Fox News Voter Analysis - 50% of Black Men under 45 voted Trump in Texas

[Armani?]

Decided to dig deeper into the Fox News Voter Analysis poll and what I saw was astonishing. 

 

Black Men doubled support for Trump nationally from 12% to 25%

 

Gen Z Black Men jumped from 14% to 35%

https://circle.tufts.edu/2024-election#gender-gap-driven-by-young-white-men,-issue-differences

 

Contradicting the media exit poll, AP Votecast/Fox News Analysis somehow has figures suggesting Black men shifted more than Hispanic Men.

 

Unfortunately that doesn't bare out looking at county results, majority Hispanic neighborhoods shifted to Trump at 5X the rate

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/06/us/elections/trump-america-red-shift-victory.html

 

They have the same error in Georgia with Trump increasing from 11% of the vote to 25% for Black Men

 

But if you input that overall Black vote swing into cookpolitical(85/14), Trump would be expected to win Georgia by +5.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/swingometer/2024

 

The White vote in the state did not swing democratic in either exit poll also.

 

Black male turnout also decreased by 2% in the state.

 

 

But this is funny regardless  How did they get this in a exit poll?

 

Texas - The Black Vote is so gender divided, you can predict how they voted in the 18 - 44 subset

 

Trump cracks 40% with under 45 Black Men in several other states in their poll - California, Arizona, Nevada, Mississippi, Louisiana, Florida

[shyboi]

literally every single demographic increased its support for Trumpiana this time

 

lgbtq+, black, latinos, asian, gen z, etc 

 

 

the true question is, why?

[Armani?]

1 minute ago, shyboi said:

literally every single demographic increased its support for Trumpiana this time

 

lgbtq+, black, latinos, asian, gen z, etc 

 

 

the true question is, why?

Reread the OP

[Sugar-Rush]

None of this is surprising. The economy is a major issue for most voters, and people tend to vote with their wallets in mind.

[Mezik]

And all those who voted Trump, I don't want to hear them crying anything bad when Republican policies or racists bother them. They deserve to get everything they voted for.  

[Bloo]

Shocking that her policy to protect Black men’s crypto assets didn’t seem to resonate with voters. 

[Armani?]

3 minutes ago, Bloo said:

Shocking that her policy to protect Black men's crypto assets didn't seem to resonate with voters. 

Bloo, the point is the Fox News Analysis is breaking their own margin of error This isn't possible lol

[Sannie]

1 hour ago, shyboi said:

literally every single demographic increased its support for Trumpiana this time

 

lgbtq+, black, latinos, asian, gen z, etc 

 

 

the true question is, why?

We know why: their perception of the economy and thinking the man who created this mess can somehow fix it.

[makeawish]

1 hour ago, Armani? said:

How did they get this in a exit poll?

with this i am just a bit, this is fox news, i don't really trust it til someone i respect in any sense at all says it

[Armani?]

3 minutes ago, makeawish said:

with this i am just a bit, this is fox news, i don't really trust it til someone i respect in any sense at all says it

They're usually accurate actually, but this is sending me They crossvoted their sub sample with the movement of Hispanic voters.

 

Texas Black Voters Under 45

Black Men - 51% Kamala/47% Trump

Black Women - 76% Kamala/22%

 

[Princess Aurora]

In before his voters are gonna start complaining 

[Princess Aurora]

1 hour ago, Armani? said:

They're usually accurate actually, but this is sending me They crossvoted their sub sample with the movement of Hispanic voters.

 

Texas Black Voters Under 45

Black Men - 51% Kamala/47% Trump

Black Women - 76% Kamala/22%

 

That's Faux News for you 

[stjosephprey4us]

They've got a big storm coming 

[Prisoner]

Sure

[Rep2000]

3 hours ago, Sugar-Rush said:

None of this is surprising. The economy is a major issue for most voters, and people tend to vote with their wallets in mind.

Using the economy to justify voting for Trump is just so dumb omg.

[Armani?]

1 hour ago, Princess Aurora said:

That's Faux News for you 

It lowkey looks like they did it on purpose 

 

Some of the states are out the margin of error, just for overall Black men, not even under 45. Texas would be one, the sample size error for 200 people is 8.8pts, so Black men overall is 73% Kamala at best, which is still unlikely.

[Princess Aurora]

2 minutes ago, Armani? said:

It lowkey looks like they did it on purpose 

 

Some of the states are out the margin of error, just for overall Black men, not even under 45.

I wouldn't be surprised and they're just showing their asses with these polls 

[aotearoa]