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  1. Welcome to the official home for discussions related to US politics! 2020 US Presidential Election (op will be under construction for a little bit) Please, remember to be courteous to other members because not everyone will see every issue in the same way. Flame bait, name calling, trolling, and other disruptions will not be tolerated. Friendly debate is welcome and encouraged
  2. Updated Nov 30 2021 Source: Tracking SARS-CoV-2 variants (who.int) Working definition: A SARS-CoV-2 variant that meets the definition of a VOI (see below) and, through a comparative assessment, has been demonstrated to be associated with one or more of the following changes at a degree of global public health significance: Increase in transmissibility or detrimental change in COVID-19 epidemiology; OR Increase in virulence or change in clinical disease presentation; OR Decrease in effectiveness of public health and social measures or available diagnostics, vaccines, therapeutics. Currently designated Variants of Concern (VOCs)+: WHO label Pango lineage• GISAID clade Nextstrain clade Additional amino acid changes monitored° Earliest documented samples Date of designation Alpha B.1.1.7 GRY 20I (V1) +S:484K +S:452R United Kingdom, Sep-2020 18-Dec-2020 Beta B.1.351 GH/501Y.V2 20H (V2) +S:L18F South Africa, May-2020 18-Dec-2020 Gamma P.1 GR/501Y.V3 20J (V3) +S:681H Brazil, Nov-2020 11-Jan-2021 Delta B.1.617.2 G/478K.V1 21A, 21I, 21J +S:417N +S:484K India, Oct-2020 VOI: 4-Apr-2021 VOC: 11-May-2021 Omicron* B.1.1.529 GR/484A 21K - Multiple countries, Nov-2021 VUM: 24-Nov-2021 VOC: 26-Nov-2021 • Includes all descendent lineages. See the cov-lineages.org and the Pango network websites for further details. * See TAG-VE statement issued on 26 November 2021 ° Only found in a subset of sequences *Notable spike (S) amino acid changes under monitoring, which are currently reported in a minority of sequenced samples. Working definition A SARS-CoV-2 variant : with genetic changes that are predicted or known to affect virus characteristics such as transmissibility, disease severity, immune escape, diagnostic or therapeutic escape; AND Identified to cause significant community transmission or multiple COVID-19 clusters, in multiple countries with increasing relative prevalence alongside increasing number of cases over time, or other apparent epidemiological impacts to suggest an emerging risk to global public health. Currently designated Variants of Interest: WHO label Pango lineage* GISAID clade Nextstrain clade Earliest documented samples Date of designation Lambda C.37 GR/452Q.V1 21G Peru, Dec-2020 14-Jun-2021 Mu B.1.621 GH 21H Colombia, Jan-2021 30-Aug-2021 The journey so far... (as of Jul 08 2022) Average rise in neutralizing antibody levels: Live Science Pfizer-BioNTech Booster Moderna Booster Johnson & Johnson Booster Two doses Pfizer-BioNTech Initially 20x 31.7x 12.5x Two doses Moderna Initially 11.5x 10.2x 6.2x One dose Johnson & Johnson Initially 35.1x 75.9x 4.2x ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Long-terms effects of COVID-19 ("Long COVID") More than 50 long-term effects of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis | Scientific Reports (nature.com) ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Information added on Jan 25 2022 Statement on Therapies for High-Risk, Nonhospitalized Patients | COVID-19 Treatment Guidelines (nih.gov) Mixing and matching vaccines Information accurate as of Nov 2021 Note: Always check with a medical professional first if you have any doubts on the vaccines that you are going to get _________________________________________________________ Let's support one another in these difficult times! _________________________________________________________ Masks 4 All https://masks4all.co/ _________________________________________________________ [My original post on Jan 09 2020] https://www.google.com/amp/s/time.com/5759289/wuhan-pneumonia-outbreak-disease/%3famp=true How serious is the pneumonia outbreak? According to Wuhan’s health bureau, 59 patients have been diagnosed with the virus, including seven in critical condition as of Sunday. Some of the patients operated stalls at the seafood market. All of the patients are in quarantine, and 163 people who had been in close contact with them have been placed under medical observation. The World Health Organization says symptoms include fever and difficulty breathing. How fast is it spreading? The first case was discovered in Wuhan on Dec. 12, the city’s health bureau says. On Monday, authorities in Hong Kong reported that six more patients were found to have fever or respiratory symptoms after returning from Wuhan, bringing the number of cases in the city to 30.
  3. Queen of blood and failed startups Elizabeth Holmes is about to get sent to the slammer How many years are we predicting?
  4. Russian Invasion of Ukraine PLEASE NOTE: Want a resource link to send funds to besides the armed forces? Please check out the tweet below. I try to update this OP at least weekly with new Ukraine war maps from Al-Jazeera further below. This OP was originally oriented around an original thread on Five Eyes intelligence of an upcoming invasion first posted here in November 2021 that was changed to reflect the invasion that officially began in February 2022 and then subsequent posts were deleted as a result of the April 2022 forum reset. Al-Jazeera Live Daily Tracker Before the war - Maps in Context RESOURCE CONTEXT Sourcing: Shorter source list (English only) Verified and/or Highly Cited: CLICK NAMES FOR LINKS No endorsement of any of their other positions or those of their employers; news focused only Phil Stewart (Military correspondent, Reuters) Christo Grozev (Executive Director, Bellingcat) Eliot Higgins (Founder/Creative Director, Bellingcat) The Kyiv Independent (Ukrainian independent outlet) Kyiv Post (Ukrainian newspaper) Kevin Rothrock (Editor, Meduza English) Andrei Soldatov (Senior Fellow, CEPA) Liveuamap (Global independent outlet) Andrew Roth (Moscow correspondent, The Guardian) Liubov Tsybulska (Stratcom Ukraine Information/Hybrid Warfare Security Center Founder) Stratcom Centre (Ukraine Ministry of Culture's Strategic Comms / Info Warfare) Oleg Shakirov (Russian Center for Advanced Governance, consultant at PIR Center) Daria Kaleniuk (Executive Director, Ukraine's Anti-Corruption Action Centre) Paula Chertok (Kyiv's Mohyla Journalism School; Writer, Euromaiden Press) Nataliya Gumenyuk (Kyiv-based founder of Public Interest Journalism Lab) Myroslava Petsa (BBC Ukraine reporter) NEXTA (Former Belarusian-based outlet covering Eastern Europe, now based in Poland) SUSPILNE NEWS (Ukrainian Public Broadcaster) Max Seddon (Moscow Bureau Chief, Financial Times) Michael Kofman (Director, Russian Studies at CNA) Maria Shagina (Finnish Institute of International Affairs, Sanctions in post-Soviet regions) Polina Ivanova (Financial Times Ukraine/Russia correspondent) Illia Ponomarenko (Defense reporter, The Kyiv Independent) Euromaiden Press (Ukrainian independent outlet) Maria Avdeeva (Research Director at Euro Expert Association, Security Ops/Disinfo in Ukraine) Michael Horowitz (Le Beck International Geopolitical Consulting Firm) Anton Troianovski (Moscow Bureau Chief, New York Times) Mary Ilyushina (Washington Post/CBS Russia correspondent) Olga Tokariuk (EFEnoticias freelance correspondent in Kyiv) Julia Davis (Russian Media Analyst, The Daily Beast) Shaun Walker (Eastern Europe reporter, The Guardian) Samuel Ramani (Bylines in Washington Post/Foreign Policy, Fellow, RUSI) Neil Hauer (BNEIntellinews independent journalist in Ukraine) Jack Detsch (National Security Reporter, Foreign Policy magazine) Christopher Miller (BuzzFeedNews, reporting on Ukraine) Shashank Joshi (Defence Editor, The Economist) Unofficial OSINTtechnical The Intel Crab Caucasus War Report
  5. CBS News: 4 University of Idaho students were likely killed with an "edged weapon," police say; no suspects in custody AP NEWS: Killer who stabbed 4 Idaho students to death still at large MOSCOW, Idaho (AP) — The killer — or killers — who stabbed four University of Idaho students to death remained at large Tuesday, prompting many students to leave the campus in the idyllic small town despite police assurances that there was no imminent risk to the community. So many students had left the scenic tree-lined campus in Moscow, Idaho, by Tuesday that university officials said a candlelight vigil scheduled for the next day would instead be held after the Thanksgiving break. The students, all close friends, were found dead in an off-campus rental home around noon on Sunday, and officials said they likely were killed several hours earlier. Latah County Coroner Cathy Mabbutt told the Spokane, Washington-based television station KXLY that her preliminary investigation showed the students were stabbed to death. There is no indication that substance use was involved in the deaths, Mabbutt said. Latah County Prosecutor Bill Thompson said he understands that the police claims that the public isn’t at imminent risk seems contradictory to the facts that have been released so far about the killings. “Obviously, there’s no way police can say that there’s no risk, but what they’re seeing indicates that there’s not a risk that this person will randomly attack people,” Thompson said, noting that it’s also not yet clear if it was one attacker or more.
  6. 12 Repubs voted Yea. That's enough to pass the filibuster threshold (60 votes). This proposal would protect same sex and interracial marriages. There's gonna be another vote in the House and Senate, I believe, before it reaches Joe Biden's desk.
  7. https://twitter.com/popcrave/status/1593669903789490176?s=21&t=EC83dEsPrI-rdv3MEqDgAA impact
  8. BLOOMBERG: US Official Says Russian Missiles Crossed Into Poland REUTERS: Polish premier calls urgent meeting of national security committee WASHINGTON POST: Russian missiles crossed into Poland, killing 2 KYIV, Ukraine — A senior U.S. intelligence official says Russian missiles crossed into NATO member Poland, killing two people. Polish government spokesman Piotr Mueller did not immediately confirm the information, but said top leaders were holding an emergency meeting due to a “crisis situation.” Polish media reported that two people died Tuesday afternoon after a projectile struck an area where grain was drying in Przewodów, a Polish village near the border with Ukraine. REUTERS: Biden said Ukraine air defence missile responsible for Poland blast - NATO source BERLIN, Nov 16 (Reuters) - U.S. President Joe Biden told G7 and NATO partners that a missile blast in eastern Poland was caused by a Ukrainian air defence missile, a NATO source told Reuters on Wednesday.
  9. Jan

    Rats dance to Lady Gaga

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-14/rats-bop-to-the-beat-like-humans-study-says/101649744?utm_medium=social&utm_content=sf261865108&utm_campaign=fb_abc_news&utm_source=m.facebook.com&sf261865108=1&fbclid=IwAR10-8yEoZHUViS5ZFpVinhbcRqqN21bZMoX4qBcbIbonOHexOWM2BHm4iI
  10. We been knew it was happening... but now it's official. Do you think he will win, or not?
  11. link she stabbed her repeatedly in the neck & face while people cheered and filmed, the somali woman died at the scene and the charges were reduced because she's *allegedly* related to the cheif of police
  12. Most of the GOP establishment is starting to rally behind DeSantis, but Trump is expected to announce his presidential run tomorrow. Things are about to get interesting, gurls. (Link if the tweet doesn't load. https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1592216848493428737)
  13. AP NEWS: Explosion on Istanbul’s pedestrian avenue; deaths reported An explosion on Istanbul’s popular pedestrian Istiklal Avenue Sunday has left people dead and injured, a senior official said. Istanbul Gov. Ali Yerlikaya tweeted that the explosion occurred at about 4:20 p.m. (1320 GMT) and that there were deaths and injuries, but he did not say how many. The cause of the explosion was not clear. A video posted online showed flames erupting and a loud bang, as pedestrians turned and ran away. Other footage showed ambulances, fire trucks and police at the scene. Social media users said shops were shuttered and the avenue closed down. FAR AWAY VIDEO OF EXPLOSION:
  14. Authorities are responding to reports of a mid-air collision between two aircraft at the Wings Over Dallas air show at Dallas Executive Airport, Jason Evans with Dallas Fire-Rescue (DFR) told CNN on Saturday. According to Evans, the crash was reported around 1:30 p.m. There are currently over 40 fire rescue units on scene, DFR’s active incidents page shows. TWEET CONTAINING VIDEO OF COLLISION:
  15. reelection? album drop? what does ATRL think it could be?
  16. 🌀2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season🌀 June 1 - November 30 or as conditions warrant List of names Alex (unused)|Bonnie (unused)|Colin (unused)|Danielle (unused)|Earl (unused)|Fiona (unused)|Gaston (unused)|Hermine (unused) Ian (unused)|Julia (unused)|Karl (unused)|Lisa (unused)|Martin (unused)|Nicole (unused)|Owen (unused)|Paula (unused) Richard (unused)|Shary (unused)|Tobias (unused)|Virginie (unused)|Walter (unused) Pre-season predictions From left to right: named storms (39mph<), hurricanes (74mph<), major hurricanes (111mph<) CSU December 9, 2021 13–16 6–8 2–3 TSR December 10, 2021 18 8 3 TSR April 6, 2022 18 8 4 CSU April 7, 2022 19 9 4 TWC April 14, 2022 20 8 4 UA April 14, 2022 14 7 3 NCSU April 20, 2022 17–21 7–9 3–5 Average (1991–2020) 14.4 7.2 3.2 Saffir Simpson Scale Category Wind speeds (for 1-minute maximum sustained winds) m/s knots (kn) mph km/h Five ≥ 70 m/s ≥ 137 kn ≥ 157 mph ≥ 252 km/h Four 58–70 m/s 113–136 kn 130–156 mph 209–251 km/h Three 50–58 m/s 96–112 kn 111–129 mph 178–208 km/h Two 43–49 m/s 83–95 kn 96–110 mph 154–177 km/h One 33–42 m/s 64–82 kn 74–95 mph 119–153 km/h Related classifications (for 1-minute maximum sustained winds) Tropical storm 18–32 m/s 34–63 kn 39–73 mph 63–118 km/h Tropical depression ≤ 17 m/s ≤ 33 kn ≤ 38 mph ≤ 62 km/h (OFFICIAL) https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ (OFFICIAL) Experimental models > https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ < Experimental Models Welcome to the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread. As a passionate lover of all things meteorology, I decided to make this topic so that all ATRL members can gather when conditions warrant and discuss anything related to the current season, active storms, dangers, etc. I am NOT an expert or professional by any means, and any advice regarding impacts should be taken from the National Hurricane Center linked above. This season is expected to be a hyperactive one, with the possibility for storms this year to intensify rapidly, meaning their windspeed increases by 35 mph or more in 24 hours or less. This thread will be updated more frequently as the season ramps up. The average peak of the season is September 10. For members living in tropical cyclone prone areas around the world, always have a plan in place and stay vigilant. Take care
  17. BBC: India bridge collapse: Death toll rises to 141, many still missing CNN: Collapsed India bridge that killed 134 was recently repaired, official says
  18. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-29/officials-dozens-in-cardiac-arrest-after-seoul-crowd-surge Officials: Dozens in Cardiac Arrest After Seoul Crowd Surge THE ASSOCIATED PRESS (KIM TONG-HYUNG and HYUNG-JIN KIM) October 29, 2022 at 11:20 PM GMT+8Updated onOctober 29, 2022 at 11:48 PM GMT+8 Seoul, South Korea (AP) -- South Korean officials said around 50 people were in cardiac arrest and a number feared dead after being crushed by a large crowd pushing forward on a narrow street during Halloween festivities in the capital Seoul. Choi Cheon-sik, an official from the National Fire Agency, said around 100 people were reported as injured during the crowd surge Saturday night in the Itaewon leisure district and that around 50 were being treated for cardiac arrest as of early Sunday. Choi said it was believed that people were crushed to death after a large crowd began pushing forward in a narrow alley near Hamilton Hotel, a major party spot in Seoul. He said more than 400 emergency workers from around the nation, including practically all available personnel in Seoul, were deployed to the streets to treat the injured. Officials didn’t immediately release a death toll. Video on social media showed first responders administering CPR on multiple people lying in the street. Police also confirmed that dozens of people were being given CPR on Itaewon streets while many others have been taken to nearby hospitals. A local police officer said he was also informed that a stampede occurred on Itaewon’s streets where a crowd of people gathered for Halloween festivities. The officer requested anonymity, saying the details of the incident was still under investigation. Some local media reports earlier said the crush happened after a large number of people rushed to an Itaewon bar after hearing an unidentified celebrity visited there. South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol issued a statement calling for officials to ensure swift treatment for those injured and review the safety of the festivity sites. He also instructed the Health Ministry to swiftly deploy disaster medical assistance teams and secure beds in nearby hospital to treat the injured.
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