charts discussion Final predictions (12/2): Jack #1, Mariah #4, Brenda #8

[pride4jc1222]

Morgan ended up performing 98 Braves, which I believe will be the next single, at least on country. Last Night should still see a boost in performance after winning several awards, including Hot 100 song of the year.

 

Greedy and AIWFCIY are others that will see a boost in performance. However, Jack Harlow will be performing Lovin on Me at halftime of the Packers-Lions game on Thanksgiving.

[suburbannature]

3 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Morgan ended up performing 98 Braves, which I believe will be the next single, at least on country. Last Night should still see a boost in performance after winning several awards, including Hot 100 song of the year.

 

Greedy and AIWFCIY are others that will see a boost in performance. However, Jack Harlow will be performing Lovin on Me at halftime of the Packers-Lions game on Thanksgiving.

Will Billboard Awards really affect things that much? It wasn’t aired the same way.

[Ger]

 

[B-Luke]

Finally a Drake song challenging for Top 10

[pride4jc1222]

I still think Jack has this one locked. There's no way Lovin on Me suddenly lost 30 points of ground, especially with CS dropping hard on radio this week. Even if it is close, Jack is going to perform at the halftime show in Detroit (approximately 2 pm ET), so LoM will have about 10 hours of boost to end the week.

 

In short, I don't see a path where any other song that LoM goes to #1 this week. Worst case scenario is LoM having a 10-15 point advantage.

[B-Luke]

Tate

[Ger]

Tate better run from storm Mimi

 

AIWFCIY is definetely topping the chart next week. 

 

Race is super close for #1.

[IBeMe]

On 11/18/2023 at 5:08 AM, B-Luke said:

 

WAITTTT so Cruel Summer could maaybe snatch a 5th week?!! I wish  but it is collapsing on radio now so idk...

[Green]

Did they overpredict Jack last saturday? Because they said 221 points and now 193 points and it's not like he's decreasing on streams.

Maybe he still can get it because his streams are stable and his airplay is increasing while AC radio is dropping Cruel Summer

 

Also I read he's performing this thursday but that's the last day of the tracking week.

[Steve Johnson]

Taylor, release Cruel Summer (live from Buenos Aires) now. 

[Capruni]

Greedy could be a contender to hit number #1 in January after Christmas songs domination.

[LastGreatBloodline]

12 hours ago, Green said:

Did they overpredict Jack last saturday? Because they said 221 points and now 193 points and it's not like he's decreasing on streams.

Maybe he still can get it because his streams are stable and his airplay is increasing while AC radio is dropping Cruel Summer

 

Also I read he's performing this thursday but that's the last day of the tracking week.

I'm guessing he decreased on AM and sales, he was #1 on both last week 

[Green]

32 minutes ago, LastGreatBloodline said:

I'm guessing he decreased on AM and sales, he was #1 on both last week 

 

Today he increased on spotify and apple music so I guess his predictions numbers will increase again

[Green]

US itunes:

1    = Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me

21    Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me  +114

 

The other version on itunes is increasing too

 

 

US Apple Music:

2    Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me  +2

 

US Spotify:

1 = Lovin On Me - Jack Harlow   1,652,673    (increase compared to the day before)
 

[pride4jc1222]

Not to mention, Jack discounted Lovin on Me to 69 cents on iTunes. The two versions on iTunes are now at #1 and #5. Barring something truly unforeseen today or tomorrow, LoM is pretty much locked into the #1 spot this week.

Edited November 22, 2023 by pride4jc1222

[youreyesgocold]

The fact that CS is even still in the conversation  

 

The egg on my face is so rotten it STANKS now from early summer when I said it would peak at top 20 and fall off the face of the earth because “it’s a seasonal song”. Top 2 in the same chart with Xmas songs I never would have thought 

[slw84]

Jack has the #1. Taylor got it for 1 month. that's good. It's Jack then Tate. Not sure Tyla's water is in the running but it can at least get top 5 after the xmas rush.

[TiaTamera]

23 hours ago, B-Luke said:

Finally a Drake song challenging for Top 10

Did he release a new album or is this a new single? I missed the news.

[PurrKaty]

11 minutes ago, TiaTamera said:

Did he release a new album or is this a new single? I missed the news.

It was a new edition of For All The Dogs that included 6 new tracks. I’m shocked only one song is looking to just maybe crack the top 10.

[Sweetestsecret]

8 minutes ago, PurrKaty said:

It was a new edition of For All The Dogs that included 6 new tracks. I’m shocked only one song is looking to just maybe crack the top 10.

Personally,I'm not shocked,I'm happy cause Drake will realise now that he really needs a break. 

[pride4jc1222]

Close race between Greedy and Lovin on Me for #1 in Canada: 

 

[Ger]

Keep streaming "greedy"  @Raphy23

[on the line]

From a Cruel Summer to a Cruel Halloween to a Cruel December?

[Maroonx]

greedy better get that Canadian #1

[Virtual_Insanity]

Points are so low now. Songs with multiple videos counting really have a massive advantage.