pride4jc1222 Posted March 5 Posted March 5 This breaks a string of 3 consecutive (moderate) la nina seasons: https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/2023-el-nino-among-5-strongest-on-record-will-fuel-heat-in-2024-report-5180266 Ensemble and NOAA classify 2023-24 as a Strong El Nino: https://www.webberweather.com/ensemble-oceanic-nino-index.html https://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm Only ranks behind the 4 Super El Nino years of 1972-73, 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16. Many strong and Super El Nino seasons transition into Strong La Ninas the following season. Such transitions were recorded in 1973, 1988, 1998, and 2010 (which produced the most recent Strong La Nina). A La Nina in 2024-25 would be the 4th La Nina season out of 5. This has only been recorded twice: 1970-71 to 1975-76 (5 out of 6) and 2007-08 to 2011-12 (4 out of 5).
UnusualBoy Posted March 5 Posted March 5 Yeah, they're forecasting 4 heatwaves to hit Mexico, we're melting girlies!!
TheArgonaut Posted March 5 Posted March 5 Can somebody explain to me what is el Niño? I lived my whole life in the Caribbean so this is new to me.
pride4jc1222 Posted March 5 Author Posted March 5 (edited) 3 hours ago, May said: will the UK have a heatwave? please say so .. Probably not. Strong el nino to strong la nina transition years don't seem to favor heatwaves in the UK. 1973 and 2010 were close to normal summers, while 1988 was wet and 1998 was cool. This set up favors record heat for the Eastern United States. 1 hour ago, TheArgonaut said: Can somebody explain to me what is el Niño? I lived my whole life in the Caribbean so this is new to me. El Nino occurs when the waters near the equator in the Eastern Pacific Ocean are warmer than normal. Edited March 5 by pride4jc1222
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