still Over performing! $800M in 10 days Marvel Jesus

 

[Broken]

 

 

[bjorn]

 

Is now the 10th highest grossing movie EVER!