brianc33710 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 57 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said: Yeah Yeah. BB says SOY is only the 18th single to double the points of the #2 songsince the Hot 100 switched to electronic tracking on 30 November 1991. I'd share the link to the article, but I haven't seen my laptop's power cord since moving over the past week. Since my Thesis is also on that computer, I need to find that cord ASAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianc33710 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 2 minutes ago, ChartsFan said: http://www.billboard.com/articles/columns/chart-beat/7728131/ed-sheeran-shape-of-you-dominant-hot-100-hit-adele-whitney-houston Thank you. I also see someone started a thread on this topic. UF also had huge point totals during its stay at #1. But the three #2s (wks 1-2), TOL (wks 3-10), and Sugar (wks 11-14) were also massive hits. Also, Thrift Shop had an almost 2:1 lead over the #2 song prior to Baauer's crazy viral numbers (and thankfully mostly forgotten) over TS. So there was a huge gap between #1 and #3 at HS and TS peaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Curly Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 On 16/03/2017 at 6:17 AM, Jeiboy said: Nope it wasnt, that was just Spotify increase if the official video was counted, its #2 right now instead of Bad and Boujee Oh my bad Hope he gets the No. 2 anytime soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MALAMENTE Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Cant wait for the updated predictions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sylar Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 (edited) 4 hours ago, simmnfierzig said: Yeah oh c'mon now. You cannot know that for sure. She could release a video today and it could go viral. That's unlikely to happen, but my point is - stick to the week to week predictions, doing long term predictions is pointless. You literally said 2 weeks ago, Rockabye has no chance of reaching top 10 and it's now in the top 10 You also said CTTR is doing at least 140k first week and made fun of me when I said it's doing less. Edited March 17, 2017 by Sylar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEZ Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 12 minutes ago, Sylar said: oh c'mon now. You cannot know that for sure. She could release a video today and it could go viral. That's unlikely to happen, but my point is - stick to the week to week predictions, doing long term predictions is pointless. You literally said 2 weeks ago, Rockabye has no chance of reaching top 10 and it's now in the top 10 You also said CTTR is doing at least 140k first week and made fun of me when I said it's doing less. my thoughts exactly. he might be able to predict next weeks charts but hes not a psychic so in reality anything could happen. will LOTB hit number one? probably not. does sim know that for sure. nah. could rihanna release an epic music video and see a surge in sales and streaming? sure. why not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ahdm Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 8 minutes ago, Sylar said: oh c'mon now. You cannot know that for sure. She could release a video today and it could go viral. That's unlikely to happen, but my point is - stick to the week to week predictions, doing long term predictions is pointless. You literally said 2 weeks ago, Rockabye has no chance of reaching top 10 and it's now in the top 10 You also said CTTR is doing at least 140k first week and made fun of me when I said it's doing less. I know this is directed to simmnfierzig and I do think that making long term predictions is hard and the result can be innaccurate but LOTB really has no chances of going #1. I'm pretty sure that he said that Rockabye was not going top 10 because he didn't expect it to get discounted which is the reason why it made it this week. The CTTR case is different because it was the prediction for a new song, there was not much to back it up except Katy's popularity and previous chart success but we know that even for huge artists massive success is not a given and an underperformance can happen. Now the thing with LOTB is that it is already peaking on radio, this was today's update: RIHANNA - Love On The Brain: 154.248 (- 0.018) and radio is what is helping that song the most, it is not doing good on Spotify and the iTunes performance is a little weak too, not trying to discredit her, I do think is amazing and impressive that she just got another top 5 but it is over. Of course if she releases a video it will have a surge on streaming and sales, it will go up on the hot 100 too but have you seen Shape Of You's lead? it's just crazy. You can never know for sure but it would need to get viral in such a massive way, something almost historical for it to dethrone SOY and the chances of that are just extremely small. Still, it's chart run is impressive anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rawr Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 no frauds debuting top 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simmnfierzig Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 2 hours ago, Sylar said: oh c'mon now. You cannot know that for sure. She could release a video today and it could go viral. That's unlikely to happen, but my point is - stick to the week to week predictions, doing long term predictions is pointless. You literally said 2 weeks ago, Rockabye has no chance of reaching top 10 and it's now in the top 10 You also said CTTR is doing at least 140k first week and made fun of me when I said it's doing less. First of all. Yes I hate doing long term predictions cause you never know what will happen. But that's like 80% of the question directed at me here. But 2 weeks before that I said "sure why not" on if Rockabye could go top 10. But then it was nearing it's peak and I said no. They threw the discount in there at the perfect time and I didn't see that coming at all The under performance of CTTR is still shocking to me, but yeah obviously predicting something that isn't even out is nearly impossible. Just felt very confident in that. But LOTB is peaking on radio and is at 40% of the points of SOY. A video and a discount don't more than double the points of a song this late into it's run. Say video and discount happen in 2 or 3 weeks. SOY would have to fall down fast, LOTB would need to have great longevity on radio, discount would need to have a massive effect and the video views would have to be amazing to have the slightest chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simmnfierzig Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 43 minutes ago, Rawr said: no frauds debuting top 10? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike3009 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 43 minutes ago, Rawr said: no frauds debuting top 10? Probably no. Top 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rawr Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 such a shame such a good nicki song Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tsuko Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 (edited) 23 hours ago, simmnfierzig said: Lean On I think it was? Were the views were counted, then not counted, then counted again. It had a pretty weird chart run because of that. It happened to Post Malone - White Iverson and Meek Mill - All Eyes On You as well where their full Youtube figures weren't being counted. And in both cases I think it effected their peak positions. Edited March 17, 2017 by Tsuko Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umich Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 6 hours ago, ChartsFan said: http://www.billboard.com/articles/columns/chart-beat/7728131/ed-sheeran-shape-of-you-dominant-hot-100-hit-adele-whitney-houston ingerestingly Uptown Funk never made double #2. It just goes to show how huge Thinking Out Loud and Blank Space were. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IVY Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 (edited) 29 minutes ago, Tsuko said: It happened to Post Malone - White Iverson and Meek Mill - All Eyes On You as well where their full Youtube figures weren't being counted. And in both cases I think it effected their peak positions. So the views for That's what I like video in the first two weeks will never be counted WTF, just to show how flawed this counting streams formula, the funny thing is that BB is totally ignoring it, they have never addressed that something like this has happened and how it can affect any song's position on the charts. Edited March 17, 2017 by IVY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riha'love Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 7 hours ago, simmnfierzig said: LOTB has not the slightest chance to ever get close to #1... That sounds arrogant Probably realistic but arrogant, you are probably right but I'd like LOTB to go #1 just to prove you wrong even though it's not happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simmnfierzig Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Updated predictions 1 Shape Of You 634 (=) 2 Bad And Boujee 344 (=) 3 That's What I Like 328 (=) 4 I Don't Wanna Live Forever 319 (=) 5 I Feel It Coming 267 (+7) 6 Tunnel Vision 243 (=) 7 Love On The Brain 238 (-2) 8 Something Just Like This 230 (+3) 9 Paris 220 (-2) 10 Bounce Back 217 (-2) 11 iSpy 213 (+3) 12 Rockabye 211 (-3) 13 Closer 201 (-3) 14 Chained To The Rhythm 190 (-1) 15 It Ain't Me 190 (+3) 16 Body Like A Back Road 186 (+1) 17 Cold 179 (+3) 18 Mask Off 178 (+14) 19 Mercy 174 (-4) 20 Say You Won't Let Go 174 (+8) 21 24k Magic 171 (-5) 22 No Frauds 166 (debut) 23 Down 164 (+2) 24 Stay 164 (+10) 25 Issues 163 (+2) 26 Can't Stop The Feeling 162 (-2) 27 Scars To Your Beautiful 159 (-6) 28 Starboy 158 (-2) 29 Bad Things 157 (-7) 30 Fake Love 153 (-7) 31 Congratulations 153 (+2) 32 T-Shirt 150 (-2) 33 Swang 144 (+3) 34 Rolex 132 (+14) 35 Don't Wanna Know 132 (-4) 36 Location 132 (+2) 37 Black Beatles 126 (-2) 38 Million Reasons 122 (-9) 39 Dirt On My Boots 120 (+3) 40 Believer 120 (+1) 41 Green Light 119 (-22) 42 Let Me Love You 117 (-2) 43 Party 110 (+8) 44 Water Under The Bridge 108 (-1) 45 How Far I'll Go Auli'l 108 (+15) 46 Heathens 106 (-2) 47 Make Me (Cry) 105 (-1) 48 Caroline 104 (-1) 49 Both 103 (+5) 50 Side To Side 101 (=) 51 Goosebumps 99 (+6) 52 Castle On The Hill 96 (-13) 53 Slide 96 (-1) 54 Despacito 96 (+2) 55 Everyday 89 (+8) 56 Think A Little Less 89 (+2) 57 Selfish 88 (+9) 58 Galway Girl 86 (-5) 59 Play That Song 85 (+9) 60 Look At Me! 85 (+1) 61 Deja Vu 84 (+3) 62 Redbone 83 (+7) 63 Better Man 82 (-8) 64 Fast 80 (+1) 65 Shining 80 (-3) 66 Moves 79 (+5) 67 Any Ol Barstool 77 (+3) 68 Perfect 76 (-31) 69 Heavy 76 (+10) 70 Hurricane 76 (+3) 71 In Case You Didn't Know 75 (+9) 72 Draco 73 (+5) 73 How Far I'll Go Alessia 70 (+16) 74 Party Monster 69 (+2) 75 I Got You 67 (-8) 76 Call On Me 67 (+2) 77 Hometown Girl 66 (+18) 78 Road Less Traveled 66 (+7) 79 Regret In Your Tears 65 (debut) 80 Liability 64 (debut) 81 Chanel 63 (debut) 82 Kill A Word 63 (+6) 83 The Weekend 62 (+4) 84 Changed It 61 (debut) 85 Dive 60 (-36) 86 Today 59 (-12) 87 Losin Control 58 (-1) 88 The Fighter 58 (+4) 89 Sober Saturday Night 57 (-7) 90 Selfish 57 (+4) 91 Happier 56 (-32) 92 Black 56 (re-entry) 93 Yeah Boy 55 (+5) 94 Used To This 55 (-3) 95 Comin Out Strong 53 (-14) 96 Chantaje 52 (+1) 97 Way Down We Go 51 (re-entry) 98 Thumbs 51 (debut) 99 A Guy With A Girl 50 (+1) 100 El Amante 50 (re-entry) Others Beauty And The Beast 47 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ivan_brit Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Yasss I Feel It Comming!! Everyday is Fighthing!! Green Light !! CTTR stable another week at the top 15 ;) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianc33710 Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 1 hour ago, umich said: It just goes to show how huge Thinking Out Loud and Blank Space were. And Sugar too, though I know you're not a M5 fan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Letters From Adi Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 Stay starting to explode @Mr. Adele MR nearly exiting Top 40 tho It Ain't Me, iSpy,Stay and Mask Off should be in Top 10 in a month. unsure about SYWLG and Cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Green Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 2 hours ago, umich said: It just goes to show how huge Thinking Out Loud and Blank Space were. Thinking out loud was really huge. Bigger than almost all the #1's that year (with the exception of Uptown Funk, See you again and maybe Hello) ---------------------------------------------- 2 Bad And Boujee 344 (=) 3 That's What I Like 328 (=) They are sabotaging Bruno It should be #2 by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frrr Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 23 minutes ago, Green said: Thinking out loud was really huge. Bigger than almost all the #1's that year (with the exception of Uptown Funk, See you again and maybe Hello) ---------------------------------------------- 2 Bad And Boujee 344 (=) 3 That's What I Like 328 (=) They are sabotaging Bruno It should be #2 by now If the MV is counted it will be number two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grandewhispers Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 55 Everyday 89 (+8) Yay!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Adele Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, Letters From Adi said: Stay starting to explode @Mr. Adele Talent winning I'm not surprised Edited March 17, 2017 by Mr. Adele Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edgeofaddiction Posted March 17, 2017 Share Posted March 17, 2017 4 hours ago, umich said: It just goes to show how huge Thinking Out Loud and Blank Space were. Wait, why? They never doubled the No. 2 song? A mess at LOTB being Top 5. A ****ing mess. Crazy dumb bitch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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