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Hot 100 | Final predictions (2/21/26): Bad Bunny #1 & #2, Olivia #3

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1 hour ago, Green said:

Maybe these versions are to keep the song in the top 10 because the video premiere and digital discount of the last week only gave the song 207 points. After the video effect was over the streams decreased a lot and it would leave the top 10

To reach the #1 she needs the physicals sales

You're absolutely correct - I doubt she expects "music video variants" to do more than just keep the song afloat until her actual opportunity to go for the #1.

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  • Alessandra
    Alessandra

    i hope it stays at #1 for several weeks so that the new magat princess cannot have her moment

  • Katamari
    Katamari

    the dislikes oh wow didnt know ella langley had so many stans

The actual opportunity to go to #1 was the last week of December or all of January. That ship has now sailed, as Bad Bunny has a huge Super Bowl boost, and incoming albums. Taylor just waited too long to make a push on Opalite.

I'm just hoping 3 Doors Down gets 1 song in here TW. Kryptonite, When I'm Gone & Here Without You were T5 H100 hits. Brad Arnold was a world class person too, beloved by his peers too, who helped raise millions for Hurricane Katrina relief. 3DD was a huge Worldwide Post-Grunge Rock Band 2000-10. But, since we had property along the northern Gulf of Mexico, 3DD was also a local band that had "made it big."

21 hours ago, Patient Zero said:

Yes, but if she would've released the vinyl, like she was planning to initially, she would definitely be top 3. But no chance at #1.

She doesn't seem to like that idea so she postponed the release, because she underestimated Bad Bunny. Now she hopes she can get her #1 in another week. And she probably will.

Edit-

I still don't know how she thought she could battle with Bad Bunny after him winning AOTY and doing the Superbowl.

This delusion of a grandeur…

It is confusing.

Same for Gaga last year. Abracadabra would've been an easy top 3 if not #1 smash had she dropped during the prime early January dates. Doing a release Grammy/SB weekend just doesn't make sense for anybody outside the spotlight artist.

For the new tracking week:

DtMF is still doing 3 million daily on spotify rip

Opalite's new extended videos didn't have too much effect. It increased from 682k to 761k skull so as expected the #1 will depend on the physical copies

https://charts.spotify.com/charts/view/regional-us-daily/2026-02-13

41 minutes ago, Green said:

For the new tracking week:

DtMF is still doing 3 million daily on spotify rip

Opalite's new extended videos didn't have too much effect. It increased from 682k to 761k skull so as expected the #1 will depend on the physical copies

https://charts.spotify.com/charts/view/regional-us-daily/2026-02-13

Opalite actually got a big boost! they just didnt combine them apparently. the two mvs did something like 1.2M+ and the song as a whole ended up doing 4.5M streams. idk how much in the US but certainly more than 761k

2 hours ago, IBeMe said:

Opalite actually got a big boost! they just didnt combine them apparently. the two mvs did something like 1.2M+ and the song as a whole ended up doing 4.5M streams. idk how much in the US but certainly more than 761k

Weird that they didn't combine them like last week

23 hours ago, Rico Shameless v2 said:

It is confusing.

Same for Gaga last year. Abracadabra would've been an easy top 3 if not #1 smash had she dropped during the prime early January dates. Doing a release Grammy/SB weekend just doesn't make sense for anybody outside the spotlight artist.

Abra was never going to be a hit in the US . The GP moved on from that sound ten years ago giraffe

Is there still a chance for MIN next week, or are the radio drops giving it to CT?

Did Taylor push back something for Opalite only for it to not even be Top 5?

I'm sure it will be Top 5 again post Bad Bunny surge but kinda funny to me

Kid Rock sold 51k pure rip

It will debut on the Hot 100 thanks mostly to sales

Sales: 51k

Streams: 1.1 million deadbanana2

Airplay: 0

EOO missing top 10 cries

1 hour ago, CaliClass24 said:

Is there still a chance for MIN next week, or are the radio drops giving it to CT?

Yeah, it will be pretty much DTMF vs CT next week.

Olivia's team doesn't care so rogue2 Let's hope that So Easy can go top 10 at the very least

I'm hoping MIN gets that #1 next week. Loving the constant turnover in #1s.

1 hour ago, slw84 said:

I'm hoping MIN gets that #1 next week. Loving the constant turnover in #1s.

It would be perfect if this happens:

DtMF (1 week)

Man I Need (1 week)

Opalite (1 week)

Then Bruno would return to #1 during his album release week

But Team Olivia would need to actually move, and Man I Need is not even discounted rip

10 hours ago, Just a Gay on ATRL said:

Did Taylor push back something for Opalite only for it to not even be Top 5?

I'm sure it will be Top 5 again post Bad Bunny surge but kinda funny to me

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