charts discussion Hot 100 early predictions (Winston): Rapstar #1, Deja Vu #10

[Renan90]

 

[Thinking Of You]

Nas X continuing to drop. A fad.

[NumbSoul]

Dua and Doja/SZA  

[Cain]

Levitating

[Leigh]

I can’t believe Olivia is smashing with a psychedelic pop song

[Ger]

Levitating longevity is insane, "MONTERO" falling fast on points, we love to see, song is so horrendous, I can't even.  

[QueenofCopyPaste]

Deja Vu RETURNING TO THE TOP 10

 

Album release week is coming soon

[Blue Monday]

positions: SITTING ?

[werkbitch]

Oh wow. Dua and her label should do something. Levitating could still rise

[Ivan_brit]

Levitating is 2 points away from a new peak  

[lukascharts]

Do not believe ANYTHING that's in that prediction.

 

This is the coming from the EXACT same guy who said Deja Vu was only dropping to #11 when it in fact went to #15, who had Better Together entering the top 10 one week because he uses "reliable sources", and who ONLY posts early predictions to get clout and not because they're actually accurate. He had Peaches "only" going top 40 on his first prediction when it was stable on AM at #2, and whom had Deja Vu going top 5 earlier despite having absolutely no read on how viral Deja Vu would stay.

 

Even his final predictions are of insanely low quality. During Up's debut week, he had Up going #1 with 50K sales. During Sunday night/Monday morning, he got insanely insecure and revised his prediction to put Up at #3 with 36K sales even though there was absolutely NO reason to change sales estimates at the end of the week. In the end, BOTH predictions were wrong. Also, he RARELY ever provides the raw data he uses for the songs. This is 2021. More people are doing Hot 100 predictions now. Do you really think someone that almost never provides the data they use is actually reliable? 

 

If you want raw proof that he's actually inaccurate, someone on twitter (https://twitter.com/irespect_that) rates predictors each week based on how well he does. Guess where he stands?

At the bottom. Both times he was in it (he since dropped out BECAUSE he didn't want to keep looking bad each week) he was ranked last:

https://twitter.com/irespect_that/status/1362208390533971968?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1362208390533971968%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fpulsemusic.proboards.com%2Fuser%2F14802%2Frecent

https://twitter.com/irespect_that/status/1359141918513328129?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1359141918513328129%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fpulsemusic.proboards.com%2Fuser%2F14802%2Frecent

 

This week  (https://twitter.com/irespect_that/status/1384513856362319880) his predictions would quality him for 28 points, which is the lowest score in the entire sheet. Even predictors that have only done predictions for a few months have scored better.

 

Nothing he says should be taken even close to face value. EVER.

 

If you want accurate predictions aside from TOTC, I suggest you posts predictions from these pages instead. They actually provide the raw data they use and they're more accurate.

 

twitter.com/Ashres5

twitter.com/folkcharts

twitter.com/fhaspredictions

twitter.com/cedriccharts

 

TL;DR Stop posting his predictions and giving him clout because that's the only thing he wants, look at other predictors like those I mentioned above if you want to post high-quality predictions.

[Brando]

2 hours ago, Thinking Of You said:

Nas X continuing to drop. A fad.

 

1 hour ago, Ger-55 said:

Levitating longevity is insane, "MONTERO" falling fast on points, we love to see, song is so horrendous, I can't even.  

3 weeks in Top 2 in longer than 90% of #1 debuts in the past 2 years

[moonlitdick]

3 minutes ago, Brando said:

 

3 weeks in Top 2 in longer than 90% of #1 debuts in the past 2 years

Positions being in the minority 10%