charts discussion Billboard Hot 100: 09/23/2023 early predictions.Vampire back to #1,bad idea right? #6

[ReneighIsHere]

The gap between vampire and PTTR is too small. I think PTTR will take it because vampire will decline after today's boost. Unless it remains surprisingly stable tomorrow

[MexicanLiLMonster]

Vampire deserved to be a multi-week #1 !! & good for Bad Idea Right, hope it gets in the top 3, I wonder what the 3rd single will be, All-American B**** or Get Him Back!

[aesthetic bih]

Bad Idea Right a top-3 smash!

[chiliam]

Not two songs in the top 3. ATRL lost again.

 

BIR deserves the #1 though. What a bop.

[naval23]

That's insane it's going to #1 weeks later

Reminds me of Rihanna's "What's My Name?"

[Azulito]

I have a feeling Doja will stay #1 but I wonder if she can get a few more songs in the top 10

[Sergi91]

I wish it was BIR going #1 

[PurrKaty]

6 hours ago, MingYouToo said:

Get him back! will be the G4U i fear!

And love is embarrassing will be the Traitor  

[PurrKaty]

4 hours ago, ReneighIsHere said:

The gap between vampire and PTTR is too small. I think PTTR will take it because vampire will decline after today's boost. Unless it remains surprisingly stable tomorrow

I’m pretty sure the predictions include an estimated decline for Vampire already, they aren’t just based off the 1st day numbers multiples by 7. However after tomorrow the prediction will be more accurate as well have a better idea of it’s decline.

[Miley Cyrus]

OMG are my eyes seeing this right??

Last Night below 200 points  we WON finally

 

Also stream paint the town red

[ReneighIsHere]

13 hours ago, PurrKaty said:

I’m pretty sure the predictions include an estimated decline for Vampire already, they aren’t just based off the 1st day numbers multiples by 7. However after tomorrow the prediction will be more accurate as well have a better idea of it’s decline.

yes they do, but they can't predict how much it will decline and i don't know what % drop they used for the prediction..either way that's what i think will happen

[pride4jc1222]

Early Top 25 predictions: 

 

[lukascharts]

Bad Idea Right? kinda tanked (not shocking since it fell 24% on Spotify). For Vampire, the points are allegedly a bit conservative, so I think it gets #1 unless something goes terribly wrong.

[Green]

I remember everything serving longevity unlike Try that in a small town (despite of being top 10 on country airplay )

 

I remember everything: 1-2-3

 

Try that in a small town: 2-1-21

[dabunique]

I feel PTTR will be number one 

 

radio is increasing big time and her streams will be over Vampire by midweek 

[Ger]

It might lose the #1 tbh.

[lukascharts]

I don't like the notion of "I think [X song] will be #1 because it's increasing on radio and [Y song] is decreasing in streams" because those trajectories are obviously being considered in the prediction. Whether it does more or less radio than expected or more or less streams than expected is ultimately the deciding factor and what causes predictions to change.

 

And yes, Vampire might lose the #1. Nothing is locked (especially because both Olivia and Doja are performing at the VMA's and who knows what type of boost those two will get).

[superben]

I need PTTR to be a multiple-week #1  

[Johnnyboi]

ATRL wrong again. 

[KeshaSwift]

Hope so! Well deserved 

[Miley Cyrus]

12 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Early Top 25 predictions: 

 

Ouuu Morgan don’t drop like that

Edited September 10, 2023 by Miley Cyrus

[Fitzswiftie]

Vampire will also tie the record for longest gap between returning to #1 in a single chart run (9 weeks), after Wrecking Ball went back to #1 after the same time period following a viral ChatRoulette YouTube parody.

[truthteller]

time to surprise drop some signed copies of vampire

[Walk_Away21]

On 9/9/2023 at 11:04 AM, aesthetic bih said:

Bad Idea Right a top-3 smash!

Top 3 where?

 

[Raphy23]

Bad Idea deserves the #1!