charts discussion Hot 100 predictions 11/11/2023:Taylor 'Is It Over Now?' challenge for #1 on hot 100

[Hunter_13]

Pls come through 

[Arrows]

Like 5 different songs of hers have been mentioned as possible #1’s this week

[naval23]

If Cruel Summer blocks If It's Over Now 

 

Make Cruel Summer single more expensive this week

[Squall]

CS refusing to let her sisters shine

 

Edited October 30, 2023 by Squall

[littlebodybigheart]

15 minutes ago, Maroonx said:

I still think they are underestimating Doja's points, I think it has about the same as CS, given CS lost quite a few points due to 1989TV.

not for nothing but you need to stop being negative  taylor is predicted to have the top 2 and possibly an 11th #1 hit. the song is still #1 on usa spotify. unless we see a huge collapse, she should be fine. but we don’t need to jinx it.

[Theluckyone]

Can’t believe I’m rooting for cs to be #2 this week behind a vault song 

[Maroonx]

12 minutes ago, littlebodybigheart said:

not for nothing but you need to stop being negative  taylor is predicted to have the top 2 and possibly an 11th #1 hit. the song is still #1 on usa spotify. unless we see a huge collapse, she should be fine. but we don’t need to jinx it.

Not being negative, being realistic doll x

[littlebodybigheart]

1 minute ago, Maroonx said:

Not being negative, being realistic doll x

we’ll see at the end of the week. i think by now we all know cruel summer could block whatever song. but just let us be excited lol

[Life Savers]

Cruel Summer - Cruel Summer - Is it Over Now? - Cruel Summer

 

A concept 

[lukascharts]

1 hour ago, Maroonx said:

I still think they are underestimating Doja's points, I think it has about the same as CS, given CS lost quite a few points due to 1989TV.

How are they underestimating it? They have Paint The Town Red rising 1% and there's no metric it's gaining in (at least not significantly).

 

"CS lost quite a few points due to 1989TV" It was over 250 points last week. Dropping to 215 doesn't change that outcome (it was 209 on the last update but that was before the stable radio updates were released).

[305]

Is It Over Now? This week becoming her 11th #1 and the CS for another 2-3 weeks until the Christmas bomb 

[NEX]

Thriller would have been challenging for a Top 10 re-entry if it wasn't for 1989 

[Michael196]

Taylor preventing Thriller from getting a new peak two years in a row

it reentered and repeaked at #19 in 2021

#26 behind 9 Tay track in Midnights' second week last year

and this year it might end up at #21 behind 10 1989TV tracks 

[SoSickOfThatSOL]

What if IION - **** (thanks to video) - cruel summer 

[littlebodybigheart]

55 minutes ago, Michael196 said:

Taylor preventing Thriller from getting a new peak two years in a row

it reentered and repeaked at #19 in 2021

#26 behind 9 Tay track in Midnights' second week last year

and this year it might end up at #21 behind 10 1989TV tracks 

didn’t thriller peak at #4?

[Green]

39 minutes ago, littlebodybigheart said:

didn’t thriller peak at #4?

 

Yes

[pride4jc1222]

If there was ever a year for Thriller to get a new peak (and perhaps go #1), it's next year when Halloween falls on a Thursday.

[Michael196]

7 hours ago, littlebodybigheart said:

didn’t thriller peak at #4?

 

7 hours ago, Green said:

 

Yes

Yeah I didn’t see the first table on wiki…

[simmnfierzig]

+24% on US Spotify today 

[Holiest Dreams]

10 minutes ago, simmnfierzig said:

+24% on US Spotify today 

With this and the song getting radio play now (I’m sure they’ll jump on it instantly), I’m guessing that #1 is locked

 

I hope she manages to chart 6-7 songs in the top 10 rather than “just” 4-5 

[FolkLover1989]

So I think, 

 

The benchmark for IION being hit should be

 

4 weeks in Top 10

20 weeks charting atleast 

 

Hope radio comes through 

[Jpkun]

That US spotify update is monstrous. It’s serving SMASH HIT!? If it goes up tomorrow too can confirm.

Edited October 31, 2023 by Jpkun

[Bosque]

It is an organic smash hit your honor

 

Day 4:
 

IION: 2,869,781 (+24%)

 

Midnight Rain: 3,140,759 (+14%)

YOYOK: 2,849,124 (+14%)

Vigilante Shyte: 2,630,674 (+11%)

Karma: 2,546,207 (+-0%)

[byzantium]

22 minutes ago, Dephira said:

It is an organic smash hit your honor

 

Day 4:
 

IION: 2,869,781 (+24%)

 

Midnight Rain: 3,140,759 (+14%)

YOYOK: 2,849,124 (+14%)

Vigilante Shyte: 2,630,674 (+11%)

Karma: 2,546,207 (+-0%)

I had to google whether these numbers were “US” or “global” numbers.  These are all massive numbers for just the US.  

[Feanor]

Is "Is It Over Now?" secured for that #1 after the Monday increase?