charts discussion Final predictions (9/16): Doja #1, Nicki #22

[simmnfierzig]

50 minutes ago, naval23 said:

Omg Doja is going to block Cruel Summer and it's going to be another #2 peaking single

 

Truly cursed 

Cruel Summer getting to #2 is pretty unlikely

[naval23]

Just now, simmnfierzig said:

Cruel Summer getting to #2 is pretty unlikely

That's ashame. I feel like it can get close considering it's 10 points away from #2 and it's airplay is still rising 

[Alex]

omg not another person actually dying @Flocon 

[brianc33710]

On 9/2/2023 at 7:13 AM, pride4jc1222 said:

Jimmy Buffett passed away at age 76: 

Hopefully, we can get Margaritaville to at least re-chart on here. (It will definitely on the ARIA chart, where it re-entered on a random week a few years ago.)

 

My favorite Jimmy Buffett song is Come Monday.

I saw him in concert many times & always assumed I would again. 

 

Margaritaville should at least reaching Country songs if nothing else & probably Come Monday too. If we still had Recurrent Songs (which we unofficially do on Spotify I guess) we would see something there. Son Of A Son Of A Sailor may be my favorite. 

 

Breif banter: We had a condo in Gulf Shores, AL (between Mobile, AL & Pensacola, FL) for almost 20 years. His sister Lucy has a restaurant & bar called Lulu's there. I met her & ate [and drank] there many times. He's originally from Mobile so that makes sense. He came in there from time to time but I never saw him there.

 

@Miley Cyrus TOTC had said both Fast Car & Last Night appeared to lose streams to I Remember Everything this past week. So, with IRE down a bit, FC & LN are getting some of their streams back. So, with airplay fairly stable right now, both are projected to increase a little over this past week.

[Miley Cyrus]

DOJAAA!!! 

 

Dissing fans and getting a #1 hit queen!

Last Night still over 200 points  I really thought it was gonna drop below 200 this week.

Edited September 2, 2023 by Miley Cyrus

[pride4jc1222]

Jimmy Buffett songs on US Spotify:
6 (re-entry) Jimmy Buffett - Margaritaville (1,191,320 streams)
12 (new) Alan Jackson - It's Five O'Clock Somewhere (with Jimmy Buffett) (857,805 streams)
30 (new) Jimmy Buffett - Cheeseburger In Paradise (658,043 streams)
44 (new) Jimmy Buffett - Come Monday (546,551 streams)
45 (re-entry) Zac Brown Band - Knee Deep (feat. Jimmy Buffett) (542,434 streams)
50 (new) Jimmy Buffett - Changes In Latitudes, Changes In Attitudes (518,550 streams)
54 (new) Jimmy Buffett - A Pirate Looks At Forty (501,921 streams)
71 (new) Jimmy Buffett - Son Of A Son Of A Sailor (460,390 streams)
102 (new) Willie Nelson, Jimmy Buffett, Emmylou Harris, Sheryl Crow, Eric Church, George Strait, Dave Matthews, Chris Stapleton, Derek Trucks, Kris Kristofferson, The Avett Brothers, Bobby Bare, Jack Johnson, Jamey Johnson, Lee Ann Womack, Lukas Nelson, Lyle Lovett, Margo Price, Micah Nelson, Nathaniel Rateliff, Norah Jones, The Little Willies, Ray Benson, Steve Earle, Susan Tedeschi, Vince Gill - Roll Me Up and Smoke Me When I Die - Live (405,319 streams)
107 (new) Jimmy Buffett - Boat Drinks (402,291 streams)
139 (new) Jimmy Buffett - Fins (358,599 streams)

 

I like Margaritaville’s chances to re-enter the Hot 100.

[B-Luke]

 

[Green]

So Luke will get a 9th week at #2 tying Shania, Donna Lewis and Brenda Lee

 

Missy and Foreigner next

 

Fast Car will also be the first song blocked from #1 by 4 different songs: Last Night, Rich Men North of Richmond, I Remember Everything and Paint The Town Red

 

Number of weeks	Artist(s)	Song	Year(s)	Kept out of number-one position by	Source
10	Foreigner	"Waiting for a Girl Like You"	1981–82	"Physical" (Olivia Newton-John), "I Can't Go for That (No Can Do)" (Hall & Oates)	[12]
	Missy Elliott	"Work It"	2002–03	"Lose Yourself" (Eminem)	[13]
9	Donna Lewis	"I Love You Always Forever"	1996	"Macarena (Bayside Boys Mix)" (Los del Río)	[13]
	Shania Twain	"You're Still the One"	1998	"Too Close" (Next), "The Boy Is Mine" (Brandy and Monica)	[12]
	Brenda Lee	"Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree"	2019–2023	"All I Want for Christmas Is You" (Mariah Carey)	[14]

[pride4jc1222]

57 minutes ago, B-Luke said:

 

Either Paint the Town Red is going to be a long running #1 or Last Night is going to return to #1 in 2-3 weeks when Fast Car inevitably collapses on Pop.

[Ger]

14 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Either Paint the Town Red is going to be a long running #1 or Last Night is going to return to #1 in 2-3 weeks when Fast Car inevitably collapses on Pop.

Lol what, LN is done.

[pride4jc1222]

22 minutes ago, Ger-55 said:

Lol what, LN is done.

It should be, but nothing is really putting the nail on the coffin (maybe with the possible exception of PTTR). Fast Car is still up there because pop radio continues to hold on to it by a thread. Once pop radio drops it, it's probably going to drop below LN because FC consistently remains 5M streams behind LN.

[jakeisphat]

Demons might just **** around and outchart Last Time I Sucked You. 

[DonnaSpring]

54 minutes ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Either Paint the Town Red is going to be a long running #1 or Last Night is going to return to #1 in 2-3 weeks when Fast Car inevitably collapses on Pop.

you forgot about used to be young and Drake new song

 

also tension by kylie could be a challanger  

[Just a Gay on ATRL]

Kacey Musgraves is my favorite country artist - I'm so happy she will be getting not only her first Top 10 hit ever, but her first Top 10 simultaneously being her first #1. Hopefully this song helps her get many more thereafter.

 

Also congrats to Doja, she really proved me wrong with this song's performance.

[TrieLz]

Fast Car bigger than Bad Romance 

[pride4jc1222]

Creepin feels bigger than Fast Car. It's just that the competition was stronger during Creepin's peak, which prevented it from reaching higher than #3. I bet you Creepin would have been a #1 if it peaked when Fast Car did.

[Mystic Boy]

Come On Doja

[britxbrit]

Maybe Doja is always right 

[worldwide angel]

snooze

[spree]

14 hours ago, TrieLz said:

Fast Car bigger than Bad Romance 

A case could be made for it for sure.

[brianc33710]

15 hours ago, pride4jc1222 said:

Creepin feels bigger than Fast Car. It's just that the competition was stronger during Creepin's peak, which prevented it from reaching higher than #3. I bet you Creepin would have been a #1 if it peaked when Fast Car did.

Which time when Fast Car peaked at #2 lol? That's happened a lot! FC had around 300 at its strongest. What was Creepin's top point peak? I guess we'll know this fall as FC grows older. I tend to think itll have better longevity than Creepin in the long run. FC has so much HAC, AC & Country airplay that outside of the Christmas season FC literally may never die [only AC goes Christmas of course]. I can see FC easily going well past 52 weeks on the H100 as "consolation" for missing #1 & 30 T10 weeks wont surprise me either. 

[PoisonPill]

On 9/2/2023 at 5:43 AM, FolkLover1989 said:

Taylor team simply not promoting CS for that #1 is extremely weird , what a fail 

 

Did they hate the viral moment or what 

 

Good for Doja 

It’s been too far away in points for several weeks, a big promo push would’ve have worked, time to let it go.

[corotinho]

21 hours ago, DonnaSpring said:

you forgot about used to be young and Drake new song

 

also tension by kylie could be a challanger  

[Maroonx]

On 9/3/2023 at 9:34 AM, DonnaSpring said:

 

 

also tension by kylie could be a challanger  

Girl what universe do you reside? 

[Green]

39 minutes ago, Maroonx said:

Girl what universe do you reside? 

 

I screamed when I saw Tension mentioned in that post