discussion Box Office Discussion | Moana 2, Wicked and Gladiator II - who's winning?

[Tylerbv]

Moana is definitely massive compared to Inside Out 1, but I could see Moana 2 having an uphill battle.

 

Given the changes (the fact it was originally supposed to be a TV show but they squished it into a movie, the fact they're making a live action soon after, and the lack of Lin Manuel Miranda's music), I could see it getting negative reviews, which may affect the younger crowds. Especially since I think IO2 will attract more solo adults than Moana 2 but I guess we'll see.

[Da Vinci]

1 hour ago, Tylerbv said:

Moana is definitely massive compared to Inside Out 1, but I could see Moana 2 having an uphill battle.

 

Given the changes (the fact it was originally supposed to be a TV show but they squished it into a movie, the fact they're making a live action soon after, and the lack of Lin Manuel Miranda's music), I could see it getting negative reviews, which may affect the younger crowds. Especially since I think IO2 will attract more solo adults than Moana 2 but I guess we'll see.

Very true, Moana 2 is seen as a cash grab (Disney+ show turned into a movie) for now unlike IO2 where people think introducing new emotions for puberty makes a lot of sense much like how Toy Story 2 and 3 were natural progressions of the Andy arc.

 

Moana could also be a streaming-only phenomenon, who knows. IO1 made $859M in theaters vs Moana 1's $687M.

 

But if Moana 2 actually turns out to be an acclaimed masterpiece then no need to worry!

[BNF91]

Weekend shaking out like this

 

Inside out 2- $56-58M

A Quiet Place- $52-53M

 

Franchise best debut for A Quiet Place: Day One. A tad bit front loaded from the Friday, but should still be able to clear $150M domestic at least. Would be solid. 

 

Inside Out 2 will be at $465-470M today. It's still headed for $630-650M+ domestic. 

Edited June 30 by BNF91

[Broken]

 

[Broken]

 

 

[Broken]

Fastest-grossing movies to $1 billion worldwide.

 

1. Avengers: Endgame (5 days)

2. Avengers: Infinity War (11 days)

3. Spider-Man: No Way Home, Star Wars: The Force Awakens (12 days)

4. Jurassic World (13 days)

5. Avatar: The Way of Water (14 days)

6. Furious 7 (17 days)

7. The Fate of the Furious (18 days)

8. Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Barbie, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2, Avatar, The Avengers, Inside Out 2 (19 days)

 

[BNF91]

Inside Out 2 will be approaching if not already at $1.2B by Sunday. 

[Tylerbv]

On 6/30/2024 at 1:46 PM, Broken said:

Fastest-grossing movies to $1 billion worldwide.

 

1. Avengers: Endgame (5 days)

2. Avengers: Infinity War (11 days)

3. Spider-Man: No Way Home, Star Wars: The Force Awakens (12 days)

4. Jurassic World (13 days)

5. Avatar: The Way of Water (14 days)

6. Furious 7 (17 days)

7. The Fate of the Furious (18 days)

8. Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Barbie, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2, Avatar, The Avengers, Inside Out 2 (19 days)

 

Sadness's power  

[Broken]

I—

 

[EnigmaticAndroid]

Longlegs is being projected to do 3M-4M in previews 

 

Can't help but think that it may just be pulling in the younger cinephile crowd and it'll end up being frontloaded, but I would love if it really broke out. There's a path for it. An Intruiging but accessible premise, incredible marketing, really strong reviews, and they've done a great job of framing it as a truly scary film that needs to be seen in a theatre.

[Broken]

- 4th biggest animated movie ever.

- Biggest Pixar movie ever.

- Biggest movie ever in Mexico.

 

 

 

Edited July 11 by Broken

[Da Vinci]

Shrek 5, Super Mario Bros 2, Toy Story 5, Frozen 3 are ALL coming in 2026??  A bloodbath

[BNF91]

Sizzling hot $3M preview for Longlegs. Could go for $14-18M for the wknd if it can hold up. 

 

Despicable Me 4 should be good for $32-37M

Inside Out 2 trucking along in wknd 5, $19-23M

Fly Me To the Moon should go for $10-12M. But a ridiculous $100M budget will fail this project financially. 

[poki]

6 hours ago, Da Vinci said:

Shrek 5, Super Mario Bros 2, Toy Story 5, Frozen 3 are ALL coming in 2026??  A bloodbath

Honestly after The Last Wish, Inside Out 2 and (yes) Despicable Me 4, I'm all aboard sequels now. 

[poki]

7 hours ago, Broken said:

- 4th biggest animated movie ever.

- Biggest Pixar movie ever.

- Biggest movie ever in Mexico.

 

 

 

Now they have to release The Incredibles 3 by 2027.

[Da Vinci]

Inside Out 2 has already passed Frozen 1's worldwide gross in less than a month 

 

PLEASE also pass the awful emotionless uncanny Lion King CGI remake

[Hurem]

On 7/12/2024 at 1:14 AM, Da Vinci said:

Shrek 5, Super Mario Bros 2, Toy Story 5, Frozen 3 are ALL coming in 2026??  A bloodbath

Oh we're gonna be eating

 

April 3: Super Mario Bros 2

June 19: Toy Story 5

July 1: Shrek 5

Nov 25: Frozen 3

 

And they're spaced out quite nicely, except I wouldn't mind an extra week or two between Toy Story and Shrek

[fridayteenage]

i don't think in general the streaming services expect any profit from their movies

[Migs30283]

On 7/13/2024 at 8:04 AM, Hurem said:

Oh we're gonna be eating

 

April 3: Super Mario Bros 2

June 19: Toy Story 5

July 1: Shrek 5

Nov 25: Frozen 3

 

And they're spaced out quite nicely, except I wouldn't mind an extra week or two between Toy Story and Shrek

none of them are beating Inside Out 2 box office numbers although I can see Inside Out 3 beating it in the next decade.

[Migs30283]

On 7/12/2024 at 7:14 AM, Da Vinci said:

Shrek 5, Super Mario Bros 2, Toy Story 5, Frozen 3 are ALL coming in 2026??  A bloodbath

I don't see any of these four beating Inside Out 2 domestic or worldwide.

[Acuminatus]

Finally saw Inside Out 2 and the smashery is well deserved!  Inside Out was one of my favourite Pixar films, and this is a worthy sequel.

[BNF91]

Shrek will decimate Toy Story in its 3rd weekend. They need to move that up a week or two. 

 

Shrek could very well be a $200M+ debut.

[Da Vinci]

Yeah I wouldn't underestimate Shrek 5

2000s nostalgia is peaking + Shrek is known by Gen Z cause of memes and TikTok + the original cast is coming back + goodwill from The Last Wish

 

It will be like the Gentleminion event but on steroids and involving everyone and their grandmas I fear, it will be massive

[Blade Runner]

On 6/30/2024 at 2:46 PM, Broken said:

Fastest-grossing movies to $1 billion worldwide.

 

1. Avengers: Endgame (5 days)

2. Avengers: Infinity War (11 days)

3. Spider-Man: No Way Home, Star Wars: The Force Awakens (12 days)

4. Jurassic World (13 days)

5. Avatar: The Way of Water (14 days)

6. Furious 7 (17 days)

7. The Fate of the Furious (18 days)

8. Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Barbie, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2, Avatar, The Avengers, Inside Out 2 (19 days)

 

Avatar 2 is the real winner here. 

 

What a franchise. 

 

Edited July 17 by Blade Runner

[Blade Runner]

Inside Out was kinda underrated by general audiences when it first came out, so I'm happy about all of this because it was peak Pixar just like Finding Nemo, The Incredibles, etc etc. Just instantly iconic. 

 

Soul 2 next because that movie was also a masterpiece, but it was sabotaged by the pandemic.