makeme Posted July 1, 2017 Share Posted July 1, 2017 Is Justin's Spanish song really going to dethrone One sweet day ? Taylor needs to release her lead asap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNNAMI Posted July 1, 2017 Share Posted July 1, 2017 1 hour ago, makeme said: Is Justin's Spanish song really going to dethrone One sweet day ? Taylor needs to release her lead asap it's not a justin only song and this song would be big even without JB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fridayteenage Posted July 1, 2017 Share Posted July 1, 2017 i wonder how many week's justin's spanish song will top sales Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DELE2125 Posted July 1, 2017 Share Posted July 1, 2017 1 hour ago, makeme said: Is Justin's Spanish song really going to dethrone One sweet day ? Taylor needs to release her lead asap And what makes you think her lead will dethrone them? Don't count the chickens before they hatch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexis Posted July 1, 2017 Share Posted July 1, 2017 28 minutes ago, UNNAMI said: it's not a justin only song and this song would be big even without JB it would not be #1 in the US. don't be delusional Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pacaveli Posted July 1, 2017 Share Posted July 1, 2017 14 minutes ago, alexis said: it would not be #1 in the US. don't be delusional This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rico Shameless v2 Posted July 1, 2017 Share Posted July 1, 2017 4 hours ago, UNNAMI said: it's not a justin only song and this song would be big even without JB Lord, I thought only the obvious select members who dislike Bieber were still spewing this. 3 hours ago, ChartsFan said: I'll be really surprised if her new material goes to Spotify upon release. just because she has placed her old stuff there, does nothing mean she will immediately give them her new material. SHe has shown what her sales can be if she doesn't put it on Spotify. So putting there is quite counterproductive, Yep. So right now I'm expecting her not to. Either that or having a very drawn out window. Since that's what allegedly got her to put everything back + 1989. 3 hours ago, ChartsFan said: The fact that radio has two other Bieber songs to go to, does increase the chances they can just dump Despacito. Not saying they will, but they do have alternatives to push. This too. We do have to think about how ITO will soon peak, especially with Wild Thoughts stomping forward. 2U is a wild card. Also the T10 is pretty weak with Stay still 2k+ spins ahead at #1, so Despacito could also get a surge to the top and hold (similar to SOY) if nothing else is coming. Halsey is the only other song with a healthy bullet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
volition Posted July 1, 2017 Share Posted July 1, 2017 6 hours ago, fridayteenage said: hmm, starboy's sales run: 2-2-3-3-2-2-3-2-3-2-2-5-1. the longevity near the top. that's what i like: 5-2-3-2-3-2-2-2-2-2-2-3-3-4. not expecting the same here. i don't know if u realise (judging by the consistently inane posts it seems like u don't, even though u live in a charts forum) that sales is not the factor that is going to make or break a song's chart run. i think WT is doing pretty well in streaming and radio, don't you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miley Ray Cyrus Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 Why Mariah Carey stans always show up on every christmas thread and a 10th+ week #1 contender threads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pacaveli Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 (edited) Dear @simmnfierzig, Kworb has just updated, though. Edited July 2, 2017 by Pacaveli Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Letters From Adi Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 6 hours ago, Miley Ray Cyrus said: Why Mariah Carey stans always show up on every christmas thread and a 10th+ week #1 contender threads I don't see a single lamb in this thread All of them are only talking about OSD's record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianc33710 Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 46 minutes ago, Letters From Adi said: I don't see a single lamb in this thread All of them are only talking about OSD's record. I see Despacito getting 13-14 weeks at #1. If any song was ever worthy of tying, if not outright breaking the record, it was UF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianc33710 Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 12 hours ago, volition said: i don't know if u realise (judging by the consistently inane posts it seems like u don't, even though u live in a charts forum) that sales is not the factor that is going to make or break a song's chart run. i think WT is doing pretty well in streaming and radio, don't you Well Closer and SOY both had great sales, and that led to both having 12 week runs at #1. So @fridayteenage actually knows exactly what it takes for a song to have a double digit run at #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianc33710 Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 16 hours ago, ChartsFan said: I'll be really surprised if her new material goes to Spotify upon release. just because she has placed her old stuff there, does nothing mean she will immediately give them her new material. SHe has shown what her sales can be if she doesn't put it on Spotify. So putting there is quite counterproductive, I think her song will go to Spotify, but that her album will remain in the premium only zone for several weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simmnfierzig Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 17 hours ago, DELE2125 said: And what makes you think her lead will dethrone them? Don't count the chickens before they hatch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tsuko Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 (edited) 19 hours ago, alexis said: it would not be #1 in the US. don't be delusional I think it could be. At least with a different English-speaking artist on the remix. Edited July 2, 2017 by Tsuko Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simmnfierzig Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 (edited) Final predictions 1 Despacito 722 (=) 2 I'm The One 438 (=) 3 That's What I Like 387 (=) 4 Wild Thoughts 369 (=) 5 Shape Of You 316 (=) 6 Believer 314 (+5) 7 Humble 288 (-1) 8 Congratulations 253 (=) 9 Mask Off 248 (-2) 10 Stay 239 (=) 11 Something Just Like This 238 (-2) 12 Body Like A Back Road 236 (+1) 13 Unforgettable 234 (+3) 14 Redbone 222 (=) 15 XO Tour Lif3 219 (-3) 16 Issues 198 (-1) 17 There's Nothing Holdin Me Back 190 (+2) 18 Say You Won't Let Go 187 (-1) 19 Now Or Never 183 (+2) 20 It Ain't Me 177 (-2) 21 Slow Hands 155 (+3) 22 Attention 151 (+3) 23 Bad Liar 150 (-3) 24 Castle On The Hill 150 (-1) 25 Malibu 149 (-3) 26 Location 136 (+4) 27 iSpy 128 (-1) 28 Rolex 120 (-1) 29 2U 119 (-1) 30 Magnolia 118 (-1) 31 Signs 117 (debut) 32 In Case You Didn't Know 116 (=) 33 Slippery 115 (+2) 34 Strip That Down 113 (=) 35 Everyday We Lit 111 (+2) 36 Closer 109 (-3) 37 Swalla 108 (-6) 38 Bad And Boujee 106 (=) 39 24k Magic 105 (+1) 40 DNA 101 (-4) 41 Goosebumps 100 (-2) 42 Drowning 97 (-1) 43 Hurricane 97 (=) 44 Tunnel Vision 90 (=) 45 Crying In The Club 87 (+9) 46 My Girl 87 (+10) 47 Craving You 86 (+6) 48 God, Your Mama And Me 84 (-2) 49 The Cure 84 (+8) 50 Passionfruit 84 (-2) 51 First Day Out 82 (+1) 52 Slide 77 (-3) 53 Thunder 75 (+32) 54 4 AM 74 (+1) 55 Feels 73 (-4) 56 Sign Of The Times 72 (-14) 57 Every Time I Hear That Song 71 (+2) 58 Loyalty 71 (+11) 59 Privacy 67 (+7) 60 No Complaints 65 (debut) 61 It's A Vibe 63 (-3) 62 Felices Los 4 63 (+1) 63 Love 62 (-1) 64 Flatliner 61 (+9) 65 Drinkin Problem 61 (-1) 66 You Look Good 59 (+1) 67 Don't Quit 57 (debut) 68 1-800-273-8255 57 (=) 69 To The Max 56 (+9) 70 Small Town Boy 55 (+5) 71 Do I Make You Wanna 54 (+22) 72 Yours If You Want It 53 (+10) 73 Weak 52 (+1) 74 Portland 50 (-2) 75 Love Galore 50 (+6) 76 Good Drank 50 (-6) 77 No Such Thing As A Broken Heart 50 (+3) 78 Know No Better 50 (re-entry) 79 No Promises 47 (-2) 80 How Not To 47 (-15) 81 If I Told You 47 (-5) 82 Down 46 (-3) 83 Feel It Still 46 (+6) 84 Reminder 45 (+3) 85 What Ifs 45 (+5) 86 On Everything 45 (debut) 87 Element 45 (re-entry) 88 Losin Control 44 (-2) 89 Somebody Else Will 44 (+3) 90 Butterfly Effect 44 (+5) 91 Cold 42 (-20) 92 Escapate Conmingo 42 (+4) 93 Swish Swish 42 (-9) 94 Most Girls 42 (-3) 95 Nobody Else But You 41 (+2) 96 It Ain't My Fault 41 (+3) 97 Versace On The Floor 41 (re-entry) 98 Woke Up Like This 40 (-4) 99 Whatever It Takes 39 (debut) 100 First Day Out Kodak 38 (-39) Symphony collapsed on Spotify after going #1 on Bubbling Under last week Going recurrent: T-Shirt, Scars To Your Beautiful, The Fighter, Look At Me! Edited July 2, 2017 by simmnfierzig Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DELE2125 Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 3 hours ago, simmnfierzig said: You're getting a little too confident, huh? I'm not saying she couldn't do it, but it could go both way, it is not written on stone, and you, more than anyone should be aware of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simmnfierzig Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 (edited) 3 minutes ago, DELE2125 said: You're getting a little too confident, huh? I'm not saying she couldn't do it, but it could go both way, it is not written on stone, and you, more than anyone should be aware of that. Her lead single will 100% go #1 Edited July 2, 2017 by simmnfierzig Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DELE2125 Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 (edited) 1 minute ago, simmnfierzig said: Her lead single will 100% go #1 200k sales + 80M AI, + 35M streaming (Taylor) vs. 115k sales + 200M AI + 60M streaming (Fonsi)... She would get it? Edited July 2, 2017 by DELE2125 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simmnfierzig Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 Just now, DELE2125 said: 200k sales + 80M AI, + 35M streaming (Taylor) vs. 115k sales + 200M AI + 60M streaming (Fonsi)... She would get it? Nope And Blurred Lines, Happy and We Belong Together are the only 3 songs that have been over 200M AI on Billboard Despacito won't get close to that and streams will be lower by the time Taylor releases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DELE2125 Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 3 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said: Nope And Blurred Lines, Happy and We Belong Together are the only 3 songs that have been over 200M AI on Billboard Despacito won't get close to that and streams will be lower by the time Taylor releases. Obviously I was using Kworb numbers for AI... Multiply it by ~0.85 to get the official numbers... And isn't Taylor releasing in like 4 weeks? I don't see Despacito too far away from those numbers by that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simmnfierzig Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 1 minute ago, DELE2125 said: Obviously I was using Kworb numbers for AI... Multiply it by ~0.85 to get the official numbers... And isn't Taylor releasing in like 4 weeks? I don't see Despacito too far away from those numbers by that time. We have no idea when Taylor will release Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DELE2125 Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 1 minute ago, simmnfierzig said: We have no idea when Taylor will release Then, with a lot more reasons, you cannot say her lead will 100% go #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simmnfierzig Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 2 minutes ago, DELE2125 said: Then, with a lot more reasons, you cannot say her lead will 100% go #1 But I did. Expect her to sell a lot more than 200k and don't expect her to release soon, cause there would be more info Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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