charts discussion 2020 Hot 100 Year End Predictions

[tanooki]

kinda uhhh...forgot about posting these here in atrl ope

 

Week 50/52 (96.2%)
Formula: Paid/1250 + Free/1875 + Programmed/2500 + Radio/6000 + Sales/5
Cutoff: 175,000 points (margin of error +/- 7.5%.. 188.1k - 161.9k)
Locked this week: Wishing Well, Rags2Riches

Top 10:
1 Mood 27,590
2 WAP 22,513
3 Laugh Now Cry Later 22,363
4 Blinding Lights 22,157
5 Savage Love 21,233
6 I Hope 20,887
7 Dynamite 19,597
8 Rockstar 19,387
9 Holy 18,950
10 Lemonade 17,707

LW TW ARTIST - SONG POINTS
1 1 The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 1,224,709
2 2 Post Malone - Circles 1,199,251
3 3 Roddy Ricch - The Box 1,146,190
4 4 Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 959,185
5 5 Future ft. Drake - Life Is Good 814,370
6 6 DaBaby ft. Roddy Ricch - ROCKSTAR 805,693
7 7 Harry Styles - Adore You 793,265
8 8 Maroon 5 - Memories 732,940
9 9 Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 687,591
10 10 Maren Morris - The Bones 681,598

11 11 Doja Cat - Say So 676,446
12 12 Gabby Barrett - I Hope 641,253
16 13 Jack Harlow ft. DaBaby, Tory Lanez, Lil Wayne - WHATS POPPIN 614,418
13 14 Tones & I - Dance Monkey 614,329
14 15 Megan Thee Stallion ft. Beyonce - Savage 614,136
15 16 Arizona Zervas - ROXANNE 608,343
17 17 Justin Bieber ft. Quavo - Intentions 579,587
18 18 Billie Eilish - everything I wanted 570,693
19 19 SAINt JHN - Roses (Imanbek Remix) 545,053
20 20 Trevor Daniel - Falling 516,314

21 21 Dan + Shay, Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 513,804
22 22 Harry Styles - Watermelon Sugar 505,521
26 23 Lewis Capaldi - Before You Go 484,001
23 24 blackbear - hot girl bummer 483,105
24 25 Mustard, Roddy Ricch - Ballin' 482,015
25 26 Lil Mosey - Blueberry Faygo 478,993
27 27 Cardi B, Megan Thee Stallion - WAP 469,210
28 28 The Weeknd - Heartless 429,603
29 29 DaBaby - BOP 422,926
30 30 Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 418,755

31 31 Lizzo - Good As Hell 416,643
32 32 Drake - Toosie Slide 408,906
33 33 Dua Lipa - Break My Heart 408,249
34 34 Morgan Wallen - Chasin You 395,604
35 35 Chris Brown ft. Drake - No Guidance 393,923
36 36 Camila Cabello ft. DaBaby - My Oh My 391,070
37 37 Roddy Ricch ft. Mustard - High Fashion 377,981
38 38 Jawsh 685, Jason Derulo - Savage Love (Laxed - Siren Beat) 361,589
39 39 BTS - Dynamite 359,817
40 40 Chris Brown, Young Thug - Go Crazy 342,958

41 41 Lil Baby - Woah 325,341
42 42 Powfu ft. beabadoobee - death bed 317,269
43 43 Shawn Mendes, Camila Cabello - Senorita 311,837
50 44 Drake ft. Lil Durk - Laugh Now Cry Later 302,233
44 45 Travis Scott - HIGHEST IN THE ROOM 299,143
45 46 Lady Gaga, Ariana Grande - Rain On Me 293,390
46 47 The Black Eyed Peas, J Balvin - RITMO (Bad Boys for Life) 289,629
47 48 Billie Eilish - bad guy 280,963
48 49 Blake Shelton, Gwen Stefani - Nobody But You 280,425
49 50 Rod Wave - Heart on Ice 279,932

51 51 SHAED - Trampoline 262,617
57 52 Pop Smoke ft. Lil Baby, DaBaby - For the Night 253,661
52 53 JP Saxe ft. Julia Michaels - If the World Was Ending 250,967
53 54 Lizzo - Truth Hurts 250,374
54 55 Lil Baby, 42 Dugg - We Paid 245,545
55 56 Surfaces - Sunday Best 239,738
61 57 Juice WRLD, Marshmello - Come & Go 238,797
56 58 Eminem ft. Juice WRLD - Godzilla 238,132
58 59 Justin Bieber - Yummy 235,750
59 60 Old Dominion - One Man Band 234,396

77 61 24kGoldn ft. iann dior - Mood 233,251
60 62 Maddie & Tae - Die From a Broken Heart 228,379
62 63 StaySolidRocky - Party Girl 221,578
63 64 Juice WRLD, YoungBoy Never Broke Again - Bandit 221,407
64 65 Lil Baby - Sum 2 Prove 220,914
65 66 Luke Bryan - One Margarita 218,494
66 67 YNW Melly, Juice WRLD - Suicidal 218,350
67 68 Lil Baby - Emotionally Scarred 217,459
68 69 Sam Hunt - Hard to Forget 216,521
69 70 Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You 215,136

70 71 Lil Nas X - Panini 213,292
71 72 Carly Pearce, Lee Brice - I Hope You're Happy Now 212,657
82 73 Jason Aldean - Got What I Got 212,144
72 74 Jonas Brothers - Only Human 210,914
73 75 Young Thug ft. Gunna - Hot 210,716
78 76 DJ Khaled, Drake - Popstar 210,510
74 77 Halsey - You should be sad 207,252
75 78 Pop Smoke - Dior 205,816
76 79 Ariana Grande, Justin Bieber - stuck with u 205,678
83 80 Lil Baby - The Bigger Picture 203,688

79 81 BENEE ft. Gus Dapperton - Supalonely 200,704
80 82 Kane Brown - Homesick 197,827
81 83 THE SCOTTS, Travis Scott, Kid Cudi - THE SCOTTS 197,612
84 84 Doja Cat, Tyga - Juicy 195,242
92 85 Lee Brice - One of Them Girls 193,201
90 86 Pop Smoke ft. 50 Cent, Roddy Ricch - The Woo 192,020
85 87 Luke Combs ft. Eric Church - Does to Me 191,920
86 88 Luke Combs - Even Though I'm Leaving 190,503
91 89 Pop Smoke ft. Lil Tjay - Mood Swings 188,973
87 90 Jhene Aiko - P*$$Y FAIRY (OTW) 185,737

88 91 H.E.R. ft. YG - Slide 184,521
89 92 Miranda Lambert - Bluebird 183,071
97 93 Juice WRLD - Wishing Well 177,018
101 94 Rod Wave ft. ATR Son Son - Rags2Riches 176,430
93 95 NLE Choppa ft. Roddy Ricch - Walk Em Down 175,402
--LOCKED CUTOFF: 175,000--
94 96 Karol G, Nicki Minaj - Tusa 174,126
95 97 Russ ft. BIA - BEST ON EARTH 173,307
96 98 Sam Hunt - Kinfolks 172,984
103 99 Kane Brown ft. Swae Lee, Khalid - Be Like That 169,685
98 100 JACKBOYS ft. Young Thug - OUT WEST 169,280

99 101 Ingrid Andress - More Hearts than Mine 169,077
100 102 Ed Sheeran ft. Justin Bieber - I Don't Care 168,936
102 103 Kane Brown - Cool Again 163,423
110 104 Luke Combs - Lovin On You 157,063
104 105 Thomas Rhett ft. Jon Pardi - Beer Can't Fix 155,987
107 106 Taylor Swift - cardigan 154,675
105 107 Thomas Rhett ft. Reba McEntire, Hillary Scott, Chris Tomlin, Keith Urban - Be a Light 153,153
115 108 surf mesa ft. Emilee - ily 152,361
106 109 Brenda Lee - Rockin Around the Christmas Tree 151,172
113 110 Saweetie - Tap In 150,079

108 111 Dustin Lynch - Ridin Roads 149,459
109 112 Florida Georgia Line - I Love My Country 149,422
122 113 Morgan Wallen - More Than My Hometown 149,334
128 114 Moneybagg Yo - Said Sum 144,517
111 115 Diplo, Morgan Wallen - Heartless 143,702
112 116 Taylor Swift - Lover 143,226
114 117 Lil Nas X ft. Billy Ray Cyrus - Old Town Road 141,402
116 118 Halsey - Graveyard 140,614
117 119 Jonas Brothers - Sucker 139,878
118 120 Marshmello, Halsey - Be Kind 139,270

119 121 The Weeknd - In Your Eyes 139,005
120 122 Megan thee Stallion - Girls in the Hood 138,618
121 123 Jordan Davis - Slow Dancing in a Parking Lot 137,930
123 124 Travis Denning - After a Few 137,764
124 125 Lady Gaga - Stupid Love 136,710
125 126 Jonas Brothers - What a Man Gotta Do 134,768
146 127 Internet Money, Gunna ft. Don Toliver, NAV - Lemonade 133,773
126 128 Jon Pardi - Heartache Medication 133,115
127 129 Wale ft. Jeremih - On Chill 132,032
129 130 Lil Uzi Vert - Futsal Shuffle 2020 131,481

130 131 DaBaby - VIBEZ 131,133
131 132 Doja Cat ft. Gucci Mane - Like That 130,964
132 133 Brett Young - Catch 130,606
143 134 AJR - Bang! 130,407
142 135 HARDY ft. Lauren Alaina, Devin Dawson - One Beer 130,287
133 136 Juice WRLD - Righteous 129,771
134 137 6ix9ine - GOOBA 129,669
135 138 Luke Bryan - What She Wants Tonight 127,458
136 139 Bad Bunny - Vete 127,306
137 140 Keith Urban - God Whispered Your Name 126,310

138 141 Don Toliver - After Party 123,924
139 142 Burl Ives - A Holly Jolly Christmas 123,221
140 143 Jake Owen - Homemade 121,346
141 144 Lil Tecca - Ran$om 121,004
144 145 Bad Bunny - Yo Perreo Sola 117,896
145 146 Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock 117,281
147 147 Summer Walker ft. Bryson Tiller - Playing Games 114,654
148 148 Jason Aldean - We Back 112,744
149 149 Kenny Chesney - Here and Now 112,012
150 150 Chris Brown ft. Gunna - Heat 110,796

151 151 Demi Lovato - I Love Me 108,954
152 152 DJ Khaled, Drake - Greece 107,888
153 153 Gunna ft. Young Thug - DOLLAZ ON MY HEAD 106,935
163 154 Miley Cyrus - Midnight Sky 105,999
166 155 Dan + Shay - I Should Probably Go To Bed 104,493
154 156 Andy Williams - It’s the Most Wonderful Time of the Year 102,565
155 157 PARTYNEXTDOOR ft. Rihanna - BELIEVE IT 101,648
156 158 Drake ft. Giveon - Chicago Freestyle 100,915
157 159 Lady Antebellum - What If I Never Get Over You 100,651
158 160 Don Toliver - No Idea 100,322

159 161 Ed Sheeran ft. Khalid - Beautiful People 99,848
192 162 Justin Bieber ft. Chance the Rapper - Holy 98,737
160 163 Idina Menzel & AURORA - Into the Unknown 98,075
161 164 YoungBoy Never Broke Again - Make No Sense 98,019
162 165 Post Malone ft. Ozzy Osbourne, Travis Scott - Take What You Want 97,633
164 166 NLE Choppa - Camelot 96,862
165 167 Justin Moore - Why We Drink 95,991
167 168 twenty one pilots - Level of Concern 94,846
168 169 Lil Uzi Vert - That Way 94,671
180 170 Parker McCollum - Pretty Heart 94,029

189 171 Ava Max - Kings & Queens 92,823
169 172 Wham! - Last Christmas 92,435
178 173 Morgan Wallen - 7 Summers 92,233
170 174 Ed Sheeran ft. Camila Cabello, Cardi B - South of the Border 90,612
186 175 Blake Shelton ft. Gwen Stefani - Happy Anywhere 90,107
171 176 Young T, Bugsey ft. Headie One - Don't Rush 89,226
172 177 Thomas Rhett - Remember You Young 89,164
173 178 Khalid - Talk 87,827
174 179 Roddy Ricch ft. Gunna - Start Wit Me 87,743
200 180 Jameson Rodgers - Some Girls 87,235

175 181 Lil Baby, 42 Dugg - Grace 87,070
176 182 DaniLeigh ft. Chris Brown - Easy 86,307
177 183 Riley Green - I Wish Grandpas Never Died 85,762
179 184 Migos ft. YoungBoy Never Broke Again - Need It 85,153
190 185 Lil Durk ft. Lil Baby, Polo G - 3 Headed Goat 85,066
181 186 Chris Janson - Done 84,958
182 187 Maroon 5 - Nobody's Love 84,373
183 188 Summer Walker ft. Usher - Come Thru 83,837
195 189 Topic, A7S - Breaking Me 83,185
184 190 Scotty McCreery - In Between 83,005

185 191 Layton Greene, Lil Baby, City Girls, PnB Rock - Leave Em Alone 81,544
187 192 Rod Wave - Girl of My Dreams 80,897
188 193 Jimmie Allen - Make Me Want To 80,856
205 194 Conan Gray - Heather 80,294
191 195 NAV ft. Travis Scott, Gunna - Turks 80,291
193 196 YNW Melly ft. 9lokknine - 223's 79,721
206 197 Jhene Aiko ft. H.E.R. - B.S. 79,126
194 198 Noah Cyrus ft. Leon Bridges - July 78,651
196 199 Kelsea Ballerini - homecoming queen? 77,273
197 200 Ashley McBryde - One Night Standards 76,802

[tanooki]

Hot 100 Artist Year End - Week 50/52
I cannot say that this is the most accurate list ever

1 Roddy Ricch 2,109,194
2 The Weeknd 2,013,567
3 DaBaby 1,723,910
4 Lil Baby 1,555,942
5 Drake 1,436,648
6 Dua Lipa 1,424,545
7 Harry Styles 1,350,118
8 Post Malone 1,350,030
9 Juice WRLD 1,285,209
10 Lewis Capaldi 1,171,592

11 Justin Bieber 1,166,758
12 Billie Eilish 971,702
13 Pop Smoke 947,404
14 Megan Thee Stallion 834,331
15 Maroon 5 817,313
16 Lil Uzi Vert 767,150
17 Morgan Wallen 709,022
18 Doja Cat 707,729
19 Future 693,466
20 Maren Morris 681,598

21 Lizzo 667,017
22 Taylor Swift 638,837
23 Tones & I 614,329
24 Arizona Zervas 608,343
25 Jonas Brothers 562,662
26 Chris Brown 555,517
27 Rod Wave 554,300
28 YoungBoy Never Broke Again 545,605
29 SAINt JHN 545,053
30 Selena Gomez 538,082

31 Trevor Daniel 529,363
32 blackbear 507,755
33 Kane Brown 506,049
34 Lil Mosey 489,984
35 Camila Cabello 466,864
36 Young Thug 455,053
37 Gabby Barrett 448,877
38 Halsey 440,898
39 Jack Harlow 430,093
40 BTS 420,905

41 Bad Bunny 400,125
42 Sam Hunt 389,505
43 Luke Combs 386,312
44 Travis Scott 375,113
45 Gunna 374,912
46 Nicki Minaj 362,702
47 Dan + Shay 361,395
48 Mustard 354,402
49 Luke Bryan 345,952
50 Jason Aldean 324,888

51 Lil Nas X 316,830
52 Lady Gaga 295,674
53 Eminem 289,368
54 Jhene Aiko 277,718
55 Polo G 276,568
56 Don Toliver 274,502
57 SHAED 262,617
58 Ed Sheeran 258,163
59 NLE Choppa 254,609
60 Cardi B 250,889

61 Ariana Grande 249,534
62 Surfaces 239,738
63 Old Dominion 234,396
64 Maddie & Tae 228,379
65 Powfu 222,088
66 Blake Shelton 221,832
67 StaySolidRocky 221,578
68 Mariah Carey 215,136
69 Marshmello 211,770
70 Moneybagg Yo 210,417

71 Beyonce 201,310
72 Keith Urban 199,005
73 Thomas Rhett 198,355
74 Shawn Mendes 197,091
75 Lee Brice 193,201
76 Charlie Puth 192,376
77 Miranda Lambert 189,812
78 Quavo 187,630
79 Khalid 182,485
80 Jason Derulo 180,795

81 Jawsh 685 180,795
82 Jon Pardi 179,843
83 JP Saxe 175,677
84 6ix9ine 170,930
85 YNW Melly 169,427
86 24kGoldn 169,150
87 Ingrid Andress 169,077
88 Demi Lovato 169,044
89 Black Eyed Peas 168,975
90 42 Dugg 166,308

91 Lil Durk 165,573
92 Saweetie 161,308
93 Sam Smith 159,810
94 DJ Khaled 159,199
95 H.E.R. 152,903
96 Brenda Lee 151,172
97 Tory Lanez 150,528
98 Dustin Lynch 149,459
99 Florida Georgia Line 149,422
100 Summer Walker 147,954

101 JACKBOYS 147,439
102 Mac Miller 140,632
103 BENEE 140,493
104 Jordan Davis 137,930
105 Travis Denning 137,764
106 Kenny Chesney 137,397
107 Lil Tecca 136,373
108 Brett Young 130,606
109 AJR 130,407
110 J Balvin 129,499

111 Carly Pearce 123,528
112 Burl Ives 123,221
113 Jake Owen 121,346
114 Russ 121,315
115 A Boogie Wit Da Hoodie 119,150
116 Bobby Helms 117,281
117 Andy Williams 113,856
118 Gwen Stefani 111,160
119 Kid Cudi 106,744
120 surf mesa 106,653

121 Miley Cyrus 105,999
122 Chris Janson 105,982
123 Gene Autry 105,332
124 Lady A 104,957
125 Lil Wayne 103,045
126 Trippie Redd 102,559
127 Tyga 100,664
128 Justin Moore 95,991
129 beabadoobee 95,181
130 twenty one pilots 94,846

131 Parker McCollum 94,029
132 Ava Max 92,823
133 Machine Gun Kelly 92,624
134 Wham! 92,435
135 Wale 92,422
136 HARDY 91,201
137 Kelsea Ballerini 89,008
138 PARTYNEXTDOOR 89,007
139 Matt Stell 88,099
140 Jameson Rodgers 87,235

141 Riley Green 85,762
142 21 Savage 83,898
143 Scotty McCreery 83,005
144 Ozuna 82,108
145 Niall Horan 80,866
146 Jimmie Allen 80,856
147 Conan Gray 80,294
148 NAV 78,339
149 Ashley McBryde 76,802
150 LOCASH 76,655

[BlackoutZone]

Don’t Start Now biggest female song of the year of course

[Kyoto]

So from what I see is that Billie is the second most successful female this year, yet Atrl says she flopped

[Kiss It Better]

Slide Blinding Lights 

[H-I-M]

1 hour ago, BlackoutZone said:

Don’t Start Now biggest female song of the year of course

What about WAP  ?

[Cain]

13 minutes ago, H-I-M said:

What about WAP  ?

Is WAP #4 on the YE predictions?

[TheArgonaut]

Marren. 

[OnlyManInTheWorld]

Marren Morris and Gabby Barrett

[Green]

2 number hits will miss the Hot 100 year-end (TROLLZ and cardigan)

 

positions will probably be in the 2021 year-end

[MALAMENTE]

LYTLM sad that its strongest weeks went to 2019 

[dreampop]

stupid love and daisies will be top 5 on the 2020 YEC 

[OrgVisual]

The amount of #1 "hits" that not gonna make it to YEC   

[ViviLittleM]

Great to see Rain On Me

[DELE2125]

1 hour ago, Green said:

2 number hits will miss the Hot 100 year-end (TROLLZ and cardigan)

 

positions will probably be in the 2021 year-end

The biggest #1 flops of all time?

 

Dua

[gotportugal]

5 hours ago, tanooki said:

Hot 100 Artist Year End - Week 50/52
I cannot say that this is the most accurate list ever

6 Dua Lipa 1,424,545

12 Billie Eilish 971,702
14 Megan Thee Stallion 834,331
18 Doja Cat 707,729
22 Taylor Swift 638,837

30 Selena Gomez 538,082
35 Camila Cabello 466,864
38 Halsey 440,898

52 Lady Gaga 295,674
60 Cardi B 250,889
61 Ariana Grande 249,534
 

Dua oh wow! I was fully expecting Billie to come above her

 

 

 

5 hours ago, Kyoto said:

So from what I see is that Billie is the second most successful female this year, yet Atrl says she flopped

Dua and Billie slayage oh wow 

 

[99sandthe2000s]

The way Billie continues to win flop who? 

[Green]

@tanooki

 

46 Nicki Minaj 362,702

 

Are you counting Say So's full chart run for Nicki or only the 2 weeks she was credited?

How is she that high when TROLLZ spent only 4 weeks on the Hot 100?

[Blue Jasmine]

Dua and Abel 

[Ivan_brit]

Dua Lipa top Female & Top Female song

 

Harry Styles & The Weeknd

 

Love to see that half of the Artist Top 10 are not from the US

[tanooki]

3 hours ago, Green said:

@tanooki

 

46 Nicki Minaj 362,702

 

Are you counting Say So's full chart run for Nicki or only the 2 weeks she was credited?

How is she that high when TROLLZ spent only 4 weeks on the Hot 100?

yeah, billboard counts nicki for say so somehow so i do too...

[Ger]

"The Bones" and "I Hope" being monster smashes of the year, despite this forum caring for their fave flops. 

 

Anyways, sis I didn't know you were TalkOfTheCharts, omg you're kidding @tanooki Hello there  

 

Strong Top 10, very surprised how M5 really got a huge one with "Memories", very impressed. SYL's insane longevity ending it inside Top 10.

[More Than A Melody]

I hope Watermelon Sugar can sneak in top 20 but this is so good. A top 10 in song, another one top 20/25, the album top 5, artist top 10. Harry's year, whew.

[tanooki]

45 minutes ago, Ger-55 said:

"The Bones" and "I Hope" being monster smashes of the year, despite this forum caring for their fave flops. 

 

Anyways, sis I didn't know you were TalkOfTheCharts, omg you're kidding @tanooki Hello there  

 

Strong Top 10, very surprised how M5 really got a huge one with "Memories", very impressed. SYL's insane longevity ending it inside Top 10.

Im part of talkofthecharts lol, I admin the discord (which u can join at discord.gg/talkofthecharts) 

 

memories being so high is weird to me but its bc it was at the beginning of the year

[GreatestLoveofAll]

11 hours ago, tanooki said:

10 10 Maren Morris - The Bones 681,598

Damn i wish it would make the top 10 that would be iconic