movie Avatar: The Way of Water | Billions: 2 | Oscar Noms: 4 | Best Picture Noms: 1

[mystery]

I think it is doing 600m - 625m domestic and 1.475b - 1.510b global for a 2.075b - 2.135b worldwide total.

Edited January 3, 2023 by mystery

[BNF91]

$42M OS Monday Jesus Christ $1B OS passed!

[Reb'l Rêveur]

5 minutes ago, BNF91 said:

$42M OS Monday Jesus Christ $1B OS passed!

Huge! What's the current ww total gross? 

[BNF91]

Just now, Reb'l Rêveur said:

Huge! What's the current ww total gross? 

$1.445B thinking it'll be around $1.53B heading into the weekend. Then another $40M domestic and $110-120M OS 4th weekend for just under $1.7B by Sunday. 

[Godly]

2 hours ago, Matthew said:

Going to see this again tonight but in HFR. What did everyone think of it? 

I went in a little hesitant because a lot of people were saying this format almost ruined the movie for them, but I can't say I had any qualms with it 

 

I'd have to rewatch in standard 3D to see if it's an improvement, but I don't think I'll be able to

[Hobbes]

Saw this last night.

 

It was stunning as I expected and I was entertained from start to finish but the script was no improvement over the first film whatsoever. Like the dialogue was just so dry and lifeless and like somebody mentioned already there was no real 'threat' to the main characters even though the stakes are supposed to be high. Jake's son dying wasn't enough. I'm also struggling to connect emotionally to any of the characters, maybe it's something to do with the CGI? Although that said I felt really sad about the whale being chased.

[BNF91]

If Avatar: The Way of Water has holds that are even just 80% as good as No Way Home's after the 3rd weekend, then it will cross $700M+ domestic. 

[cruelhprince]

luv me some Marvel but L&T was hilarious and not in the way they wanted it to be  that floating head 

 

OT: smash. It'd be insane if this crosses 700M domestic. the way initial predictions had it at 480-550M final 

[Godly]

Wtf @ that estimate 

 

[MrPeanut]

22 minutes ago, Godly said:

Wtf @ that estimate 

 

Lol he really said let me add a billion.

[MrPeanut]

Very encouraging to see how much this rebounded since Christmas.

[Gaia]

 

 

Ugh at the start of the movie I was like "Wow that's so beautiful "

 

Then at the end of the movie I was like "ugh that's so beautiful "

[X~MoviePoP]

Is this zoe saldana song eligible for a oscar nom? She co-wrote it i believe

[mystery]

1 minute ago, X~MoviePoP said:

Is this zoe saldana song eligible for a oscar nom? She co-wrote it i believe

It didn't make the shortlist unfortunately.

[ccfan007]

Does anyone know the updated numbers? It's been stuck for days now on BoxOfficeMojo..

[ALA]

It's so embarassing seeing film stans so mad this is doing well and claming its an insignificant franchase seethe! 

[MrPeanut]

19 minutes ago, ccfan007 said:

Does anyone know the updated numbers? It's been stuck for days now on BoxOfficeMojo..

the-numbers.com usually has updated daily actuals a couple hours before BOM updates these days.

[BNF91]

All the actuals domestic have finalized. Up again. $67.4M 3-day, $88.8M 4-day. Incredible. A 6% increase from last weekend. $447M total. 

[Liafen]

The slayage! Thanks @BNF91 for the constant updates, love reading your comments! Keep up the good work, it's really appreciated here and anywhere else on this  forum. You're the MVP.

[Zerocoke]

15 minutes ago, BNF91 said:

All the actuals domestic have finalized. Up again. $67.4M 3-day, $88.8M 4-day. Incredible. A 6% increase from last weekend. $447M total. 

Incredible. Also right now it's performing better than Avatar on a week to week basis. I see people saying the performance and legs are worse because weekends 2 and 3 were lower when in fact, both were negatively impacted by xmas eve and NYs eve. 

 

Full Week Analysis:

 

Avatar:

Week 1: 137M

Week 2: 146M 

Week 3: 96M (-34% decline vs week 2)

Week 4: 69M

Week 5: 66M (surpasses 500M)

Week 6: 47M

Week 7: 42M (surpasses 600M)

Week 8: 31M

Week 9: 34M

Week 10: 21M

Week 11: 19M (surpasses 700M)

 

Avatar TWOW:

Week 1: 197M (+60M DIFF)

Week 2: 160M (+14M DIFF)

Week 3: 109M (assuming 7M average week days from Tuesday to Thursday, +13M DIFF, -32% decline vs week 2)

Week 4: ?? I'm estimating around 60M but who knows

 

So after 3 full weeks, TWOW will have an advantage of +87M, which is expected to start losing on week 4 but... will it actually? Are weeks 1 to 3 an indicator that TWOW could still perform on par or above Avatar in Jan and Feb? I mean Avatar's weekly holds from week 4 to week 11 are outstanding so it seems quite difficult.

[mystery]

3 minutes ago, Liafen said:

The slayage! Thanks @BNF91 for the constant updates, love reading your comments! Keep up the good work, it's really appreciated here and anywhere else on this  forum. You're the MVP.

My thoughts exactly! I love all the insightful comments and updates regarding the box office and it is always a joy to see your posts!

[BNF91]

43 minutes ago, Liafen said:

The slayage! Thanks @BNF91 for the constant updates, love reading your comments! Keep up the good work, it's really appreciated here and anywhere else on this  forum. You're the MVP.

 

38 minutes ago, mystery said:

My thoughts exactly! I love all the insightful comments and updates regarding the box office and it is always a joy to see your posts!

Thanks ya'll 

[Frozen99]

6 hours ago, Hobbes said:

Saw this last night.

 

 

  Hide contents

It was stunning as I expected and I was entertained from start to finish but the script was no improvement over the first film whatsoever. Like the dialogue was just so dry and lifeless and like somebody mentioned already there was no real 'threat' to the main characters even though the stakes are supposed to be high. Jake's son dying wasn't enough. I'm also struggling to connect emotionally to any of the characters, maybe it's something to do with the CGI? Although that said I felt really sad about the whale being chased.

i share the same sentiment, the amount of plot holes was annoying, the script was bad, the fact they left their tribe they fought the whole first film in a heartbeat, with neytiri leaving her mum behind just like that .. i was more emotionally affected by the whale hunting and payakan's story than anyone else's. it's not the cgi, it's the bad script. from humans, i liked kiri the most bc sigourney and neytiri but she was very, very put aside the whole movie, even when her son died and jack saw him thx to eywa, she was just lurking behind his shoulder

  

42 minutes ago, Liafen said:

The slayage! Thanks @BNF91 for the constant updates, love reading your comments! Keep up the good work, it's really appreciated here and anywhere else on this  forum. You're the MVP.

37 minutes ago, mystery said:

My thoughts exactly! I love all the insightful comments and updates regarding the box office and it is always a joy to see your posts!

yas king

 

[tootight49]

47 minutes ago, BNF91 said:

 

Thanks ya'll 

 

How’s Tuesday looking DOM & international?
Can it top TGM by tonight? 

[BNF91]

41 minutes ago, Zerocoke said:

Incredible. Also right now it's performing better than Avatar on a week to week basis. I see people saying the performance and legs are worse because weekends 2 and 3 were lower when in fact, both were negatively impacted by xmas eve and NYs eve. 

 

Full Week Analysis:

 

Avatar:

Week 1: 137M

Week 2: 146M 

Week 3: 96M (-34% decline vs week 2)

Week 4: 69M

Week 5: 66M (surpasses 500M)

Week 6: 47M

Week 7: 42M (surpasses 600M)

Week 8: 31M

Week 9: 34M

Week 10: 21M

Week 11: 19M (surpasses 700M)

 

Avatar TWOW:

Week 1: 197M (+60M DIFF)

Week 2: 160M (+14M DIFF)

Week 3: 109M (assuming 7M average week days from Tuesday to Thursday, +13M DIFF, -32% decline vs week 2)

Week 4: ?? I'm estimating around 60M but who knows

 

So after 3 full weeks, TWOW will have an advantage of +87M, which is expected to start losing on week 4 but... will it actually? Are weeks 1 to 3 an indicator that TWOW could still perform on par or above Avatar in Jan and Feb? I mean Avatar's weekly holds from week 4 to week 11 are outstanding so it seems quite difficult.

It's totally up in the air.. but I definitely feel like A2 will have good legs regardless. Maybe not as stellar as Avatar's, but better than average. In fact, I don't see why it can't do slightly worse than NWH's post holiday legs (which were almost Avatar-esque) and get to $675-700M. But also won't be disappointed if it just reaches $625-650M.