awards show 2024-2025 Awards Season | SAG nominations out!

[Hector]

3 minutes ago, hausofdave said:

this is something she shouldn't have missed, she couldn't even ride the coattail off her the film high, and the preferential won't really do her any favors 

Best Supporting Actress is very all over the place though in nominations this year and the international support from BAFTA & Globes could get her in the Oscars by the end, maybe. 

[DanyelP23]

1 minute ago, GoodGuyGoneGhetto said:

Respectfully, is Ariana Grande receiving 'Best Supporting' nominations due to the success of WICKED?

 

Historically, musicals have always been awards bait (especially at the Oscars), but why do I get the feeling the actors in the film (bar Cynthia Erivo) are being nominated due to how big the film is and not necessarily because of the performances?

 

I love Grande but her receiving these acting nominations are so confusing and hilarious to me. 
 

I'm not really understanding Pamela Anderson's nominations either. 

 

Angelina Jolie snubbed?
Margaret Qualley snubbed?

Marianne Jean-Baptiste snubbed?

 

Hopefully the Academy Awards see some sense. 

Ariana, Qualley and Saldana have pretty much semi-evenly split the regional critics awards.

Bailey is 100% getting in on the combo of Wicked's strength with SAG members (which are mostly part of the general public if you think about it) plus his incredibly successful career going from Bridgerton (which is nominated this year for Cast, which I think he was also part of), to Fellow Travelers to Wicked.

Jolie being snubbed was a bit foretold by her inability of getting in on the BAFTA longlist over the likes of Marisa Abela for Back to Black.

And Marianne unfortunately just hasn't really taken off outside of the BIG critics (she won the trifecta of LAFCA, NYFC, and NSFC) and probably BAFTA (because she's British in a British movie)

 

Pamela lowkey has a similar narrative to Moore, except for the fact that her movie is nowhere to be seen outside of mentions of her, and apparently JLC.

[hausofdave]

And when The Last Showgirl turns out to be this year's NYAD? 

[DanyelP23]

This is kind of a stupid and obscure comparison...

What if Jonathan Bailey pulls a Grace Kelly in 'The Country Girl' at the Oscars but instead of the win which is obviously LOCKED for Kieran Culkin, he gets a surprise nom.

[Riot]

I was dreading another Selena nomination though. Thank God they had some sense

[Selegend]

Kinda feel like Ariana will win Supporting Actress and Emilia Perez will win ensemble. 

Wicked showcased major force with Bailey being nominated from my POV, i think she's locked for the win. 

 

[hausofdave]

when Jié Mi becomes Bates in Richard Jewel 2.0

 

 

[Hector]

And the mess will continue today with the Directors' Guild Award nominations out today too 

[hausofdave]

Bailey over Pearce is so unserious and such a SAG thing. still think Pearce makes it in at BAFTA and the Oscars, but this is bad for Maclin and Washington. don't see either of them getting in at BAFTA. Borisov is def in and idk what to do with Strong yet until we see if he also gets in at bafta.

[DanyelP23]

Qualley needs to get her ass out there and CAMPAIGN even harder than she is doing right now.

Getting snubbed for essentially a co-lead performance to make space for Jamie Lee Curtis in a movie no1 curs about is inexcusable.

But if The Substance is making it into Best Picture, Best Director and Best Screenplay (and possibly Editing) there's no reason for her not to get in.

[Green]

I love the SAG nominations. Pamela Anderson nominated YESSSS   

 

Jonathan Bailey too 

 

[Riot]

Demi Moore and Pamela Anderson having higher chances of getting Oscar noms than Nicole Kidman, Angelina Jolie and Kate Winslet would've sounded crazy 10 years ago

Edited 22 hours ago by Riot

[DanyelP23]

One thing I'll say regarding Kidman.

The only pathway I see for her is making it in at BAFTA while Winslet misses + Dickinson making it in as a surprise nom there as well.

The fact that SAG KNEW to not put Stan in and chose Craig over him gives me hope. But Stan can still get in at BAFTA unless they go for Hugh Grant (or maybe Ben-Adir or Patel), who has been nominated by BAFTA in the past both for Florence Foster Jenkins and Paddington 2

[Green]

I need Jei Mi Li to pull a campaign and help Pamela to get an Oscar nomination

 

Nicole and Angelina don't need it

[EnigmaticAndroid]

33 minutes ago, hausofdave said:

And when The Last Showgirl turns out to be this year's NYAD? 

I'd be here for it 

[illia]

21 minutes ago, DanyelP23 said:

Qualley needs to get her ass out there and CAMPAIGN even harder than she is doing right now.

 

What campaign? Qualley's done NOTHING 

Demi took on all the heavy weight

Maybe they didn't expect Margaret to actually be a contender so they didn't make much effort for her "campaign"

[DanyelP23]

3 minutes ago, illia said:

What campaign? Qualley's done NOTHING 

Demi took on all the heavy weight

Maybe they didn't expect Margaret to actually be a contender so they didn't make much effort for her "campaign"

I saw today a SAG promotional video / conference for The Substance, and I saw both Qualley and Moore in it plus their little bit at the Globes... I thot she was doing other things as well.

I need Jack Antonoff to threaten Taylor Swift to not work with her again OR leak her demos if she doesn't jump on instagram stories to praise Qualley, (The Substance & Moore)

[kimberly]

1 hour ago, Riot said:

Wicked overperformed big time, EXCELLENT news for Ariana

we LOVE to see it  CC+SAG wins would be a great combo for Grande and we'd have a real race for the Oscars. Gomez, as expected, missed. 

 

is it too out of pocket to predict Wicked could pull off wins for Ensemble, Erivo AND Grande? Chalamet will take actor, I think. Culkin is untouchable in supporting.

[hausofdave]

This was the best outcome for Torres, since she was never getting in SAG.

[hausofdave]

Since 2000, the only other year where the Drama Actress winner missed and the Comedy/Musical Actress winner got in was 2016 (Huppert - another non english performance and Stone). Stone won SAG that year

Edited 22 hours ago by hausofdave

[Green]

36 minutes ago, kimberly said:

we LOVE to see it  CC+SAG wins would be a great combo for Grande and we'd have a real race for the Oscars. Gomez, as expected, missed. 

 

is it too out of pocket to predict Wicked could pull off wins for Ensemble, Erivo AND Grande? Chalamet will take actor, I think. Culkin is untouchable in supporting.

 

Wait do you think Timmy has a chance for Actor? I have a feeling Brody will win everything this season

[Elusive Chanteuse]

Did people forget Dune came out last year?

 

Is this the end of Angie's award season? 

 

I hope her French film is received well.

 

 

[DanyelP23]

15 of the 20 nominees at SAG have the last name in the first 7 letters of the alphabet.

 

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

ADRIEN BRODY / László Tóth - "THE BRUTALIST"
TIMOTHÉE CHALAMET / Bob Dylan - "A COMPLETE UNKNOWN"
DANIEL CRAIG / William Lee - "QUEER"
COLMAN DOMINGO / Divine G - "SING SING"
RALPH FIENNES / Lawrence - "CONCLAVE"

 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

PAMELA ANDERSON / Shelly - "THE LAST SHOWGIRL"
CYNTHIA ERIVO / Elphaba - "WICKED"
KARLA SOFÍA GASCÓN / Emilia/Manitas - "EMILIA PÉREZ"
MIKEY MADISON / Ani - "ANORA"
DEMI MOORE / Elisabeth - "THE SUBSTANCE" 

 

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

JONATHAN BAILEY / Fiyero - "WICKED"
YURA BORISOV / Igor - "ANORA"
KIERAN CULKIN / Benji Kaplan - "A REAL PAIN"
EDWARD NORTON / Pete Seeger - "A COMPLETE UNKNOWN"
JEREMY STRONG / Roy Cohn - "THE APPRENTICE"

 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

MONICA BARBARO / Joan Baez - "A COMPLETE UNKNOWN"
JAMIE LEE CURTIS / Annette - "THE LAST SHOWGIRL"
DANIELLE DEADWYLER / Berniece - "THE PIANO LESSON"
ARIANA GRANDE / Galinda/Glinda - "WICKED"
ZOE SALDAÑA / Rita - "EMILIA PÉREZ"

 

 

[hausofdave]

SAG track record:

2023 - 4/5
2022 - 3/5
2021 - 3/5
2020 - 4/5
2019 - 4/5
2018 - 4/5
2017 - 4/5
2016 - 3/5
2015 - 3/5
2014 - 4/5
2013 - 4/5
2012 - 3/5
2011 - 4/5
2010 - 4/5

The only question right now is whether it's a 3/5 or a 4/5 year…

[hausofdave]

If it's a 4/5 then it's obviously Anderson the traditional SAG that misses at the Oscars. In that case, traditionally it's a passion pick more "obscure" that replaces the SAG, meaning that one of Torres/MJB replaces Anderson.

If it's a 3/5 though then someone from Erivo/KSG will also make company to Anderson as SAG snubees. And I don't think it's Emilia Perez contender considering the film strength everywhere else. Wicked otoh, underperformed at Globes and SAG clearly is the friendlier environment for it…

And in that 3/5 scenario, I think Erivo could be replaced by Jolie at the Oscars..