whatyouwant_ Posted July 8 Posted July 8 (edited) 1. Does anyone have a chance to take home Album of the Year besides Taylor Swift, Beyoncé and Billie Eilish? The short answer is no. Tay, Bey and Billie are Grammy juggernauts. Swift has been nominated 52 times and won 14 Grammys, including a record four AOTY wins (Midnights in 2024; Folklore, 2021; 1989, 2016; and Fearless, 2010); Beyoncé is tied with her hubby, JAY-Z, for most all-time noms (88) and has won more Grammys than any other artist (32); and Eilish, still just 22 years old, has already received 25 nominations and won 9 awards, including AOTY in 2020. Their latest albums—The Tortured Poets Department, Cowboy Carter and Hit Me Hard and Soft, respectively—have all been enormously successful, both commercially and critically. Sure, there could be some vote-splitting; yes, breakthrough newcomers like Sabrina Carpenter and Chappell Roan could make things spicy; okay, I suppose Irish singer-songwriter Hozier and previous AOTY winner Kacey Musgraves might have enough standing to pull an upset. Eminem's forthcoming album becomes an instant favorite in the Rap Album category, but the last time he was nominated for AOTY was in 2011, for Recovery. Charli XCX's Brat is a deserving underdog, but I'm guessing it's too steamy for the Academy. So unless Kendrick Lamar releases an album before the end of the summer (more on him below), I'd be dumbstruck if one of the three aforementioned superstars doesn't end up taking home the AOTY trophy. 2. Unless your first name is Aubrey, Kendrick's "Not Like Us" is everything you could want in a hip-hop record, a culturally gargantuan banger from one of the GOATs. But the Grammys are often tone-deaf when it comes to hip-hop. Should Ken be the favorite for Song and Record? Should he be? Yes. Will he be? Um…. Historically, the Song and Record categories have not been kind to hip-hop (this is even more crushingly true for Album). So as omnipresent as "Not Like Us" has been, and as revered as Lamar is, bear in mind two things: The last time a rap song won Song or Record was 2019, when Childish Gambino's "This Is America" won both; and Lamar has never won a general-field Grammy (he's 0 for 10, including the Black Panther soundtrack). Still, if "Not Like Us" doesn't win at least one major award, yikes, it's gonna get ugly Taylor, Billie and Beyoncé will, of course, be fierce competition in these categories, although it's worth noting that Taylor has never won for Song, and Beyoncé, despite her record haul of noms, has stunningly only won one of the big three awards, for Song of the Year way back in 2010 ("Single Ladies"); whereas Billie, alongside her brother FINNEAS, has four Song and Record wins since 2020. Meanwhile, pop supernovas Carpenter (whether "Espresso" or "Please Please Please") and Roan (the unstoppable "Good Luck, Babe!" or perhaps the accelerating "Hot to Go!") certainly seem poised for Record and Song noms. Grammy voters, though, with exception, tend to favor Meaningfulness (see last year's Song winner from Barbie, "What Was I Made For") or artists with a traditionalist bent (Silk Sonic, H.E.R., Bonnie Raitt). Along those lines, it's not hard to see Hozier's smoldering mid-tempo #1, "Too Sweet," capturing Song or Record. Similarly, Teddy Swims' "Lose Control" has the show-stopping appeal of Adele's torch songs; it's the kind of song and performance that Grammy voters love to reward. I'd put Benson Boone's "Beautiful Things" in that category as well, but it may lack the gravitas needed to pull an upset. SZA's "Saturn" and Musgraves' "Deeper Well" deserve noms, but it's hard to imagine either winning. The Grammys don't know what to do with Zach Bryan, and that's fine with him, because he couldn't care less. So we'll see what happens with "Pink Skies" or a newer single. Morgan Wallen has NEVER been nominated for a Grammy; his duet partner, Post Malone, has, so perhaps this is the year. (And Malone, the duet partner du jour, has his own album coming in August.) 3. Will the Best New Artist race come down to Sabrina vs. Chappell? Both are wholly deserving, both are on fire (and both are on Island). Still, if there's one category where the Grammys are gonna Grammy the hardest, it's Best New Artist, where previous winners such as Samara Joy and Esperanza Spalding signified the Recording Academy's commitment to bedrock values: musicianship, craft, a connection to and respect for the past. (Last year's winner, Victoria Monét, embodies those virtues, too.) Sabrina and Chappell are pure pop acts, more along the lines of recent winners Olivia Rodrigo and Dua Lipa, and both are feel-good examples of artists who toughed it out and overcame years of struggle to achieve their "overnight" success. If they split the vote, Warner has two outstanding BNA contenders as well, in Swims and Boone, but the last dude to win BNA was Chance the Rapper back in 2017. If THEY also split the vote, there could be a lane for Afrobeats sensation Tems (already a five-time Grammy nominee) or even Shaboozey (one monster song, plus credits on Beyoncé's album). There are plenty of other deserving newbies—GloRilla, Reneė Rapp, Sexyy Red, Tommy Richman, Michael Marcagi and Megan Moroney, to name but a few—but it's hard to ignore the streams and cultural momentum of Carpenter and Roan. https://hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=341826&title=GRAMMY-PRE-CHEW%3A-THREE-QUESTIONS-ABOUT-THE-BIG-4 Edited July 8 by whatyouwant_
Popular Post Loca Posted July 8 Popular Post Posted July 8 5 minutes ago, whatyouwant_ said: Their latest albums—The Tortured Poets Department, Cowboy Carter and Hit Me Hard and Soft, respectively—have all been enormously successful, both commercially and critically. 22 2
ATRL Moderator feelslikeadream Posted July 8 ATRL Moderator Posted July 8 Love to see Hozier come up a few times He deserves even more success and recognition. 7
ATRL Moderator Popular Post wehavetostan Posted July 8 ATRL Moderator Popular Post Posted July 8 Birds of a Feather is coming to snatch SOTY 15
gustavothehuman Posted July 8 Posted July 8 1 minute ago, OnlyManInTheWorld said: Beyonce successful commercially? Cowboy Carter went #1 and is already eligible for platinum, in what world that is not successful? 11 2
KatyPrismSpirit Posted July 8 Posted July 8 Album of the Year: The Rise And Fall Of A Midwest Princess OR Hit Me Hard And Soft Record of the Year: Not Like Us Song of the Year: Espresso Best New Artist: Chappell Roan Best Pop Vocal Album: Short N Sweet Best Pop Solo: Espresso Best Pop/Duo: Fortnight
BlackoutZone Posted July 8 Posted July 8 Kendrick deserves SOTY and ROTY, Chappell BNA, AOTY… low key Chappell too 3
Marla Singer Posted July 8 Posted July 8 Sabrina for New Artist? She has released 5 albums since 2015 with a 6th coming out soon. 5 1 1
Heldenzeit Posted July 8 Posted July 8 How predictable and boring. Kacey, Charli and Vampire Weekend all the way! 1
Heldenzeit Posted July 8 Posted July 8 1 minute ago, Marla Singer said: Sabrina for New Artist? She has released 5 albums since 2015 with a 6th coming out soon. And none have anything „best" about them. 1
Comedor Posted July 8 Posted July 8 4 minutes ago, whatyouwant_ said: Ari not even mentioned Yeah it's tragic. I enjoyed her album the most. It's all political with the Grannies. 5
wish Posted July 8 Posted July 8 If Chappell plays her cards right, I could see her snatching AOTY in the end. 1
toast Posted July 8 Posted July 8 6 minutes ago, whatyouwant_ said: Ari not even mentioned Eternal Sunshine deserves AOTY nom, but should win Pop Vocal album imo 7
whatyouwant_ Posted July 8 Author Posted July 8 2 minutes ago, Comedor said: Yeah it's tragic. I enjoyed her album the most. It's all political with the Grannies. Hopefully she snatchs at least some nominations but going for the Grammys again just to be seating and watching everyone winning is tragic. i wouldn't even attend.
TayDuaStan Posted July 8 Posted July 8 (edited) Album of the Year: BRAT OR Short n' Sweet Record of the Year: Please Please Please Song of the Year: 360 Best New Artist: Charli xcx OR Sabrina Carpenter Best Pop Vocal Album: TTPD OR HMH&S Best Pop Solo: Please Please Please Best Pop/Duo: Fortnight Edited July 8 by TayDuaStan 1 2 1
Popular Post kimberly Posted July 8 Popular Post Posted July 8 31 minutes ago, whatyouwant_ said: Their latest albums—The Tortured Poets Department, Cowboy Carter and Hit Me Hard and Soft, respectively—have all been enormously successful, both commercially and critically. 76 15
UnusualBoy Posted July 8 Posted July 8 I wouldn't mind if they split grammys among all girls so Billie, Bey, Taylor, Chappell, Ari & Sabrina, one taking AOTY, other SOTY and so on.
TayDuaStan Posted July 8 Posted July 8 (edited) 36 minutes ago, whatyouwant_ said: Their latest albums—The Tortured Poets Department, Cowboy Carter and Hit Me Hard and Soft, respectively—have all been enormously successful, both commercially and critically. One of these things is not like the others Edited July 8 by TayDuaStan 1 5
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