official chart H100: Break My Soul 2x #1, STAYING ALIVE #5, Bad Habit #6, Bad Decisions #10

[pride4jc1222]

2 minutes ago, Green said:

14. Heat Waves - Glass Animals

20. Stay - The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber

 

We need another album bomb please

I tried this simulation: Taylor releases on 9/30, followed up by another major album the following week. Taylor's album causes Stay to go recurrent, the other album causes Big Energy to go recurrent before the 52 weeks, and Heat Waves survives both albums.

[Green]

32 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

I tried this simulation: Taylor releases on 9/30, followed up by another major album the following week. Taylor's album causes Stay to go recurrent, the other album causes Big Energy to go recurrent before the 52 weeks, and Heat Waves survives both albums.

 

If Taylor releases another album with 30 songs she will send them all to recurrent. But she probably isn't coming until November like last year with Red (TV).

 

Heat Waves needs to leave before Christmas songs take over because if not it will return to the chart of January of 2023 again

[LastGreatBloodline]

is anyone keeping track on the alleged formula change WInston talked about? He said sales were downweighed this week and that's why the benny/BTS song didn't debut top 5. I wonder if this will actually keep SFG from #1

 

[pride4jc1222]

33 minutes ago, LastGreatBloodline said:

is anyone keeping track on the alleged formula change WInston talked about? He said sales were downweighed this week and that's why the benny/BTS song didn't debut top 5. I wonder if this will actually keep SFG from #1

 

The fact that the sales divisor can determine the #1 race is stupid, and proves how unreliable the metric is. Sales need to be removed from the Hot 100 formula.

[Pheromosa]

2 hours ago, LastGreatBloodline said:

I wonder if this will actually keep SFG from #1

He said it would 14 points behind because of the change. Maybe.

Monday is going to be a mess 

[LastGreatBloodline]

8 minutes ago, Pheromosa said:

He said it would 14 points behind because of the change. Maybe.

Monday is going to be a mess 

idk if I agree with him tho because using the number from billboard and the old formula I got 160 points for the BTS song which according to predictors would put the song exactly at #10. Hope Nicki can end up getting her #1

[pride4jc1222]

Hot 100 - US

TW LW 2W WOC TITLE PEAK
1 1 - 8 Break My Soul, Beyonce 1
2 3 - 19 As It Was, Harry Styles 1
3 2 - 17 About Damn Time, Lizzo 1
4 4 - 31 Running Up That Hill (A Deal With God), Kate Bush 3
5 - - 1 Staying Alive, DJ Khaled Featuring Drake & Lil Baby 5
6 7 - 6 Bad Habit, Steve Lacy 6
7 5 - 15 Wait For U, Future Featuring Drake & Tems 1
8 9 - 11 Sunroof, Nicky Youre & dazy 8
9 6 - 18 First Class, Jack Harlow 1
10 - - 1 Bad Decisions, benny blanco, BTS & Snoop Dogg 10
11 8 - 14 Me Porto Bonito, Bad Bunny & Chencho Corleone 6
12 10 - 12 Late Night Talking, Harry Styles 4
13 11 - 10 I Like You (A Happier Song), Post Malone Featuring Doja Cat 9
14 12 - 82 Heat Waves, Glass Animals 1
15 14 - 8 The Kind Of Love We Make, Luke Combs 13
16 16 - 14 Titi Me Pregunto, Bad Bunny 5
17 15 - 39 Wasted On You, Morgan Wallen 9
18 21 - 13 You Proof, Morgan Wallen 6
19 23 - 9 I Ain't Worried, OneRepublic 19
20 17 - 57 Stay, The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber 1
21 18 - 42 Big Energy, Latto 3
22 25 - 11 She Had Me At Heads Carolina, Cole Swindell 22
23 20 - 8 Jimmy Cooks, Drake Featuring 21 Savage 1
24 28 - 9 Glimpse Of Us, Joji 8
25 29 - 46 Ghost, Justin Bieber 5
26 32 - 14 Moscow Mule, Bad Bunny 4
27 24 - 28 Numb Little Bug, Em Beihold 18
28 34 - 12 Like I Love Country Music, Kane Brown 26
29 33 - 48 Shivers, Ed Sheeran 4
30 38 - 9 5 Foot 9, Tyler Hubbard 30
31 35 - 10 Vegas, Doja Cat 28
32 37 - 18 In A Minute, Lil Baby 14
33 31 - 36 Get Into It (Yuh), Doja Cat 20
34 36 - 49 Cold Heart (PNAU Remix), Elton John & Dua Lipa 7
35 40 - 9 Rock And A Hard Place, Bailey Zimmerman 24
36 39 - 8 Sticky, Drake 6
37 - - 1 Umm Hmm, YoungBoy Never Broke Again 37
38 42 - 15 Fall In Love, Bailey Zimmerman 35
39 49 - 11 Last Night Lonely, Jon Pardi 39
40 46 - 14 Efecto, Bad Bunny 34
41 44 - 16 Provenza, Karol G 25
42 45 - 16 Something In The Orange, Zach Bryan 30
43 19 - 2 Alien Superstar, Beyonce 19
44 48 - 40 Super Gremlin, Kodak Black 3
45 65 - 5 Betty (Get Money), Yung Gravy 45
46 - - 1 I Know, YoungBoy Never Broke Again 46
47 - - 1 Home Ain't Home, YoungBoy Never Broke Again Featuring Rod Wave 47
48 57 - 7 Left And Right, Charlie Puth Featuring Jung Kook 22
49 62 - 11 F.N.F. (Let's Go), Hitkidd & Glorilla 49
50 13 - 2 Cuff It, Beyonce 13
51 58 - 6 Son Of A Sinner, Jelly Roll 51
52 52 - 19 Damn Strait, Scotty McCreery 32
53 56 - 6 Hot s**t, Cardi B, Ye & Lil Durk 13
54 54 - 19 Take My Name, Parmalee 22
55 59 - 14 Party, Bad Bunny & Rauw Alejandro 14
56 63 - 6 Numb, Marshmello & Khalid 56
57 60 - 11 Sleazy Flow, SleazyWorld Go Featuring Lil Baby 47
58 61 - 14 Ojitos Lindos, Bad Bunny & Bomba Estereo 26
59 68 - 9 So Good, Halsey 55
60 67 - 14 Despues de La Playa, Bad Bunny 6
61 66 - 9 New Truck, Dylan Scott 61
62 - - 2 Vette Motors, YoungBoy Never Broke Again 62
63 - - 1 f**k Da Industry, YoungBoy Never Broke Again 63
64 77 - 4 Free Mind, Tems 64
65 81 - 8 Whiskey On You, Nate Smith 65
66 83 - 2 Victoria’s Secret, Jax 66
67 22 - 2 Church Girl, Beyonce 22
68 - - 1 Free Dem 5's, YoungBoy Never Broke Again 68
69 78 - 6 Unstoppable, Sia 69
70 84 - 12 Bones, Imagine Dragons 70
71 74 - 14 Tarot, Bad Bunny & Jhay Cortez 18
72 71 - 6 Wishful Drinking, Ingrid Andress With Sam Hunt 61
73 75 - 5 Last Last, Burna Boy 70
74 89 - 2 Dah Dah DahDah, Nardo Wick 74
75 - - 1 Lost Soul Survivor, YoungBoy Never Broke Again 75
76 82 - 3 With A Woman You Love, Justin Moore 76
77 73 - 13 Cooped Up, Post Malone Featuring Roddy Ricch 12
78 80 - 4 Truth About You, Mitchell Tenpenny 78
79 27 - 2 Energy, Beyonce Featuring BEAM 27
80 86 - 4 At The End Of A Bar, Chris Young With Mitchell Tenpenny 80
81 88 - 3 Pick Me Up, Gabby Barrett 81
82 85 - 19 She Likes It, Russell Dickerson & Jake Scott 63
83 - - 1 Hold Your Own, YoungBoy Never Broke Again 83
84 91 - 12 Ghost Story, Carrie Underwood 61
85 79 - 15 Puffin On Zootiez, Future 4
86 - - 1 Top Sound, YoungBoy Never Broke Again 86
87 50 - 2 Never Sleep, NAV, Travis Scott & Lil Baby 50
88 - - 1 Kamikaze, YoungBoy Never Broke Again 88
89 87 - 12 Hotel Lobby (Unc And Phew), Quavo & Takeoff 59
90 - - 1 My Time, YoungBoy Never Broke Again 90
91 93 - 14 Thought You Should Know, Morgan Wallen 12
92 26 - 2 I'm That Girl, Beyonce 26
93 30 - 2 Cozy, Beyonce 30
94 97 - 14 Un Ratito, Bad Bunny 16
95 99 - 11 La Corriente, Bad Bunny & Tony Dize 32
96 - - 1 Big 14, Trippie Redd, Moneybagg Yo & Offset 96
97 96 - 6 Until I Found You, Stephen Sanchez 88
98 - - 1 Despecha, Rosalia 98
99 92 - 10 Love Me More, Sam Smith 73
100 - - 1 7 Days, YoungBoy Never Broke Again 100

[Pheromosa]

12 minutes ago, LastGreatBloodline said:

idk if I agree with him tho because using the number from billboard and the old formula I got 160 points for the BTS song which according to predictors would put the song exactly at #10. Hope Nicki can end up getting her #1

I do think something weird is happening to cause that big of a discrepancy on his side. Did anyone else predict the BTS song to be top 5? 

[B-Luke]

1 minute ago, Pheromosa said:

Did anyone else predict the BTS song to be top 5? 

No. In fact, most chart experts predicted the song to debut OUTSIDE of the top 10, barely top 15 even 

 

 

 

Whereas Winston did not specify where it would land:

 

So in conclusion the song actually overperformed.

[pride4jc1222]

The sales divisor has changed. In 2020 and most of 2021, the divisor was 5. At the end of 2021 and the beginning of 2022, the divisor was 6. The divisor is at least 7, and believed to be 7.5 now: https://pulsemusic.proboards.com/thread/213458/billboard-hot-100-08-2022?page=18&scrollTo=8244405

[slw84]

good for Heat Waves.

[LastGreatBloodline]

16 minutes ago, Pheromosa said:

I do think something weird is happening to cause that big of a discrepancy on his side. Did anyone else predict the BTS song to be top 5? 

no, chart essentials and lip predictions had the song at 13 and 14 but with lower sales

[dabunique]

4 more weeks for GIIY for a new Doja record 

[Ger]

11. Me Porto Bonito (-3)

12. Late Night Talking (-2)

13. I Like You (A Happier Song) (-2)

18. You Proof (+3)

22. She Had Me at Heads Carolina (+3) *New peak* 

24. Glimpse of Us (+4)

31. Vegas (+4)

45. Betty (Get Money) (+20) *New peak* 

48. Left and Right (+9)

56. Numb (+7) *New peak* 

59. So Good (+9) *New peak* 

64. Free Mind (+13) *New peak* 

66. Victoria's Secret (+17) *New peak* 

70. Bones (+14) *New peak* 

[Ger]

Most weeks on the chart

 

82: Heat Waves (#14) 

57: STAY (#20) 

49: Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) (#34) 

48: Shivers (#29) 

46: Ghost (#25) 

42: Big Energy (#21) 

40: Super Gremlin (#44) 

[pride4jc1222]

Massive, the song Drake pushed to pop, falls off the Hot 100 after only 7 weeks. I never really understood why he pushed that song. It was pretty apparent from the beginning that was going nowhere. Now would be the perfect time to push Sticky on pop, while it is still doing well on other formats. I think Sticky can go back into the Top 25 of the Hot 100 if pushed on pop.

[Kamil24]

Jax & Gabby increasing  

[Sinister]

3 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Massive, the song Drake pushed to pop, falls off the Hot 100 after only 7 weeks. I never really understood why he pushed that song. It was pretty apparent from the beginning that was going nowhere. Now would be the perfect time to push Sticky on pop, while it is still doing well on other formats. I think Sticky can go back into the Top 25 of the Hot 100 if pushed on pop.

After Sticky I need Currents

[NEUTRON]

20 minutes ago, Sinister said:

After Sticky I need Currents

!!!

 

Currents should be killing s**t right now

[Hurem]

Cold Heart ending up as one of Dua’s biggest songs

[americanlife]

The charts are stale and weird af right now.

[Sinister]

30 minutes ago, NEUTRON said:

!!!

 

Currents should be killing s**t right now

I prefer it over Massive and it’s my fave track on the album

[Ger]

4 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Massive, the song Drake pushed to pop, falls off the Hot 100 after only 7 weeks. I never really understood why he pushed that song. It was pretty apparent from the beginning that was going nowhere. Now would be the perfect time to push Sticky on pop, while it is still doing well on other formats. I think Sticky can go back into the Top 25 of the Hot 100 if pushed on pop.

I think the gays were stanning hard for "Massive" the week it was released, so they assumed it would do good on Pop radio, but they should know the gays have tragic taste since they like men.

[NEUTRON]

11 hours ago, Sinister said:

I prefer it over Massive and it’s my fave track on the album

Same! Currents is the perfect Summer single

[Green]

On 8/16/2022 at 11:10 AM, pride4jc1222 said:

The sales divisor has changed. In 2020 and most of 2021, the divisor was 5. At the end of 2021 and the beginning of 2022, the divisor was 6. The divisor is at least 7, and believed to be 7.5 now: https://pulsemusic.proboards.com/thread/213458/billboard-hot-100-08-2022?page=18&scrollTo=8244405

 

Now I see why my predictions were off lately. With the 6 divisor the new BTS/benny blanco song would have been top 5. The new divisor is probably 7.5 which means that sales count less (maybe that's the reason Nicki released the Roman Remix yesterday )