Most likely pop girl to be Billboard's 2nd biggest female artist of the decade?

[k4rmabutterfly]

At this point, I don't think any of them can fight Taylor for the 1st place but the 2nd place seems very competitive rn. Most likely contenders: Doja, SZA, Olivia, Ariana and Billie. Dua and Sabrina are possibilities too, but Dua is losing force and she was already weak in the US and Sabrina needs more hits / successful albums to compete with the others. 
 

Discuss…

 

[alfonso12]

I think it's between Billie and Ariana. SZA might be the 4th. 

[Devin]

billie eilish

[wish]

It's gonna be Billie or SZA. If Sabrina's next album is another smash, she might also have a chance.

[St. Charles]

I think it's going to come down to whoever releases more music in the next 6 years. Whoever can stick to releasing every ~18 months and who also is open to collaborations will probably take it.

[Feanor]

 

According to estimates from basically a year ago, it was:

 

Taylor Swift - 8.73M points

Olivia Rodrigo - 4.48M

Doja Cat - 4.09M

SZA - 3.21M

Billie Eilish - 3.15M

Ariana Grande - 2.62M

 

If Olivia can snatch one more big era, it's probably hers to lose.

[piotrert]

12 minutes ago, Feanor said:

 

According to estimates from basically a year ago, it was:

 

Taylor Swift - 8.73M points

Olivia Rodrigo - 4.48M

Doja Cat - 4.09M

SZA - 3.21M

Billie Eilish - 3.15M

Ariana Grande - 2.62M

 

If Olivia can snatch one more big era, it's probably hers to lose.

in lopsided way, i hope morgan will hang around close to taylor, so she will be forced to release eras tour numbers 

 

depends who will release more albums till the end of decade. if for example olivia will release two more while billie only one, then she will easily have it. the same the other way around

Edited 7 hours ago by piotrert

[Jenni]

It's gonna be between Billie and Olivia. It will depend on how consistent their releases will be in the coming years. 

[k4rmabutterfly]

14 minutes ago, Feanor said:

 

According to estimates from basically a year ago, it was:

 

Taylor Swift - 8.73M points

Olivia Rodrigo - 4.48M

Doja Cat - 4.09M

SZA - 3.21M

Billie Eilish - 3.15M

Ariana Grande - 2.62M

 

If Olivia can snatch one more big era, it's probably hers to lose.

I was searching for this, thanks  Doja, Billie and SZA are probably closer to Olivia now. Doja's numbers are very underrated, I think she has major possibility of snatching the #2, she releases more frequently than the others, and she performs the best on the H100. But yeah, SZA, Billie and Olivia can all easily snatch the #2 too.

[The Music Industry]

Olivia if she can maintain her current success/have another big era

[kimberly]

there's like 5 more years, so anything is possible, in reality. 

 

I'd say Billie and SZA seem to be "stickier" than your Olivia, Sabrina, Doja etc. — the more geepee penetration you need, the less consistent you'll perform. the real strategy these days is to have a strong core listener base.

 

Billie is a gen z/alt pop staple now and SZA is 2 for 2 in making r&b classic albums. I'd bet on those two.

[k4rmabutterfly]

5 minutes ago, kimberly said:

there's like 5 more years, so anything is possible, in reality. 

 

I'd say Billie and SZA seem to be "stickier" than your Olivia, Sabrina, Doja etc. — the more geepee penetration you need, the less consistent you'll perform. the real strategy these days is to have a strong core listener base.

 

Billie is a gen z/alt pop staple now and SZA is 2 for 2 in making r&b classic albums. I'd bet on those two.

You need to perform well on the H100 tho, which is something that Billie constantly struggles with it. For example, Britney outsold Alicia and Bey in the 00's but they both ended up higher than Britney on the decade end chart because of her underperformance in the H100. Also Katy and Rihanna having better positions than Gaga and Beyoncé in the 2010's…

[Holiest Dreams]

It'll be Billie if she maintains her momentum with HMHAS. It will be Olivia if not, and if she has another big era (I mean much bigger than GUTS).
 

Honestly I think Billie will easily get it, but who knows.

[Cruel Summer]

I think Olivia has the lead right now - perhaps only marginally, given the numbers posted above are a year old - but I think Billie will be more consistent over the course of the decade and will eventually take that title.

[Popboi.]

Billie, unless Olivia's third album does better than GUTS (similar to HMHAS is doing better than HTE). Doja and SZA completing top 5.

[Arrows]

For now, it's between Billie, Olivia and Sza. Sabrina is not unthinkable either.

[JustHoran]

Sabrina is the correct answer

[kimberly]

24 minutes ago, k4rmabutterfly said:

You need to perform well on the H100 tho, which is something that Billie constantly struggles with it. For example, Britney outsold Alicia and Bey in the 00's but they both ended up higher than Britney on the decade end chart because of her underperformance in the H100. Also Katy and Rihanna having better positions than Gaga and Beyoncé in the 2010's…

BIRDS OF A FEATHER is insanely massive and she has potential with WILDFLOWER... all the while LUNCH and Guess (Remix) were both pretty solid hits this year.

 

yes, her last album didn't smash on the Hot 100 exactly but she still had Happier Than Ever, What Was I Made For and Everything I Wanted, which all did well enough.

 

she needs to keep it up, though. but I don't think there's any reason to doubt her just yet — she's clearly in the running for #2 or #3.

[Beyonnaise]

Definitely Billie.

 

I don't see Olivia having another era on or near Sour's caliber, it was kind of a momentary phenomenon. She's also less of a household name. She would need to have two more eras this decade that are bigger than Guts was with at least one major hit each to have a chance. But we'll see.

[Tylerbv]

Billie if she releases more often.

 

Doja and Olivia are on her heels though.

[Gorjesspazze9]

Billie. Taylor is social distancing…. It's actually crazy

[Fitzswiftie]

Billie

SZA

Doja

Olivia

 

All but SZA will likely have another two big eras, if SZA releases before Christmas 2028, she'll have good chance. She's also a feature elixir (as evident this week with the two K. dot tracks) so even if she doesn't release on her own, she'll keep racking up points.

 

Sabrina is an interesting one because she could theoretically have 3 more eras the size of SNS but I'm sure if that would be enough time to catch up.

 

Does anyone know where Karol G's points are? She's a touring beast, and both her songs and albums have great longevity.

[sugarysunflower]

It could be someone more low-key at the moment? Like Madonna/Whitney collecting most of her points between 85-87 / 85-88 or Rihanna collecting most of her points between 05-09.