awards show 2024-2025 Awards Season | SAG nominations out!

[EnigmaticAndroid]

10 minutes ago, kimberly said:

we LOVE to see it  CC+SAG wins would be a great combo for Grande and we'd have a real race for the Oscars. Gomez, as expected, missed. 

 

is it too out of pocket to predict Wicked could pull off wins for Ensemble, Erivo AND Grande? Chalamet will take actor, I think. Culkin is untouchable in supporting.

Personally, I think SAG just goes to Demi, especially if she's winning CC and BAFTA. Qualley missing doesn't matter much when they went all over the place in Supporting. Imo, Erivo just hasn't shown any win juice individually even if the film did well. 

 

And similarly, Saldana is such a quintessential SAG pick and her film did well even if it didn't max out, and even if Wicked is a bigger populist pick. If Ariana wins CC, there's still a bit of a race. If she doesn't, it's over. SAG won't deny Zoe a sweep if it's happening. 

 

Ensemble will be interesting since Wicked and ACU had the same performances bar Stunts (Ensemble + 3 individual noms), and Anora and EP are on their heels with 3 noms. 

[Riot]

7 minutes ago, DanyelP23 said:

15 of the 20 nominees at SAG have the last name in the first 7 letters of the alphabet.

Zendaya is never going to win an Oscar confirmed 

[hausofdave]

If All We Imagine as Light is coming to bump out Sing Sing, we should see it at BAFTA (and DGA First Feature). not looking good for Snub Snub 

 

[kimberly]

16 minutes ago, Green said:

Wait do you think Timmy has a chance for Actor? I have a feeling Brody will win everything this season

SAG didn't embrace The Brutalist. a fun Bob Dylan biopic is much more approachable and over performed here with Monica getting in, so I'm going with Timmy for now.

 

8 minutes ago, EnigmaticAndroid said:

Personally, I think SAG just goes to Demi, especially if she's winning CC and BAFTA. Qualley missing doesn't matter much when they went all over the place in Supporting. Imo, Erivo just hasn't shown any win juice individually even if the film did well. 

 

And similarly, Saldana is such a quintessential SAG pick and her film did well even if it didn't max out, and even if Wicked is a bigger populist pick. If Ariana wins CC, there's still a bit of a race. If she doesn't, it's over. SAG won't deny Zoe a sweep if it's happening. 

 

Ensemble will be interesting since Wicked and ACU had the same performances bar Stunts (Ensemble + 3 individual noms), and Anora and EP are on their heels with 3 noms. 

yeah, Qualley missing also happened before her GG appearance and Moore's win+speech. it's definitely going to come down to Erivo vs. Moore. Erivo IS a previous nominee, which strengthens her case against a veteran, who will be popular (pun not intended).

 

Jonathan Bailey getting in supporting actor makes me very hopeful for a Grande win.

[Fading]

8 minutes ago, kimberly said:

SAG didn't embrace The Brutalist. a fun Bob Dylan biopic is much more approachable and over performed here with Monica getting in, so I'm going with Timmy for now.

 

yeah, Qualley missing also happened before her GG appearance and Moore's win+speech. it's definitely going to come down to Erivo vs. Moore. Erivo IS a previous nominee, which strengthens her case against a veteran, who will be popular (pun not intended).

 

Jonathan Bailey getting in supporting actor makes me very hopeful for a Grande win.

If the SAG gives a win to a newcomer instead of a seasoned actress such as Saldaña... I'll be rioting!

Is there any precedent?

[Hector]

DGA (Directors' Guild) nominations:

 

Jacques Audiard - Emilia Perez

Sean Baker - Anora

Edward Berger - Conclave

Brady Corbet - The Brutalist

James Mangold - A Complete Unknown

First Time Theatrical Feature Film:

 

Payal Kapadia - All We Imagine As Light

Megan Park - My Old Ass

Ramell Ross - Nickel Boys

Halfdan Ullman Tondel - Armand

Sean Wang - Didi

Edited 20 hours ago by Hector

[Hector]

Still hoping BAFTA helps Coralie Fargeat get in the end for the Oscar nomination. 

[Darkgalord]

Here for a Demi sweep. 

[hausofdave]

Brody (GG Drama) got in, and Stan (GG Comedy/Musical) missed.

Since 2000, these are the years where the Globe Musical/Comedy winner missed SAG

2001 (Hackman)
2006 (Cohen)
2007 (Depp)
2008 (Farrell)
2009 (Downey Jr.)
2010 (Giamatti)
2013 (DiCaprio)
2015 (Damon)
2020 (Cohen)

In all but one of these years (2008), the Globe Drama winner won SAG

[hausofdave]

Mangold over Villeneuve

 

 

 

A basic biopic getting awarded over a directorial masterpiece

[Lovett]

 

[Hector]

Just now, hausofdave said:

Mangold over Villeneuve

 

 

 

A basic biopic getting awarded over a directorial masterpiece

He's definitely the 5th choice slot. There's going to be a huge battle for that 5th place slot as I think Audiard/Berger/Baker/Corbet feel pretty locked. 5th place battle will be between Fargeat/Villeneuve/Ross/Kapadia, or Chu for the populist vote. 

[choerry]

Anora & Wicked blanked at the GGs (except for the box office award) 

The Brutalist underperformed at SAG

Emilia Perez and Conclave are hitting what they have to or are overperforming. I really feel like it's between those two for best picture. 

[Dark Miracles]

Wait. Boyd Holdbrook plays Johnny Cash in the Bob Dylan movie

 

Kinda have to watch it now

[EnigmaticAndroid]

46 minutes ago, Hector said:

He's definitely the 5th choice slot. There's going to be a huge battle for that 5th place slot as I think Audiard/Berger/Baker/Corbet feel pretty locked. 5th place battle will be between Fargeat/Villeneuve/Ross/Kapadia, or Chu for the populist vote. 

Tbh, I still feel like Berger misses at the Oscars (a bit too middlebrow, potentially not enough #1s), Fargeat gets in, and either Kapadia makes it as a surprise intl. slot or Nickel Boys pulls a Tree of Life. Villeneuve and Chu are dead if they couldn't even make DGA imo. 

Edited 19 hours ago by EnigmaticAndroid

[kimberly]

27 minutes ago, choerry said:

Emilia Perez and Conclave are hitting what they have to or are overperforming. I really feel like it's between those two for best picture. 

Conclave could emerge as a BP leader because even though it may not have the most #1s, most voters won't be ranking it below #3-5. in a 10 movie race, that's a great advantage.

 

Anora and Wicked aren't dead yet. SAG > GG.

[McNulty]

Villeneuve missed in a much much weaker year during Dune 1, he's not happening

[Antisocialites]

I've been saying that Jolie was DONE, that Erivo was LOCKED and that the 5th actress slot is going to be the passion and international pick (probably Baptiste or Torres)

[EnigmaticAndroid]

Imo, Chu really should have made DGA if Wicked is Top 5 and a serious threat. Even Kosinski did for Top Gun. 

 

I really can't help but feel like it's Barbie but weaker overall. 

[MatiRod]

Demi is winning the Oscar

 

 

[choerry]

7 minutes ago, kimberly said:

Conclave could emerge as a BP leader because even though it may not have the most #1s, most voters won't be ranking it below #3-5. in a 10 movie race, that's a great advantage.

 

Anora and Wicked aren't dead yet. SAG > GG.

Not saying they're dead. Just saying that they've shown signs of weakness. Conclave/Anora/Wicked/Emilia are the top 4 without a doubt.

[illia]

Dune 2 getting snubbed throughout the whole awards season is quite disappointing

I hope Messiah will be good and Villeneuve finally gets his flowers (though topping Dune 2 is going to be very hard but we'll see)

Edited 19 hours ago by illia

[Dark Miracles]

1 hour ago, Hector said:

DGA (Directors' Guild) nominations:

 

Jacques Audiard - Emilia Perez

Sean Baker - Anora

Edward Berger - Conclave

Brady Corbet - The Brutalist

James Mangold - A Complete Unknown

First Time Theatrical Feature Film:

 

Payal Kapadia - All We Imagine As Light

Megan Park - My Old Ass

Ramell Ross - Nickel Boys

Halfdan Ullman Tondel - Armand

Sean Wang - Didi

A Complete Unknown is really bubbling up now. I think we're heading for Chalamet's first Oscar.

People fondly remember (already) his nominated performance in CMBYN. The year after he narrowly missed a nomination despite hitting all the precursors.

Recently he's racked up box office successes with Wonka and Dune 1 and 2. His name is at the peak of its ubiquity right now.

 

None of the other Actor contenders feel like there is a lot of passion for a potential career Oscar and Brody has already won one. I think there is definitely incentive for voters to want to award Chalamet here at the right time and not pull a Leo again (though he should've honestly won for CMBYN)

[EnigmaticAndroid]

11 minutes ago, choerry said:

Not saying they're dead. Just saying that they've shown signs of weakness. Conclave/Anora/Wicked/Emilia are the top 4 without a doubt.

I'd argue that Brutalist is def Top 4 considering it's the overwhelming favorite to win Director. At least above Conclave and Wicked currently. 

[Blue Monday]

It's crazy to think about Angelina starting the season out as THEE contender in Actress, only to lose steam with each subsequent voting body between critics, the Globes, the BAFTA long list and now SAG. She's done I fear. 
 

I was thinking Zoe was going to win at SAG, especially after she won at the Globes but the fact it's a domestic group AND they loved Wicked has me wondering if Ariana can take it.