Michael196 Posted August 16, 2023 Author Posted August 16, 2023 Cruel Summer's 5M+ days: 2023/08/11 5,271,769 2023/07/07 5,246,618 *1st friday 2023/08/14 5,152,325 2023/08/15 5,139,494 *new *first tuesday 2023/08/12 5,093,475 *first saturday 2023/08/10 5,034,606 2023/07/12 5,001,332 this past friday it hit a new peak, the past two days being the 3rd and 4th biggest days, may indicate a new peak in the coming days...
By the Water Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 That Oliver song had a much smaller increase (around 100k) so that’s a good sign. It barely outstreamed CS
ugo Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 8 minutes ago, By the Water said: That Oliver song had a much smaller increase (around 100k) so that’s a good sign. It barely outstreamed CS it's just the start though it could easily do more
GAGAISTHEBESTYA Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 13 minutes ago, ugo said: it's just the start though it could easily do more it started two days ago, it'll fall drastically by this Friday when nothing new happens.
simmnfierzig Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 1 hour ago, Squall said: @simmnfierzigcan you tell me how many points are 1M streams and 1M Al please? 1k sales = 1 point right? I really dont know the current formula. Dont think anyone uses exactly 1k sales as 1 point, but you can also set it up however you want. You could make Hot 100 predictions that have Cruel Summer currently at 7.000 points or something. That was always annoying when people were comparing points from different predictors or from me in different years. The points dont mean anything and I didnt care too much to make the average the same or anything when adjusting the formula. And there are all sorts of different streams. Premium AM and Spotify, free Spotify, YouTube and even lower than YouTube Pandora 1
swiftawaywithme Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 Does anyone know where these tables are from
By the Water Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 1 hour ago, ugo said: it's just the start though it could easily do more We don’t know that. It could gain 5M tomorrow or it could lose 500k. The point is smaller increases are more likely to point towards the song peaking than big increases
Taylena Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 56 minutes ago, swiftawaywithme said: Does anyone know where these tables are from Seems like those numbers might come from this website but i don't know.
Maroonx Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 well if there's not major release next week, and if that viral song starts decreasing, I think she has a chance of getting #1 next week. we shall see.
Michael196 Posted August 16, 2023 Author Posted August 16, 2023 and it may not have peaked yet it surpassed LWYMMD too, AH, SIO, BS & IDWLF... you're next
Monster Queen Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 We started this week with the prediction of #1 (+2) And we end this week with a #4 (-1) Must be the most dramatic chart tracking week in her whole career I'm not joking 1
Klein Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Monster Queen said: We started this week with the prediction of #1 (+2) And we end this week with a #4 (-1) Must be the most dramatic chart tracking week in her whole career I'm not joking Have you live through Anti-Hero's second week? 1
NEX Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, Klein said: Have you live through Anti-Hero's second week? Was that RIhanna? And then Drake the week after?
LiamVillain Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 4 minutes ago, Klein said: Have you live through Anti-Hero's second week? you meant third week? cause AH was locked for #1 on its 2nd week
Klein Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 1 minute ago, LiamVillain said: you meant third week? cause AH was locked for #1 on its 2nd week I vividly remember the meltdowns with the lyrics videos being posted, the radio change etc... it was a moment to witness.
Cruel Summer Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 6 hours ago, maplelattes said: So guys we still won't have a chance next week? :( No, she has a strong shot next week. Streaming will be stable, radio will probably be up a little since it hasn’t peaked on all formats - if she makes any moves that help boost sales a lot, then she could lock the number one. It all comes down to whether she does anything, whether Drake drops, and how well Rich Men holds. The latter is probably not even a huge threat next week, because it won’t have anywhere near her radio points and it won’t keep up the massive sales from this week. Basically - how bad does she want it? 2
a_d_22 Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 16 minutes ago, Cruel Summer said: No, she has a strong shot next week. Streaming will be stable, radio will probably be up a little since it hasn’t peaked on all formats - if she makes any moves that help boost sales a lot, then she could lock the number one. It all comes down to whether she does anything, whether Drake drops, and how well Rich Men holds. The latter is probably not even a huge threat next week, because it won’t have anywhere near her radio points and it won’t keep up the massive sales from this week. Basically - how bad does she want it? this was my thought. a couple remixes, a music video, and a live performance and it’s hers regardless of whether drake drops or not
PoisonPill Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 How sure are we that Rich Men is going to drop next week? Aren't its sales very stable so far? I'm fearing a multi-week #1
MidnightsAtPeace Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 I'm starting to feel like she has something lover related up her sleeve. Maybe something's happening for lover's 4th anniversary, hopefully a deluxe version with both aotylb and need as bonus tracks, and maybe a music video/tour video for cruel summer. But i don't think it's happening this friday, bc next friday is closer to lover's anniversary than this friday. Also her not posting about the end of the first US leg of the tour makes the situation even weirder.
ugo Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, PoisonPill said: How sure are we that Rich Men is going to drop next week? Aren't its sales very stable so far? I'm fearing a multi-week #1 it's not gonna drop it's literally rising on streaming The sales will though Edited August 16, 2023 by ugo
simmnfierzig Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 4 hours ago, Monster Queen said: We started this week with the prediction of #1 (+2) And we end this week with a #4 (-1) Must be the most dramatic chart tracking week in her whole career I'm not joking Its not the end yet
simmnfierzig Posted August 16, 2023 Posted August 16, 2023 6 hours ago, Taylena said: Seems like those numbers might come from this website but i don't know. No certainly not. That website is trash 7 hours ago, swiftawaywithme said: Does anyone know where these tables are from He's an insider and sometimes posts stuff that is alwas 100% correct. But we have to take what we get. It's not public info 1
Michael196 Posted August 16, 2023 Author Posted August 16, 2023 She’s in a battle for #1 on the canadian 100 where the top 2 are pretty much tied Cruel Summer - 32 Pts Last Night - 32 Pts while on the uk’s singles chart, the top 2 have been fighting for #1 and selling almost free physical copies and yet, she’s barely behind… 1 Dua Lipa - Dance the Night (24,402) 2 Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? (22,433) 3 Olivia Rodrigo - vampire (20,716) 4 Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (18,708) 5 Olivia Rodrigo - bad idea right? *
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