ATRL Moderator Element Posted October 25, 2023 ATRL Moderator Share Posted October 25, 2023 This is insane!! Just last night, it was forecast to be a tropical storm at maximum (65 mph winds). Now it is going to be a category 5 hurricane at landfall in a huge city (160 mph winds). Climate change has made these rapid intensification events more frequent. Very scary! I hope it moves a bit to the side of the city 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shookspeare Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 chile... there's still hurricanes at the end of october? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATRL Moderator Element Posted October 25, 2023 Author ATRL Moderator Share Posted October 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, shookspeare said: chile... there's still hurricanes at the end of october? Yes! Hurricane season runs until November 30th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GentleEarthquake Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 Reminds me of Patricia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gaia Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 1 hour ago, shookspeare said: chile... there's still hurricanes at the end of october? As someone who used to live in Texas, yeah Hurricane season is FOREVER a hurricane hit my city 2 weeks after I closed on my house 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATRL Moderator Element Posted October 25, 2023 Author ATRL Moderator Share Posted October 25, 2023 BULLETIN Hurricane Otis Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182023 1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 24 2023 ...OTIS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES TO A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...CATASTROPHIC DAMAGE LIKELY WHERE THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE MOVES ONSHORE... this is absolutely insane. i don't think i've ever seen such a unforecasted situation like this in 20 years of tracking hurricanes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATRL Moderator Element Posted October 25, 2023 Author ATRL Moderator Share Posted October 25, 2023 NHC Discussion A nightmare scenario is unfolding for southern Mexico this evening with rapidly intensifying Otis approaching the coastline. Satellite images show that Otis has continued to intensify, with Dvorak Data-T estimates between 130-145 kt during the past few hours. The initial wind speed is set to 140 kt as a blend of these values, making Otis a Category 5 hurricane. Otis has explosively intensified 95 kt during the past 24 hours, a mark only exceeded in modern times by Patricia in 2015. Otis should maintain category 5 status before the hurricane makes landfall near the Acapulco area overnight or early on Wednesday. The only significant change to mention to the track forecast is that it has been shifted to the right due to a recent wobble to the east and the latest model trends, and a general north-northwest motion at about 8 kt is anticipated through landfall. Rapid weakening is anticipated after landfall, and Otis should dissipate tomorrow night over the higher terrain of Mexico. This is an extremely serious situation for the Acapulco metropolitan area with the core of the destructive hurricane likely to come near or over that large city early on Wednesday. There are no hurricanes on record even close to this intensity for this part of Mexico. Key Messages: 1. Otis is forecast to be a potentially catastrophic Category 5 hurricane when it reaches the southern coast of Mexico early Wednesday. Life-threatening hurricane-force winds are expected in portions of the Hurricane Warning area with catastrophic damage expected. 2. A potentially catastrophic storm surge is expected to produce life-threatening coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. 3. Heavy rains from Otis will continue to impact areas of southwest Mexico this week. This rainfall will produce flash and urban flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher terrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LOTF Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 Oh, no I hope everybody there is safe 🙏🏻 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrokenMachine Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 (edited) This is insane, it was a tropical storm a few hours ago Same happened to Hurricane Lidia which also hit Mexico this month, intensifying up to category 4 in a few hours Edited October 25, 2023 by BrokenMachine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MusicLoverDude Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 This makes Hilary, Idalia and Lee look like tropical depressions Absolute worst case scenario happening right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATRL Moderator Element Posted October 25, 2023 Author ATRL Moderator Share Posted October 25, 2023 Otis is making landfall directly in Acapulco right now. 1 million people woke up this morning expecting at most a tropical storm. The damage from this is going to be catastrophic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoubleRainbow! Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MusicLoverDude Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 Landfall was just announced. First category 5 to hit Mexico from the EPAC. It has broken Patricia's record for strongest EPAC landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrokenMachine Posted October 25, 2023 Share Posted October 25, 2023 The kind of historical events you don't want to live in First major hurricane to make landfall in the Mexican Pacific... and in such a populated area like Acapulco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoubleRainbow! Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 Jesus, it’s worse than we thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrokenMachine Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 31 minutes ago, DoubleRainbow! said: Jesus, it’s worse than we thought The city is basically destroyed I thought maybe there would have been a way they could make it but... well... category 5 hurricanes are just that destructive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
unclefloprry Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 Damn, this is worse than I thought. It seems that the hurricane destroyed the entire city. How sad, Acapulco wasn't the best beach but it was the most popular. I hope people can recover from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flower moon Posted October 28, 2023 Share Posted October 28, 2023 wow what a mess. there must have been quite a storm surge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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