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Hot 100 | Final predictions (2/21/26): Bad Bunny #1 & #2, Olivia #3

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1 minute ago, IBeMe said:

they are deff overestimating the raw data for sure but I think they have the gap spot on if that makes sense. Like their data is prob off when it comes to sheer numbers but the actual relative difference in points and stuff between both songs will likely be close to this. it's pretty upsetting cuz if it's a 50 point gap (again relatively speaking) then i dont think she can pull any last minute stops to clench that #1

agree. I guess if Taylor releases all the physicals this week (and throws in a remix or two) I can see it being her vs BB, otherwise it'll be BB for #1

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  • Alessandra
    Alessandra

    i hope it stays at #1 for several weeks so that the new magat princess cannot have her moment

  • Katamari
    Katamari

    the dislikes oh wow didnt know ella langley had so many stans

Yeah, I think these predictions are a bit random until we know more about the Super Bowl boost. But I don't think BB will have trouble clenching.

Hindsight is 20/20. Who could've predicted that dropping during a Harry/Bruno launch week would've been better? If she'd decided to do that, people would've had meltdowns.

Maybe she isn't even really gunning for it. Only with Taylor would we assume number 1 competition is always a given, but she dropped physicals for Fortnight without the possibility of reclaiming. Maybe she's just promoting her second single properly.

Wait Chart Predictions is still predicting Man I Need for #1 for the previous week? eek

Because in their prediction they say: 3. Man I Need -2

While TOTC said Ella was going to be #1 this monday by 2 points of difference

Is that true that Opalite is doing 108k pure sales? omg

Then maybe it could have a chance for #1. If her team is releasing this competitive week it's because they know something we don't so I wouldn't be surprised if remixes are released in the middle of the tracking week.

20 minutes ago, Green said:

Is that true that Opalite is doing 108k pure sales? omg

Then maybe it could have a chance for #1. If her team is releasing this competitive week it's because they know something we don't so I wouldn't be surprised if remixes are released in the middle of the tracking week.

i doubt the remixes would matter and she is gonna release any

so when are they actually shipping the physicals? if they do it next week, the #1 should be locked

honestly she deserves to lose, who would actually try to push a single during SB week

34 minutes ago, hungrymuffin said:

i doubt the remixes would matter and she is gonna release any

so when are they actually shipping the physicals? if they do it next week, the #1 should be locked

honestly she deserves to lose, who would actually try to push a single during SB week

The physicals are shipping tomorrow

Any chance she'd buy a commercial or have the song used in a commercial during the game? duca

#1 or not, Opalite is already doing well! better than those texas song (choosing texas hold em) from the MAGA girls!

Just now, Green said:

The physicals are shipping tomorrow

well its over its another lavender haze situation, happy for bad bunny though he is the moment

43 minutes ago, B-Luke said:

Oh it's over chick3

why? They are not doing predictions anymore?

108k sales? ahh Reminds me of BTS' "Butter" era sabrina

40M streams for Bad Bunny is extremely crazy though deadbanana2How can they predict the Super Bowl boost honestly? It's just wild guessing

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14 minutes ago, Green said:

why? They are not doing predictions anymore?

Yeah, forget about Taylor, "DtMF" doing 2.8M on Spotify pre-SB is insane. He's coming for 4M easily.

Bad Bunny having the Top 3 in the US with the #1 being 2.7M BEFORE the half time show is crazy deadbanana2

Ophelia surpassing Man I Need & Opalite on Spotify Global… This mega hit jonny5

if he gets a bigger boost than Kendrick he could a be contender for 2 weeks at #1?

Keep in mind that streams count more for the charts now than what they did a year ago:

For example Not like us did 49 million streams, 33k sales and 20 million airplay for a total of 390 points

TOTC is predicting DtMF to be #1 with 40.5 million streams, 14k sales and 6 million airplay for a total of 400 points

4 hours ago, Patient Zero said:

Why would so many people buy a song that's already in the many physical/digital albums they bought?

This is not normal behaviour, is it?

IMG_1800.gif

Every time I see this gif I read whatever the comment is in MJ's voice rip

20 minutes ago, OrgVisual said:

Spotify Day 2

DtMF - 2.8M (+250k)

Opalite - 1.5M (-400k)

Bad Bunny's gap will continue to grow.

58 minutes ago, Green said:

if he gets a bigger boost than Kendrick he could a be contender for 2 weeks at #1?

Keep in mind that streams count more for the charts now than what they did a year ago:

For example Not like us did 49 million streams, 33k sales and 20 million airplay for a total of 390 points

TOTC is predicting DtMF to be #1 with 40.5 million streams, 14k sales and 6 million airplay for a total of 400 points

Bad Bunny might have a bigger boost this week, but I can't see it holding for as long as Kendrick. Also, Kendrick benefitted with no one big releasing for the next 3 months. Kendrick was #1 until Morgan released in May.

Bruno and Harry have their albums releasing on 2/27 and 3/6 respectively, so BB's boost should be done by then.

39 minutes ago, OrgVisual said:

Spotify Day 2

DtMF - 2.8M (+250k)

Opalite - 1.5M (-400k)

ohshestakingit-monique.gif

Oh, she's tanking it

41 minutes ago, OrgVisual said:

Spotify Day 2

DtMF - 2.8M (+250k)

Opalite - 1.5M (-400k)

tokyo-toni-side-eye-meme.gif

Opalite. Man…. I wouldn't want to be in her shoes after this.

57 minutes ago, Brikenbur said:

ohshestakingit-monique.gif

Oh, she's tanking it

55 minutes ago, Brikenbur said:

tokyo-toni-side-eye-meme.gif

Opalite. Man…. I wouldn't want to be in her shoes after this.

Trolling and using oversized gifs, pick a struggle rip

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