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Spotify streams per playlist follower


levi_valvi

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We know spotify streams are heavily influenced by spotify playlist followers, we see this when a song jumps over 100 spots on the chart just from being added to HHT. Because of this, we can't really say that a song at #20 is doing better than a song at #25 is if the song at #20 has double the amount of playlist followers. I think a more accurate representation of how well a song is doing is how many streams a song can milk from its followers, the streams per follower (SPF).

We talk a lot about spotify payola, and hopefully this can clear some things up. First of all, hit songs being pushed to a lot of playlist should not equal payola. The playlists are there to serve songs to the people that they wanna listen to, and people wanna listen to the hits, so God's Plan having the most spotify playllst followers doesn't mean it's the most payola'ed song. What should be considered spotify payola, is songs that are being pushed to people that people don't care for, the ones being forced down our throats; the ones that don't milk many streams from its followers.

And of course every playlist follower isn't equal, for instance both the first and the last song on TTH get assigned all 19,4 mil followers, though obviously the #1 listed song will have a way easier time milking the playlist for streams; but I really can't account for this.

 

The average streams per playlist follower for the top 50 songs is 0.02926.

8 songs get more than 30 % of the average streams per follower (>0.038), ranked from most organic to least:

 

TRACK STREAMS PLAYLIST FOLLOWERS SPF
changes by XXXTENTACION 1,362,898 19,908,049 0.0685
SAD! by XXXTENTACION 3,704,244 57,467,299 0.0645
Moonlight by XXXTENTACION 2,079,127 36,691,288 0.0567
I Fall Apart by Post Malone 1,482,424 30,562,731 0.0485
God's Plan by Drake 5,822,714 126,611,577 0.0460
Psycho (feat. Ty Dolla $ign) by Post Malone 4,342,009 102,379,259 0.0424
Perfect by Ed Sheeran 1,540,568 38,520,125 0.0400
Freaky Friday (feat. Chris Brown) by Lil Dicky 2,732,349 68,104,282 0.0401

 

There's also 8 song which get less than 30 % of the average streams per follower (<0.024), ranked from most to least GMO'ed:

 

Breathe by Jax Jones 1,279,601 82,386,205 0.0155
Remind Me to Forget by Kygo 1,334,407 75,396,219 0.0177
Finesse (Remix) [feat. Cardi B] by Bruno Mars 1,580,378 88,970,190 0.0178
Mad Love by Sean Paul 1,322,426 72,537,468 0.0182
Like I Do by David Guetta 1,649,256 85,752,601 0.0192
Say Something by Justin Timberlake 1,502,905 77,407,496 0.0194
Everyday by Logic 1,565,225 76,884,233 0.0204
Downtown by Anitta 1,257,966 61,660,603 0.0204

 

 

Here's the full list for the top 50:

 

TRACK STREAMS PLAYLIST FOLLOWERS SPF
God's Plan by Drake 5,822,714 126,611,577 0.0460
Psycho (feat. Ty Dolla $ign) by Post Malone 4,342,009 102,379,259 0.0424
SAD! by XXXTENTACION 3,704,244 57,467,299 0.0645
FRIENDS by Marshmello 3,528,980 108,186,621 0.0326
X by Nicky Jam 3,444,640 105,299,144 0.0327
IDGAF by Dua Lipa 3,210,442 107,152,785 0.0300
The Middle by Zedd 3,047,962 110,634,496 0.0249
All The Stars (with SZA) by Kendrick Lamar 3,015,568 122,566,636 0.0273
Look Alive (feat. Drake) by BlocBoy JB 2,880,107 82,096,136 0.0351
Love Lies (with Normani) by Khalid 2,822,144 98,692,239 0.0286
In My Blood by Shawn Mendes 2,778,497 87,375,872 0.0318
Mine by Bazzi 2,732,501 97,434,755 0.0280
Freaky Friday (feat. Chris Brown) by Lil Dicky 2,732,349 68,104,282 0.0401
These Days (feat. Jess Glynne. Macklemore & Dan Caplen) by Rudimental 2,647,547 94,712,999 0.0280
rockstar by Post Malone 2,324,871 61,580,249 0.0378
Dura by Daddy Yankee 2,171,133 68,020,374 0.0319
Havana by Camila Cabello 2,123,847 72,232,571 0.0294
Meant to Be (feat. Florida Georgia Line) by Bebe Rexha 2,098,458 88,780,703 0.0236
Moonlight by XXXTENTACION 2,079,127 36,691,288 0.0567
Never Be the Same by Camila Cabello 1,953,339 79,527,029 0.0246
Pray For Me (with Kendrick Lamar) by The Weeknd 1,888,568 81,229,329 0.0232
Me Niego by Reik 1,860,736 60,225,519 0.0309
Plug Walk by Rich The Kid 1,708,857 59,816,398 0.0286
Lost In Japan by Shawn Mendes 1,684,672 65,387,131 0.0258
New Rules by Dua Lipa 1,682,057 59,983,234 0.0280
Stir Fry by Migos 1,659,204 80,504,366 0.0206
Like I Do by David Guetta 1,649,256 85,752,601 0.0192
Échame La Culpa by Luis Fonsi 1,635,039 75,559,783 0.0216
Bella by Wolfine 1,603,527 50,008,868 0.0321
Amorfoda by Bad Bunny 1,598,979 47,605,870 0.0336
Finesse (Remix) [feat. Cardi B] by Bruno Mars 1,580,378 88,970,190 0.0178
Everyday by Logic 1,565,225 76,884,233 0.0204
Ric Flair Drip (& Metro Boomin) by Offset 1,542,980 44,546,448 0.0346
Perfect by Ed Sheeran 1,540,568 38,520,125 0.0400
Say Something by Justin Timberlake 1,502,905 77,407,496 0.0194
Wolves by Selena Gomez 1,494,804 59,814,424 0.0250
I Fall Apart by Post Malone 1,482,424 30,562,731 0.0485
Shape of You by Ed Sheeran 1,478,133 53,161,477 0.0278
Déjala Que Vuelva (feat. Manuel Turizo) by Piso 21 1,459,365 52,658,457 0.0277
River (feat. Ed Sheeran) by Eminem 1,445,248 48,732,761 0.0297
changes by XXXTENTACION 1,362,898 19,908,049 0.0685
King's Dead (with Kendrick Lamar. Future & James Blake) by Jay Rock 1,354,091 43,610,171 0.0310
Remind Me to Forget by Kygo 1,334,407 75,396,219 0.0177
Síguelo Bailando by Ozuna 1,333,172 45,562,446 0.0293
Mad Love by Sean Paul 1,322,426 72,537,468 0.0182
Sick Boy by The Chainsmokers 1,320,993 50,731,180 0.0260
Let You Down by NF 1,306,178 42,431,670 0.0308
Walk It Talk It by Migos 1,282,505 41,317,034 0.0310
Breathe by Jax Jones 1,279,601 82,386,205 0.0155
Downtown by Anitta 1,257,966 61,660,603 0.0204
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Post, Drake & Lil Dicky :clap3: And wow @ X dominating Spotify. I wonder what ATRL has to say to the geepee

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1 minute ago, Have a Cigar said:

It doesn't work like that. This data is irrelevant.

What did I miss?

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Wouldn’t indie artists destroy all industry plants with this?

 

Almost all indie’s growth is organic and all of label puppets get a push.

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Just now, Trent W said:

Wouldn’t indie artists destroy all industry plants with this?

 

Almost all indie’s growth is organic and all of label puppets get a push.

In a test of how organic a song is, the most organic songs smash.

I only did it for the top 50 though where most indie artists don't land, I don't know how the trend is when you expand further.

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I honestly love the effort but I'm not completely convinced. Lemme read again while streaming the organic come-up hit, Delicate. :celestial5:

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Taylor fanboy said:

I honestly love the effort but I'm not completely convinced. Lemme read again while streaming the organic come-up hit, Delicate. :celestial5:

 

 

Delicate gets 0.026 streams per follower, a bit under average but still in the organic region :mandown: 

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1 minute ago, levi_valvi said:

In a test of how organic a song is, the most organic songs smash.

I only did it for the top 50 though where most indie artists don't land, I don't know how the trend is when you expand further.

Well this forum only cares about mainstream but if we compare indie artists that get 100ks-1ms of plays to the mainstream ones that get 100m+, the indie ones will destroy them cause most of them are discovered.

 

I really don’t find Camila or Dua having billions of streams impressive at all cause they literally just buy playlists, they wouldn’t do much on their own.

 

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3 minutes ago, Trent W said:

Well this forum only cares about mainstream but if we compare indie artists that get 100ks-1ms of plays to the mainstream ones that get 100m+, the indie ones will destroy them cause most of them are discovered.

 

I really don’t find Camila or Dua having billions of streams impressive at all cause they literally just buy playlists, they wouldn’t do much on their own.

You can't say that they only have streams because they are pushed to playlists. A lot of songs get pushed to playlist but they never pick up (songs with low SPF). Some songs take those playlist and make the best of it, they become hits, Havana and New Rules both did that.

That's my point in the OP too that a lot of playlist does not equal payola. Drake is not just getting all those streams because of payola, it's pretty clear.

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2 minutes ago, Have a Cigar said:

Nothing, it's just that some of those playlist followers are inactive subscribers. But I don't think you're taking that seriously so I don't mean to ruin the fun, haha. There's insights available online to learn more about people's streaming habits.

Oh ofc, but all the songs have inactive followers and I think it's safe to assume that they all have a somewhat even amount, so the effect from it should be negligible

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On 28.03.2018 at 4:15 PM, levi_valvi said:

 

We know spotify streams are heavily influenced by spotify playlist followers, we see this when a song jumps over 100 spots on the chart just from being added to HHT. Because of this, we can't really say that a song at #20 is doing better than a song at #25 is if the song at #20 has double the amount of playlist followers. I think a more accurate representation of how well a song is doing is how many streams a song can milk from its followers, the streams per follower (SPF).

We talk a lot about spotify payola, and hopefully this can clear some things up. First of all, hit songs being pushed to a lot of playlist should not equal payola. The playlists are there to serve songs to the people that they wanna listen to, and people wanna listen to the hits, so God's Plan having the most spotify playllst followers doesn't mean it's the most payola'ed song. What should be considered spotify payola, is songs that are being pushed to people that people don't care for, the ones being forced down our throats; the ones that don't milk many streams from its followers.

And of course every playlist follower isn't equal, for instance both the first and the last song on TTH get assigned all 19,4 mil followers, though obviously the #1 listed song will have a way easier time milking the playlist for streams; but I really can't account for this.

 

The average streams per playlist follower for the top 50 songs is 0.02926.

8 songs get more than 30 % of the average streams per follower (>0.038), ranked from most organic to least:

 

TRACK STREAMS PLAYLIST FOLLOWERS SPF
changes by XXXTENTACION 1,362,898 19,908,049 0.0685
SAD! by XXXTENTACION 3,704,244 57,467,299 0.0645
Moonlight by XXXTENTACION 2,079,127 36,691,288 0.0567
I Fall Apart by Post Malone 1,482,424 30,562,731 0.0485
God's Plan by Drake 5,822,714 126,611,577 0.0460
Psycho (feat. Ty Dolla $ign) by Post Malone 4,342,009 102,379,259 0.0424
Perfect by Ed Sheeran 1,540,568 38,520,125 0.0400
Freaky Friday (feat. Chris Brown) by Lil Dicky 2,732,349 68,104,282 0.0401

 

There's also 8 song which get less than 30 % of the average streams per follower (<0.024), ranked from most to least GMO'ed:

 

Breathe by Jax Jones 1,279,601 82,386,205 0.0155
Remind Me to Forget by Kygo 1,334,407 75,396,219 0.0177
Finesse (Remix) [feat. Cardi B] by Bruno Mars 1,580,378 88,970,190 0.0178
Mad Love by Sean Paul 1,322,426 72,537,468 0.0182
Like I Do by David Guetta 1,649,256 85,752,601 0.0192
Say Something by Justin Timberlake 1,502,905 77,407,496 0.0194
Everyday by Logic 1,565,225 76,884,233 0.0204
Downtown by Anitta 1,257,966 61,660,603 0.0204

 

 

Here's the full list for the top 50:

 

TRACK STREAMS PLAYLIST FOLLOWERS SPF
God's Plan by Drake 5,822,714 126,611,577 0.0460
Psycho (feat. Ty Dolla $ign) by Post Malone 4,342,009 102,379,259 0.0424
SAD! by XXXTENTACION 3,704,244 57,467,299 0.0645
FRIENDS by Marshmello 3,528,980 108,186,621 0.0326
X by Nicky Jam 3,444,640 105,299,144 0.0327
IDGAF by Dua Lipa 3,210,442 107,152,785 0.0300
The Middle by Zedd 3,047,962 110,634,496 0.0249
All The Stars (with SZA) by Kendrick Lamar 3,015,568 122,566,636 0.0273
Look Alive (feat. Drake) by BlocBoy JB 2,880,107 82,096,136 0.0351
Love Lies (with Normani) by Khalid 2,822,144 98,692,239 0.0286
In My Blood by Shawn Mendes 2,778,497 87,375,872 0.0318
Mine by Bazzi 2,732,501 97,434,755 0.0280
Freaky Friday (feat. Chris Brown) by Lil Dicky 2,732,349 68,104,282 0.0401
These Days (feat. Jess Glynne. Macklemore & Dan Caplen) by Rudimental 2,647,547 94,712,999 0.0280
rockstar by Post Malone 2,324,871 61,580,249 0.0378
Dura by Daddy Yankee 2,171,133 68,020,374 0.0319
Havana by Camila Cabello 2,123,847 72,232,571 0.0294
Meant to Be (feat. Florida Georgia Line) by Bebe Rexha 2,098,458 88,780,703 0.0236
Moonlight by XXXTENTACION 2,079,127 36,691,288 0.0567
Never Be the Same by Camila Cabello 1,953,339 79,527,029 0.0246
Pray For Me (with Kendrick Lamar) by The Weeknd 1,888,568 81,229,329 0.0232
Me Niego by Reik 1,860,736 60,225,519 0.0309
Plug Walk by Rich The Kid 1,708,857 59,816,398 0.0286
Lost In Japan by Shawn Mendes 1,684,672 65,387,131 0.0258
New Rules by Dua Lipa 1,682,057 59,983,234 0.0280
Stir Fry by Migos 1,659,204 80,504,366 0.0206
Like I Do by David Guetta 1,649,256 85,752,601 0.0192
Échame La Culpa by Luis Fonsi 1,635,039 75,559,783 0.0216
Bella by Wolfine 1,603,527 50,008,868 0.0321
Amorfoda by Bad Bunny 1,598,979 47,605,870 0.0336
Finesse (Remix) [feat. Cardi B] by Bruno Mars 1,580,378 88,970,190 0.0178
Everyday by Logic 1,565,225 76,884,233 0.0204
Ric Flair Drip (& Metro Boomin) by Offset 1,542,980 44,546,448 0.0346
Perfect by Ed Sheeran 1,540,568 38,520,125 0.0400
Say Something by Justin Timberlake 1,502,905 77,407,496 0.0194
Wolves by Selena Gomez 1,494,804 59,814,424 0.0250
I Fall Apart by Post Malone 1,482,424 30,562,731 0.0485
Shape of You by Ed Sheeran 1,478,133 53,161,477 0.0278
Déjala Que Vuelva (feat. Manuel Turizo) by Piso 21 1,459,365 52,658,457 0.0277
River (feat. Ed Sheeran) by Eminem 1,445,248 48,732,761 0.0297
changes by XXXTENTACION 1,362,898 19,908,049 0.0685
King's Dead (with Kendrick Lamar. Future & James Blake) by Jay Rock 1,354,091 43,610,171 0.0310
Remind Me to Forget by Kygo 1,334,407 75,396,219 0.0177
Síguelo Bailando by Ozuna 1,333,172 45,562,446 0.0293
Mad Love by Sean Paul 1,322,426 72,537,468 0.0182
Sick Boy by The Chainsmokers 1,320,993 50,731,180 0.0260
Let You Down by NF 1,306,178 42,431,670 0.0308
Walk It Talk It by Migos 1,282,505 41,317,034 0.0310
Breathe by Jax Jones 1,279,601 82,386,205 0.0155
Downtown by Anitta 1,257,966 61,660,603 0.0204
Wolves by Selena Gomez 1,494,804 59,814,424 0.0250 


her label treat her so good, almost 60M after all this time, whew 

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