Carrie-is-no-1 Posted October 28, 2022 Posted October 28, 2022 300k but I think we may underestimate her again
wwshooter Posted October 28, 2022 Posted October 28, 2022 300k, I have a feeling she wants the second week just to keep the momentum, then save all the tricks for Drake
Trainwreck Posted October 28, 2022 Posted October 28, 2022 If she drops the signed vinyls and the 3am vinyls then it's over for Drake, she would not do less than 350-400k . If she doesn't then maybe 200-250k
KKCuteCat Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 I predict an average decrease for this type of debut. Like 75-80%. So it should be around 200-250k pure and 350-400K SPS
Harry Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 she’s signing CD/vinyls as we speak so don’t count her out yet
PoisonPill Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 We should all learn by now that she can never be underestimated. 500k
Kool_Aid_King Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 2 hours ago, PoisonPill said: We should all learn by now that she can never be underestimated. 500k I don't see pure sales exceeding 40K. and SPS, I don't see exceeding 250K. We're looking at ~300K. Unless she adds thousands of more signed copies or pulls more gimmicks.
simmnfierzig Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 8 minutes ago, Kool_Aid_King said: I don't see pure sales exceeding 40K. and SPS, I don't see exceeding 250K. We're looking at ~300K. Unless she adds thousands of more signed copies or pulls more gimmicks. 40k pure sales is stupid We know she sold 300k from day 2 through 7 of week 1 It will be at the very minimum 100k. Could be significantly more. Unless they just run out of copies or something
Kool_Aid_King Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 7 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said: 40k pure sales is stupid We know she sold 300k from day 2 through 7 of week 1 It will be at the very minimum 100k. Could be significantly more. Unless they just run out of copies or something Week 1 is different than week 2, but you might be right. IDK how much her last two albums did in their 2nd weeks in pure sales, but clearly she nearly doubled folklore
Cruel Summer Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 ~300k feels right. Would be cute to see the number go a little higher. I don’t see it doing much less.
RobynYoBank Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 They don’t seem to have enough vinyl for second week. All the Targets here are wiped out.
Badgalbriel Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 On 10/27/2022 at 6:49 AM, Mr. Duff said: 200k seems a bit low? Is it really that front loaded? I am leaning towards 250-300k. I feel like streams will hold up so this all depends on physicals. It's not about being frontloaded. The 1.1million pure sales were the result of 2 months of pre-orders. She sold like 900k albums in the preorder and 200k during the first week. So for the second week she won't sell more than 70k pure sales + an additional 150k from streaming. 230 seems about right.
simmnfierzig Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 Just now, Badgalbriel said: It's not about being frontloaded. The 1.1million pure sales were the result of 2 months of pre-orders. She sold like 900k albums in the preorder and 200k during the first week. So for the second week she won't sell more than 70k pure sales + an additional 150k from streaming. 230 seems about right. Billboard reported 800k pure after day 1. Thats pre-orders and day 1 sales
By the Water Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 9 minutes ago, Kool_Aid_King said: Week 1 is different than week 2, but you might be right. IDK how much her last two albums did in their 2nd weeks in pure sales, but clearly she nearly doubled folklore Folklore didn't have physicals until its third week but I believe Red TV did around 70k pure second week The pure sales are definitely very unpredictable as there also seems to be some stocking issues but I expect her SEA to be close to if not better than folklore's 231k debut
Arrows Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 8 minutes ago, Badgalbriel said: It's not about being frontloaded. The 1.1million pure sales were the result of 2 months of pre-orders. She sold like 900k albums in the preorder and 200k during the first week. So for the second week she won't sell more than 70k pure sales + an additional 150k from streaming. 230 seems about right. Not true. About 500k were pre-orders.
Badgalbriel Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 1 hour ago, Arrows said: Not true. About 500k were pre-orders. Do we know the numbers? I thought the vinyls alone sold 500k during the pre-order.
Ichinaru19 Posted October 29, 2022 Posted October 29, 2022 Are online stores sales based on when they ship them out? Because I bought three vinyls and they all didn't even actually ship yet
fridayteenage Posted October 30, 2022 Posted October 30, 2022 6 hours ago, Ichinaru19 said: Are online stores sales based on when they ship them out? Because I bought three vinyls and they all didn't even actually ship yet supposedly. mine shipped recently but hasn't arrived yet. whew, contributing to the 2nd week sales.
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