charts discussion Final predictions (12/2): Jack #1, Mariah #4, Brenda #8

[suburbannature]

 

 

 

 

 

On Nov 11th it was at #56 in the US - 2023 it was #24. Globally doing a million more.

 

 

 

Nov 12th:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited November 18, 2023 by suburbannature

[Klein]

Wait! No Drake song in the top 10? Really? 

[lukascharts]

Amazon is way more influential for Christmas songs' streams than Spotify is. It all depends on how many raw streams it gets from Amazon.

 

Mariah probably goes #1 next week unless Jack increases again.

[Miley Cyrus]

This prediction may very well change due to BBMAs boosts

[Miley Cyrus]

6 hours ago, tjspy said:

Bye Morgan 

He’s performing at the BBMAs tomorrow I wouldn’t celebrate just yet  

Edited November 18, 2023 by Miley Cyrus

[Maroonx]

8 minutes ago, Miley Cyrus said:

He’s performing at the BBMAs tomorrow I wouldn’t celebrate just yet  

noooo

[Green]

The Billboard Music Awards performances won't have too much impact.

 

Morgan is performing a random non-single, he isn't performing Last Night or Thinkin' Bout You

 

Tate is the one that could go top 3 if the Greedy performance helps. Mariah is also performing but I don't think she will jump to #1 this week just because that performance (she will be #1 in 2 weeks either way)

 

Quote

 

Here’s the full list of 2023 Billboard Music Awards performers:

Mariah Carey

KAROL G

Tate McRae

NewJeans

Peso Pluma

Bebe Rexha & David Guetta

Stray Kids

Morgan Wallen

 

 

[suburbannature]

Just now, Green said:

Mariah is also performing but I don't think she will jump to #1 this week just because that performance (she will be #1 in 2 weeks either way)

Unless it's Brenda's year

 

[Green]

30 minutes ago, suburbannature said:

Unless it's Brenda's year

 

 

Last year Brenda's best chance was the last week of Mariah at #1 (Brenda was #1 on streaming songs that week)

 

We'll see what happens this year

[suburbannature]

2 minutes ago, Green said:

 

Last year Brenda's best chance was the last week of Mariah at #1 (Brenda was #1 on streaming songs that week)

 

We'll see what happens this year

I think it was the week before that.

[Lille]

4 hours ago, Taylena said:

Wait so then Drake is flopping? I was told that constant new releases guarantees success? What happened? 

It's really confusing isn't it?

[Mystic Boy]

I feel like there's less Christmas songs charting high this year than the lasts?

[lillavend3r]

3 hours ago, suburbannature said:

It's a consumption chart. Of course they should.

There's Holiday 100 for a reason. They should stay there

[suburbannature]

7 minutes ago, lillavend3r said:

There's Holiday 100 for a reason. They should stay there

There are also other genre charts. They still chart on the main consumption chart.

[Cz!]

Is it just me or does that Jack Harlow song sound like "The Motto"?

[lillavend3r]

3 minutes ago, suburbannature said:

There are also other genre charts. They still chart on the main consumption chart.

But those songs don't chart for a specific time of the year clogging the charts i know you happy Mariah see chart success again for a few weeks every Christmas season though 

[suburbannature]

31 minutes ago, lillavend3r said:

But those songs don't chart for a specific time of the year clogging the charts i know you happy Mariah see chart success again for a few weeks every Christmas season though 

There are already gradual recurrent rules - Mariah, for example, can only chart at place 25 or above to avoid clogging the charts.

[brianc33710]

10 hours ago, suburbannature said:

Unless it's Brenda's year

 

Brenda's doing more this year since it's RATCT 65th anny. So yeah expect to see more from her in 2023-4. The new video was her 1st promo.

[spree]

10 hours ago, Mystic Boy said:

I feel like there's less Christmas songs charting high this year than the lasts?

It’s not even Thanksgiving yet.

[Mystic Boy]

58 minutes ago, spree said:

It’s not even Thanksgiving yet.

I feel like last year we were already flooded with them by the first week of November   Surely just an lmpression.

[pride4jc1222]

4 hours ago, Mystic Boy said:

I feel like last year we were already flooded with them by the first week of November   Surely just an lmpression.

I think radio is where Christmas songs are lagging this year. The radio audience isn't as high this year, as AC stations changed over later this year, and some listeners are refusing to let go of songs like Cruel Summer.

[fridayteenage]

when announced i'd feared drake would clog up the top 5 on the overall billboard chart again, but instead even on us spotify he has one song in the top 5 on the second day.

[slw84]

18 hours ago, Cz! said:

Is it just me or does that Jack Harlow song sound like "The Motto"?

It's not you. He mixed at least two drake songs and made a new song. It worked. it's about to hit #1 soon.

[PoisonPill]

On 11/18/2023 at 10:36 AM, Taylena said:

Wait so then Drake is flopping? I was told that constant new releases guarantees success? What happened? 

I think it’s because the release was fumbled - its being released as an extension of FATD rather than a standalone EP like Scary Hours 1 & 2. Also feels a bit too soon even for drakes standards.

[Maroonx]

23 hours ago, Green said:

The Billboard Music Awards performances won't have too much impact.

 

Morgan is performing a random non-single, he isn't performing Last Night or Thinkin' Bout You

 

Tate is the one that could go top 3 if the Greedy performance helps. Mariah is also performing but I don't think she will jump to #1 this week just because that performance (she will be #1 in 2 weeks either way)

 

 

damn thats a tragic list of performances... The only decent performer is Tate. Fingers crossed 'greedy' gets a boast!!