swiftsummer13 Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 18 minutes ago, corotinho said: She won't have 24M audience lol mostly likely 10/12M Plus, her sales will be bigger. Around 10k me thinks. Streams i'm also guessing more, since we still have Apple Music and Pandora. I think 20M debut? she already has 4M audience from pop radio alone. as long as she gains +2.5M daily, she’ll be at 19M and that’s from a single format. including hot ac, she could add another 5M to that total. as for the streaming prediction, i already accounted for all formats. spotify usa tends to be 40% of an artists’ total streams, and she isn’t doing more than 7M there (so 18M maximum for her total streams, but 14M is a much safer bet). sales are a wild card but if the 1.4K figure is accurate, she’ll max out at 5K which is respectable.
corotinho Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 Just now, swiftsummer13 said: she already has 4M audience from pop radio alone. as long as she gains +2.5M daily, she’ll be at 19M and that’s from a single format. including hot ac, she could add another 5M to that total. as for the streaming prediction, i already accounted for all formats. spotify usa tends to be 40% of an artists’ total streams, and she isn’t doing more than 7M there (so 18M maximum for her total streams, but 14M is a much safer bet). sales are a wild card but if the 1.4K figure is accurate, she’ll max out at 5K which is respectable. But first day is always bigger. But now that i saw that it debuted with 5,8M, i think 20~25M is possible. For streams, she got 1,3M from Spotify alone. For Youtube, if we go by 30%, 1,62M. 2,92M for Spotify and Youtube. I think 4M is solid for the first day taking Apple Music and Pandora streams. 16M for the other 6 days is 2,6M each day, what i think it's possible. For sales, i really think she is doing at least 10k. So 20/25M for radio + 20M streaming debut + 10k sales.
swiftsummer13 Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, corotinho said: But first day is always bigger. But now that i saw that it debuted with 5,8M, i think 20~25M is possible. For streams, she got 1,3M from Spotify alone. For Youtube, if we go by 30%, 1,62M. 2,92M for Spotify and Youtube. I think 4M is solid for the first day taking Apple Music and Pandora streams. 16M for the other 6 days is 2,6M each day, what i think it's possible. For sales, i really think she is doing at least 10k. So 20/25M for radio + 20M streaming debut + 10k sales. i disagree but i certainly hope you’re right. i did take into account that the first day would be bigger (2.76M debut with a 1.9M average throughout the week), but obviously this is all entirely speculative without any hint of what the second day numbers might look like. as for radio, i just saw that she has a total of 6M audience impressions across 3 formats. she will absolutely do over 25M, which is fantastic by all measures.
Sad Serenade Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 A little bit off topic but needs to be said: Love you like a love song earned 600k daily streams, its biggest day this year. A certified classic
corotinho Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 10 minutes ago, Stoner said: What are the chances this goes top 10? If it stays super stable + a little increase in streams, it may debut at top10
SelenaGomez<3 Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 11 minutes ago, Stoner said: What are the chances this goes top 10? She disappeared immediately...no TikTok, nothing special on Instagram,.... I am happy with a Top 20 1
corotinho Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 She should do a tik tok. The way she posted non stop all this month and this week she just disappeared 1
ThisIsLifeInColor Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 21 minutes ago, Stoner said: What are the chances this goes top 10? Hopefully it doesn't, or else she'll think this type of songs are what we want from her for sg3 1
corotinho Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, ThisIsLifeInColor said: Hopefully it doesn't, or else she'll think this type of songs are what we want from her for sg3
dillan Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 This sounds like a song she’d release in 2012 when she was still with Disney Production isn’t great and it sounds so outdated, she shouldn’t of wasted so much hype on this The music video though? Amazing
La Luna Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 12 minutes ago, ThisIsLifeInColor said: Hopefully it doesn't, or else she'll think this type of songs are what we want from her for sg3 Yuup. This song flopping will be a bless for her music career and for us too. She needs to understand her audience is grown and tired of self empowering songs. It's time to give us another GFY 1
La Luna Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 ngl i'm scared for the album If this is the dance, up tempo songs she thinks we want from her.... yikes, i fear for this album quality. ughh, i wish she would just scrap everything, go back to the drawing board and focus on giving to us a smooth, sexy pop/r&b album.
Geovane. Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 1 minute ago, La Luna said: ngl i'm scared for the album If this is the dance, up tempo songs she thinks we want from her.... yikes, i fear for this album quality. ughh, i wish she would just scrap everything, go back to the drawing board and focus on giving to us a smooth, sexy pop/r&b album. single soon will most likely not make to the album
La Luna Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 (edited) Selena loves Sza, Kehlani, Summer Walker, Sabrina Claudio. So why she still didn't get inspired to release a pop/r&b project? Why still releasing pure pop in 2023? GFY proved Selena can serve a good pop/r&b song. I need her to bring this energy back. All her urban influenced songs are very good. C'mon, look the material : GFY, Crowded Room, Perfect, Stained, Fetish... She needs to read the room and give what the people want. Edited August 26, 2023 by La Luna
La Luna Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Geovane. said: single soon will most likely not make to the album I have this feeling that this song was supposed to be the lead, but the fans reaction forced her team/interscope to chance the plan. And if this song is any indication of the direction this album is taking... Well Edited August 26, 2023 by La Luna
Geovane. Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, La Luna said: I have this feeling that this song was supposed to be the lead, but the fans reaction forced her team/interscope to chance the plan. if that's the case i don't wanna imagine how the album will sound
Saintlor Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 Yeah, this could've easily been on When The Sun Goes Down
reymiu Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 33 minutes ago, La Luna said: Selena loves Sza, Kehlani, Summer Walker, Sabrina Claudio. So why she still didn't get inspired to release a pop/r&b project? Why still releasing pure pop in 2023? GFY proved Selena can serve a good pop/r&b song. I need her to bring this energy back. All her urban influenced songs are very good. C'mon, look the material : GFY, Crowded Room, Perfect, Stained, Fetish... She needs to read the room and give what the people want. While she does pop/r&b good, she doesn't have enough fans to pull off a full r&b project Her main audience remains pop/dance (Revival) and Latin market (Baila Conmigo) A Karol G collab would be a smart choice IMO
BeingRicardo Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 3 hours ago, BeingRicardo said: TBH the only good promo from this is Spotify, it lacked everything else. I have seen 2 tiktoks promoted using Miley song and the thing is those were FAN MADE videos and from unverified accounts, you do not even notice it's a promo and it was even in Spanish (it talked about Mileey using a mickey mouse t-shirt), it's an amazing idea. TBH Miley's marketing stragety was ahead of Selena's and so is the label promo. Miley also benefited from releasing the same day as Selena's. This is not a shade to Miley, if anything I'm impressed, this is what happens when you have a good team around you that actually knows how to manage an artist. A cute TikTok could have made this to debut with 4M BTW This is what I said about Miley tiktok ads, because I saw another one, with this is the 4th a see but forgot to screenshot it, one was a fan tearing up. The frst one is a translation of the song and the other one it says: "Miley Cyrus singing about her past wearing a Mickey Mouse t-shirt is completing a cycle". You barely see its an ad, so although Selena have had more "in your face" promo like covers on Spotify, Miley is having more "covered" promo.
Maroonx Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 1 hour ago, Saintlor said: Yeah, this could've easily been on When The Sun Goes Down I can see it as well!
BeingRicardo Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 19 minutes ago, Maroonx said: I can see it as well! I see it more on This Kiss by Carly Rae Jepsen, if this was released by her everyone whould be saying how it is POP perfection and tbh I get it, Selena has still that Disney image attached to her and this kind of song associates her with Disney whereas other non-Disney artists does not have that image attacked
La Luna Posted August 26, 2023 Posted August 26, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, reymiu said: While she does pop/r&b good, she doesn't have enough fans to pull off a full r&b project Her main audience remains pop/dance (Revival) and Latin market (Baila Conmigo) A Karol G collab would be a smart choice IMO Yeah, it's would be a risky move for sure, but i think people would be curious and give it a try. And if the music is really good, i can see people embracing it. When she released GFY no one was expecting that type of song from her. She pulled a risky move and it paid off. At this point of her career she can afford bold move like this. Then If it's a flop, well, it's a flop lol Selena can always go back to the drawing board and release new music as long as she wants. Interscope allows her to do whatever she wants. It's a blessing and a curse at the same time. I just want her to get out of her confort zone. These pop songs with self empowering lyrics and minimalist/ unspirated production is not doing it for me anymore. Oh, about Karol G, yuup, a collab is coming sooner or later. They are from the same label and love each other. I can't wait Edited August 26, 2023 by La Luna
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