Hot 100 early predictions (lip): AIWFCIY 10x #1, Kill Bill #4, Blind #11, NGM #12

[Renan90]

 

Edited December 16, 2022 by Renan90

[Jude]

NGM is $12? Wow, too expensive.

[Holiest Dreams]

AH will probably still be #2 this week without Christmas songs

[makeme]

Kill Bill 

 

I hope Blind can make its way to the top ten as well. Time for a Blind streaming party! 

[littlebodybigheart]

sza could’ve bagged another #1 had she not released in december 

[Dystopian]

main pop girl sza 

[Dystopian]

main pop girl sza 

[fridayteenage]

interesting; even on US Youtube Kill Bill just passed Nobody Gets Me even though the latter has an actual music video.

[Dula Peep]

this is why you don't release right before xmas, unless she wanted those xmas sales? 

[Antisocialites]

the moment the first chorus on Kill Bill finished, I knew the song would be an instant hit and it would go viral on Tik Tok. 

[Capruni]

Hope Kill Bill can reach #1 after Christmas season.

[infrared]

Kill Bill 

[pride4jc1222]

Where was this when we needed it in late August/early September when AIW was scraping out weeks at #1 on the Hot 100 with 13/14M streams? If only Drake/21 Savage, Metro Boomin, and SZA had released their albums before Unholy, then AIW's run at #1 would have been cut short by Rich Flex, Creepin, and Kill Bill, plus the Blinding Lights record would have been saved.

[TrieLz]

Shirt failed to debut in the top 10 a couple months ago.

now her album bomb also failed to score a top 3 (when she can hit #1 if she released before Taylor and Xmas season)

SZA really have a bad luck.

[popjunkie]

So much for being bigger than Beyoncé 

[Ger]

 

 

https://twitter.com/lippredicts/status/1603824058084253696

 

Bren is really putting a fight despite GP thinking she's not even alive.  

Edited December 16, 2022 by Ger-55

[MusicLoverDude]

People on here saying she shouldn't be releasing in December, when it's not her fault Billboard allows the Christmas songs back on. 

 

Aren't people forgetting that thank u, next literally dominated Xmas season at #1 just 4 years ago? As was Rockstar and Perfect the year before and Black Beatles before that. 

 

Xmas didn't start becoming a problem until 2 to 3 years ago when Mariah first hit #1. 

[suburbannature]

5 minutes ago, MusicLoverDude said:

People on here saying she shouldn't be releasing in December, when it's not her fault Billboard allows the Christmas songs back on. 

 

Aren't people forgetting that thank u, next literally dominated Xmas season at #1 just 4 years ago? As was Rockstar and Perfect the year before and Black Beatles before that. 

 

Xmas didn't start becoming a problem until 2 to 3 years ago when Mariah first hit #1. 

Exactly. And even last year Adele or someone got a week from Mariah.

[brianc33710]

5 hours ago, suburbannature said:

Exactly. And even last year Adele or someone got a week from Mariah.

Taylor Swift 

[fridayteenage]

34 minutes ago, Paranoid Android said:

If they just waited till January, she would have been only the second woman to get 3 or more top ten debuts in a week. Kinda didn't need to release in December anyway. It's not like they are pushing physicals. 

2 or more, in fact

[besaid]

8 hours ago, suburbannature said:

Exactly. And even last year Adele or someone got a week from Mariah.

It was Miss Swift sadly

 

[pride4jc1222]

7 hours ago, Paranoid Android said:

If they just waited till January, she would have been only the second woman to get 3 or more top ten debuts in a week. Kinda didn't need to release in December anyway. It's not like they are pushing physicals. 

Or if SZA had released it the week after Super Freaky Girl, As It Was might have finished with 10 weeks at #1 and the Blinding Lights record would have been saved.

[EnoughSaid]

Mariah getting a 10th week  and she has the next 2 weeks on lock I believe? Or just one

[suburbannature]

23 minutes ago, EnoughSaid said:

Mariah getting a 10th week  and she has the next 2 weeks on lock I believe? Or just one

For what it's worth, she got her 3rd week last year with the 24th and 25th starting the tracking week. That's how massive her points are on Xmas Eve. 

 

This year the tracking week starts on the 23rd so she should have that week. 

[pride4jc1222]

FInal predictions: 

 

As It Was getting to 52 weeks doesn't seem like a sure thing anymore, as it's predicted to go to #39 in Week 37.