Non College White Voters may be only demographic to increase turnout since 2020

[Armani?]

https://www.cookpolitical.com/swingometer/2024

1st Model

 

2nd Model

 

Exit Polls showed Kamala improving slightly with White voters on margins, but I'm not seeing that...

 

Edit -

3rd model

The best change I can get with the model, still not a net % for Kamala for White voters. Also non college White voters slightly increase turnout in all 3 of these

 

[EtherealCat]

appealing to people makes them more likely to vote, interesting strategy, democrats should try it

[Armani?]

This damn site

[Pikachoo]

im very confused.. you posted the same figures three times?

[Armani?]

53 minutes ago, Pikachoo said:

im very confused.. you posted the same figures three times?

It's not the same, they're all slightly different. I try to get the figures to the actual election results

 

But in all of them, Non College White Voters increased turnout. And the slight left shift of White women like in the exit poll doesn't appear to show.