simmnfierzig Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 2 hours ago, Monster Megamind said: @simmnfierzig will Passionfruit debut top 10 next week? 18 hours ago, simmnfierzig said: Think Passionfruit is heading for a debut around #15, but top 10 is certainly possible. 15 hours ago, simmnfierzig said: Yeah mabye. If Apple Music are higher than the Spotify numbers it has a chance
simmnfierzig Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 Full predictions Multiplied the Spotify estimates by 2.5 for Drake. That gets the full album around 400 million which is about what HDD has for his SPS, but could still be off 1 Shape Of You 605 (=) 2 That's What I Like 391 (=) 3 Bad And Boujee 298 (=) 4 I Don't Wanna Live Forever 297 (=) 5 I Feel It Coming 251 (=) 6 Tunnel Vision 249 (=) 7 Something Just Like This 247 (+1) 8 Passionfruit 245 (debut) 9 Paris 239 (=) 10 Portland 226 (debut) 11 Love On The Brain 219 (-4) 12 iSpy 218 (-2) 13 Free Smoke 210 (debut) 14 Rockabye 208 (-2) 15 Bounce Back 201 (-4) 16 Body Like A Back Road 198 (+2) 17 Chained To The Rhythm 190 (-2) 18 Closer 187 (-5) 19 It Ain't Me 186 (-2) 20 Stay 186 (+7) 21 Fake Love 183 (+10) 22 Say You Won't Let Go 182 (-1) 23 T-Shirt 179 (+3) 24 Issues 176 (=) 25 Mercy 173 (-5) 26 Mask Off 169 (-7) 27 24k Magic 163 (-5) 28 Gyalchester 163 (debut) 29 No Long Talk 162 (debut) 30 Down 159 (-7) 31 Congratulations 159 (+1) 32 Sacrifices 153 (debut) 33 Rolex 152 (+1) 34 Cold 152 (-18) 35 Location 151 (=) 36 Blem 151 (debut) 37 Scars To Your Beautiful 148 (-12) 38 Can't Stop The Feeling 144 (-10) 39 Starboy 144 (-9) 40 Get It Together 144 (debut) 41 Teenage Fever 144 (debut) 42 Swang 135 (-9) 43 Jorja Interlude 134 (debut) 44 Bad Things 131 (-15) 45 KMT 131 (debut) 46 Madiba Riddim 130 (debut) 47 4422 129 (debut) 48 Dirt On My Boots 123 (-11) 49 Don't Wanna Know 122 (-13) 50 Glow 122 (debut) 51 Million Reasons 118 (-13) 52 Can't Have Everything 115 (debut) 53 Nothings Into Somethings 112 54 Do Not Disturb 111 (debut) 55 Lose You 111 (debut) 56 Slide 108 (-8) 57 Party 108 (-13) 58 Both 106 (-7) 59 Ice Melts 105 (debut) 60 Despacito 104 (-7) 61 Goosebumps 102 (-11) 62 Water Under The Bridge 101 (-19) 63 Since Way Back 101 (debut) 64 How Far I'll Go Auli'l 100 (-18) 65 Believer 100 (-23) 66 Skepta Interlude 99 (debut) 67 Green Light 97 (-28) 68 In Case You Didn't Know 90 (=) 69 No Frauds 87 (-55) 70 The Fighter 85 (+17) 71 Selfish 85 (-12) 72 Hurricane 84 (-6) 73 Any Ol Barstool 83 (-3) 74 Fast 83 (-10) 75 Redbone 81 (-19) 76 Castle On The Hill 81 (-24) 77 Think A Little Less 80 (-23) 78 Shining 80 (-11) 79 Look At Me! 79 (-14) 80 Deja Vu 79 (-23) 81 Play That Song 79 (-23) 82 Everyday 77 (-27) 83 Heavy 76 (-14) 84 Moves 74 (-11) 85 Galway Girl 73 (-22) 86 Make Me (Cry) 72 (-39) 87 Road Less Traveled 71 (-7) 88 Good Drank 70 (+5) 89 Perfect 68 (-29) 90 Call On Me 67 (-15) 91 Hometown Girl 66 (-10) 92 Losin Control 64 (-13) 93 The Weekend 64 (-9) 94 Kill A Word 64 (-11) 95 Black 63 (-7) 96 How Far I'll Go Alessia 60 (-20) 97 Swalla 60 (debut) 98 Draco 59 (-24) 99 Yeah Boy 57 (-8) 100 Party Monster 57 (-23) Others Thumbs 48 Scared To Be Lonely 47 Beauty And The Beast 45 I Got You 43 Liability 23 Going recurrent Better Man, Let Me Love You, Black Beatles, Heathens, Caroline
Rawr Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 18 hours ago, DELE2125 said: I'm pretty sure "Me Too", "Sorry", "Hold Up", "The Sound Of Silence" and "Blue Ain't Your Color" weren't overexposed on pop But deflect, I guess I don't think "Starboy" is going recurrent next week. I bet it'll fall to #50 to be fair rap songs don't sell as much as pop/country/rock songs cause older people buy songs more i'm sure his streams on those songs will equal them in certifications
unclefloprry Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 21 hours ago, Willy. said: Most of Nicki & Drake's hits don't open up with huge first week single sales outside the gate. One Dance opened with 104K first week. But this is all so trivial. I just find it humorous that homeboy was busy trying to make a point and failed. It was stupid to bring up PI & Make Me in the first place, as NF has outpeaked them both + they're examples of why it's also important to have good streaming numbers along with sales and radio. Views From The 6 opened with ~210k. The third best first week sales behind CSTF & Pillowtalk
UnusualBoy Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 1 Shape Of You 605 (=) 2 That's What I Like 391 (=) The gap is still so big and SOY is at its 10th week, I see it reaching 14 at this point
Temporal Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 1 hour ago, simmnfierzig said: 51 Million Reasons 118 (-13) bye
simmnfierzig Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 1 minute ago, Temporal said: bye With 14 Drake songs debuting ahead that's basically an increase
Letters From Adi Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 Paris needs to leave. Stay rising Stay,IAM,Mask Off should go T10 soon.
Temporal Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 1 minute ago, simmnfierzig said: With 14 Drake songs debuting ahead that's basically an increase At least it won't be pushed out of the Top 50 as a recurrent track Did the points for iT increase or decrease from last week based on your estimates?
mike3009 Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 Poor Black Beatles. On top of having terrible longevity, the Drake massacre made it go prematurely recurring.
simmnfierzig Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 9 minutes ago, Temporal said: At least it won't be pushed out of the Top 50 as a recurrent track Did the points for iT increase or decrease from last week based on your estimates? 123 last week and 118 this week
Temporal Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 Just now, simmnfierzig said: 123 last week and 118 this week Welp, time for me to By The Grace of God myself! The Super Bowl was fun y'all!
weeknika Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 C'mon Onika! I Feel It Coming ready to snatch Abel another #1.
FanOfPop Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 @simmnfierzig Where do you think "Believer" will peak on Hot 100?
Pacaveli Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 2 hours ago, simmnfierzig said: 69 No Frauds 87 (-55)
simmnfierzig Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 5 minutes ago, FanOfPop said: @simmnfierzig Where do you think "Believer" will peak on Hot 100? I think it probably has peaked. But you'll never know how high radio keeps pushing a song
FanOfPop Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 7 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said: I think it probably has peaked. But you'll never know how high radio keeps pushing a song Well they are planning on sending it to Pop first days of April so hopefully it will re-peak. Thanks.
QueenofCopyPaste Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 2 hours ago, UnusualBoy said: 1 Shape Of You 605 (=) 2 That's What I Like 391 (=) The gap is still so big and SOY is at its 10th week, I see it reaching 14 at this point 9th
UnusualBoy Posted March 22, 2017 Posted March 22, 2017 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Jeiboy said: 9th Oh yeah, I forgot it was dethroned by BB. Edited March 22, 2017 by UnusualBoy
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