charts discussion Final Predictions (12/30): Another close race between AIWFCIY and RATCT for #1

[DonnaSpring]

Really want both Ariana and Kelly to go top 10

 

at least like its christmas may reach new peak inside the top 40, another modern christmas classic? 

 

DJ play a christmas song also charting possibly yay

[Gaia]

10 hours ago, B-Luke said:

Hopefully SZA or somebody else (big) releases the first Friday of January so we don‘t have to endure that shitty Jack Harlow song

Lovin on Me was the best song in the Top 10 prior to the christmas takeover  

[Genius1111]

ISTG, if Kelly is at #11 yet again 

[B-Luke]

9 hours ago, Gaia said:

Lovin on Me was the best song in the Top 10 prior to the christmas takeover  

Literally ANY song in the Top 10 except Morgan Wallen‘s sweeties 

[Mystic Boy]

Doja potentially having  simultaneously 2 Top10 songs next week

Come on we re all sick of Christmas crap.

[Hot Volcano]

18 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Istg if Buble’s butchering of lBTLALLC passes UTT before UTT reaches the Top 10….

So weird seeing someone hate on that Buble cover. Its for sure one of the best covers of that song, like be fr

[brianc33710]

19 hours ago, Assassin said:

Will Underneath the Tree ever hit top 10? 

One thing I thought of, this tracking week when airplay drops some maybe it can sneak in. UTT leads FN in sales & streaming, just trails in airplay. Since we have Christmas airplay ~5+ days this week instead of 7, maybe UTT can do so then. UTT is only 3 pts back on TOTC. Last Christmas 1st passed AHJC in 2022-3 this way. AC stations keep playing at least some Christmas music thru NYE but the bulk of it ends by Boxing Day night. This could also benefit Lee next week since Carey's airplay lead makes a difference when the race is close. She came within 4 pts last year this tracking week. 

[Ms. Togekiss]

On 12/23/2023 at 5:09 AM, Holiest Dreams said:

Probably top 3, top 2 if it’s lucky considering it’ll get a big NYE boost, to be exact

 

It’ll be so interesting to see the longevity of the song, since it’s performing like this in the dead of winter and might start climbing in streams again as summer 2024 nears and tour restarts. 

 

On 12/23/2023 at 5:55 AM, Michael196 said:

Jan: still strong (weak month)

Feb: grammys/tour/rep announcement

Mar: more dates

Apr: rep release

May: back to summer + new tour leg

 

I really hope the song gets a second wind like levitating 

[Virtual_Insanity]

Billboard counting 5 videos for a song is crazy. They need to cap it at 2 maximum. 

[pride4jc1222]

Final predictions: 

Canada: 

 

Edited December 25, 2023 by pride4jc1222

[DemDam92]

13 hours ago, Virtual_Insanity said:

Billboard counting 5 videos for a song is crazy. They need to cap it at 2 maximum. 

Why? They also count 1000000 remixes of a song

[superben]

Brenda pulling through please.

[Azulito]

Ariana so close to the top 10

[PurrKaty]

17 hours ago, Virtual_Insanity said:

Billboard counting 5 videos for a song is crazy. They need to cap it at 2 maximum. 

Some songs have an audio, lyric video, official music video, instrumental, sped up or slowed down versions, remixes, etc… 

 

If the public is consuming another version of a song I think they should all count. 
 

Billboard doesn’t cap multiple versions like this for sales and airplay, so why would they do it for streaming?

[suburbannature]

25 minutes ago, PurrKaty said:

Some songs have an audio, lyric video, official music video, instrumental, sped up or slowed down versions, remixes, etc… 

 

If the public is consuming another version of a song I think they should all count. 
 

Billboard doesn’t cap multiple versions like this for sales and airplay, so why would they do it for streaming?

Also the one video alone has been #1 on YouTube for weeks. People are watching the vids. That user is just coping. 

[Virtual_Insanity]

On 12/25/2023 at 12:18 PM, DemDam92 said:

Why? They also count 1000000 remixes of a song

Well they shouldn't. 

[Virtual_Insanity]

On 12/25/2023 at 1:18 PM, superben said:

Brenda pulling through please.

• Radio are really sabotaging Brenda. 6 million in the difference ! 

[DemDam92]

Brenda collapses faster than Mariah on AM and iTunes