Armani? Posted November 20 Posted November 20 Decided to dig deeper into the Fox News Voter Analysis poll and what I saw was astonishing. Black Men doubled support for Trump nationally from 12% to 25% Gen Z Black Men jumped from 14% to 35% https://circle.tufts.edu/2024-election#gender-gap-driven-by-young-white-men,-issue-differences Contradicting the media exit poll, AP Votecast/Fox News Analysis somehow has figures suggesting Black men shifted more than Hispanic Men. Unfortunately that doesn't bare out looking at county results, majority Hispanic neighborhoods shifted to Trump at 5X the rate https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/06/us/elections/trump-america-red-shift-victory.html They have the same error in Georgia with Trump increasing from 11% of the vote to 25% for Black Men But if you input that overall Black vote swing into cookpolitical(85/14), Trump would be expected to win Georgia by +5. https://www.cookpolitical.com/swingometer/2024 The White vote in the state did not swing democratic in either exit poll also. Black male turnout also decreased by 2% in the state. But this is funny regardless How did they get this in a exit poll? Texas - The Black Vote is so gender divided, you can predict how they voted in the 18 - 44 subset Trump cracks 40% with under 45 Black Men in several other states in their poll - California, Arizona, Nevada, Mississippi, Louisiana, Florida
shyboi Posted November 20 Posted November 20 literally every single demographic increased its support for Trumpiana this time lgbtq+, black, latinos, asian, gen z, etc the true question is, why?
Armani? Posted November 20 Author Posted November 20 1 minute ago, shyboi said: literally every single demographic increased its support for Trumpiana this time lgbtq+, black, latinos, asian, gen z, etc the true question is, why? Reread the OP
Sugar-Rush Posted November 20 Posted November 20 None of this is surprising. The economy is a major issue for most voters, and people tend to vote with their wallets in mind.
Mezik Posted November 20 Posted November 20 And all those who voted Trump, I don't want to hear them crying anything bad when Republican policies or racists bother them. They deserve to get everything they voted for.
ATRL Moderator Bloo Posted November 20 ATRL Moderator Posted November 20 Shocking that her policy to protect Black men’s crypto assets didn’t seem to resonate with voters. 4
Armani? Posted November 20 Author Posted November 20 3 minutes ago, Bloo said: Shocking that her policy to protect Black men's crypto assets didn't seem to resonate with voters. Bloo, the point is the Fox News Analysis is breaking their own margin of error This isn't possible lol
Sannie Posted November 20 Posted November 20 1 hour ago, shyboi said: literally every single demographic increased its support for Trumpiana this time lgbtq+, black, latinos, asian, gen z, etc the true question is, why? We know why: their perception of the economy and thinking the man who created this mess can somehow fix it.
makeawish Posted November 20 Posted November 20 1 hour ago, Armani? said: How did they get this in a exit poll? with this i am just a bit, this is fox news, i don't really trust it til someone i respect in any sense at all says it
Armani? Posted November 20 Author Posted November 20 3 minutes ago, makeawish said: with this i am just a bit, this is fox news, i don't really trust it til someone i respect in any sense at all says it They're usually accurate actually, but this is sending me They crossvoted their sub sample with the movement of Hispanic voters. Texas Black Voters Under 45 Black Men - 51% Kamala/47% Trump Black Women - 76% Kamala/22% 1
Princess Aurora Posted November 20 Posted November 20 In before his voters are gonna start complaining
Princess Aurora Posted November 20 Posted November 20 1 hour ago, Armani? said: They're usually accurate actually, but this is sending me They crossvoted their sub sample with the movement of Hispanic voters. Texas Black Voters Under 45 Black Men - 51% Kamala/47% Trump Black Women - 76% Kamala/22% That's Faux News for you
Rep2000 Posted November 20 Posted November 20 3 hours ago, Sugar-Rush said: None of this is surprising. The economy is a major issue for most voters, and people tend to vote with their wallets in mind. Using the economy to justify voting for Trump is just so dumb omg.
Armani? Posted November 20 Author Posted November 20 1 hour ago, Princess Aurora said: That's Faux News for you It lowkey looks like they did it on purpose Some of the states are out the margin of error, just for overall Black men, not even under 45. Texas would be one, the sample size error for 200 people is 8.8pts, so Black men overall is 73% Kamala at best, which is still unlikely. 1
Princess Aurora Posted November 20 Posted November 20 2 minutes ago, Armani? said: It lowkey looks like they did it on purpose Some of the states are out the margin of error, just for overall Black men, not even under 45. I wouldn't be surprised and they're just showing their asses with these polls 1
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